
Chris78
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Everything posted by Chris78
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Temp has been hanging around 37-38 all morning. As stubborn as the GFS was it certainly wasn't right with the cold push it was advertising. A couple days ago it had me at 23 -24 degrees at noon with Freezing rain changing to sleet with a gradual change to snow during the afternoon .
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Thanks. 6z was definitely a step back at h5. When I made the post last night I was comparing 0z to 18z. 0z was more amped at h5 compared to 18z. Monday/Tuesday deal is a long shot anyway. Hopefully Valentines day weekend trends In a good way.
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If you just looked at h5 you would think the storm would be further west compared to 18z. @Ji In regards to GFS
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H5 looked better to me for the Monday /Tuesday deal but it didn't translate to the surface.
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Yep. Alot of times it's just luck and randomness that determines the haves and have not.
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@WVclimo posted the other day about 35% of climo for his back yard It's not been a good winter so far for the northern/NW crew. We still have another 4 to 6 weeks of good tracking but if we get to the second part of February And still sitting at 35% it's going to be tough to get to climo. Glad the Eastern areas are cashing in though. The last few years have been tough if your a snow lover in the area.
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I agree. I'm actually tired of missing out on QPF to the east of me while I'm high and dry. I'm in the mind set of bring this SOB west and let the chips fall. Me and you could probably do okay with a further west track as temps could cooperate where were at. I'd rather have 34 and rain then see another storm off the coast.
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Probably another eastern shore storm. Congrats. It is pretty amazing how well your area has been doing in ninas lately though.
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It ain't great but it's just about all we have right now. The ice threat is all but gone for the northern crew even on the GFS.
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Go back and click through the last 5 runs of the GFS for Tuesday. Substantial changes for Tuesday time frame.
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Gfs trying for next Tuesday. Looks a little better at h5 but still needs work.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
The Canadian and ukmet still want nothing to do with this. Canadian still has the freezing line up in PA as of 7pm on Friday- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
The gfs is actually a little colder along the M/D during the day on Friday compared to 18z. Low 20's at 1pm and transitioning to snow after alot of ice. Would be pretty rough travel in Northern MD Friday afternoon and night. 30 degrees freezing rain is one thing. 23 degrees freezing rain is another.- 4,130 replies
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Great win by the caps. Hopefully they're out of their funk. Dominated in Dallas and great win tonight in Pittsburgh. Sorry @yoda.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
That really would be a mess along the M/D line. Especially if the gfs temps are correct with mid 20's along the md /pa border by late morning.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Still a pretty impressive temp drop in 6 hours just south of DC on the 18z. Mid 50's at 7am to freezing by 1pm.- 4,130 replies
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If the GFS is correct it would be a memorable event. Let's hope some other models jump aboard at 00z. I didn't think I'd ever say this but I'd rather have the gfs on our side than the euro if I had to pick one.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
How does that compare to 12z for the same time?- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Would be cool to go in reverse order compared to what we are accustomed to. Zr - sleet- then end with some snow.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lol yea. Been in the grocery industry for almost 30 years and it's insanity. With our supply chain being on a razors thin edge it doesn't take much for us to not have any chicken in the case for a week now unfortunately.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Tell me about it. Another big storm or 2 and it will take us weeks to recover from a supply chain standpoint It took us a week to recover from the storm 2 weeks ago. And when I say recover I Mean recover back to the atrocious conditions we've had for the last year lol.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
The event after the frontal wave took a nice step forward at h5. Vort much farther south instead of west of us.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Here's comes a @WinterWxLuvr Special.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
We're in the game. Doesn't mean we score but we haven't been in a shut out pattern since December. December was when you look at ensembles once a day looking for that pattern change- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Where do I sign?- 4,130 replies
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