Chris78

He's in southern VA. He's yard has no skin in the game this time

Lol. Rgem drops 10"+ on my yard with that narrow band. It'll be in a different place the next run. Someone is going to get a ft of snow even away from the coastal.

Catoctins are going to get hammered

WTF. I looked at h5 before looking at the surface and I thought it was going to bring the good bands from the coastal west to atleast Frederick. Really disappointing the surface actually got worse..

Real nice jump NW with the precip shield and heavies

Really only 1 person over there lol

Yes but there seems to be more connection between the 2.

Lol

Lol. It was never on the same level as the Euro but it's never been this bad.

Gfs is so bad. Hard to not think it's because of budget cuts. It's gotten alot worse over the last year. I view it as one of the JV models now. Go USA lol.

Don't worry. I won't

King euro

Look at the vort over the last 5 runs

All the models tonight have unfortunately trended towards the Euro at h5. Except for maybe the aigfs

This. Basically nothing has trended in a good direction thr last 5 - 10 years. Prior to 2016 we would have some storms that do trend in a good direction inside of 5 days. But that hasn't happened basically at all the last 5 years . JI is right when he says take the model with the least amount of snow. I'm speaking more for my yard and your yard. Places further east has had some better trends with a few storms. It's kind of crazy how pitiful the snowfall has been going back 5 to 10 years.

Is there anything after that Will? Or is that it?

Totally agree with you. This looks alot like a storm we don't mention in these parts lol

Both Icon and GFS heading towards the euro at 18z

Very late bloomer. Not much precip at all to the west. Basically gets going over top of us. I have nightmares from that scenario lol

It's pretty bad. Gets some snow into The area as the run ends but world's apart from its 12z Definitely a nod towards the Euro

Lots of Tucked members off the coast.

The AI Euro has been deadly this year inside 5 days except when it shows something we want lol

Waiting for a -pna to pop up on the models for our storm.

Another sub 20" season seems to be coming for Northern MD. 5 years in a row now for MBY. Worst stretch since records have been kept at hgr. (1899). Truly pathetic. I'll have to double check but my average the last 5 years has been 12" i believe. About 40% of climo.

Never good to wake up to Chuck posting by himself in the long range thread