backedgeapproaching
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Posts posted by backedgeapproaching
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10 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:
Had some good 1”+ hour rates going at 1900’ with about 6” down. It has since lightened up as the ccb oscillates
Are you at base of Stratton with that 6" report at 1900ft?
Have 2" here. Literally no accumulation below 900ft, not even on the grass.
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Snow pack finally retreating since Nov and looks like some heavy heavy vole damage. Looks like a while colony was thriving under that glacier for 5 months.
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28 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:
Don't worry, you still have dibs on coop crusher so you don't feel left out.
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5 minutes ago, dendrite said:
ALY needs to start those shout outs to Mitch in AFDs like BTV does to PF..ha
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3 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said:
The last couple runs of the high res NAM are actually giving me a little freezing rain here tomorrow night and early Friday morning, which is interesting as I expected this would be just a snow vs. rain scenario.
Warm nose is centered around 875 mb and is very thin. If we do dry slot a bit, then I could see it, but otherwise I think this is just a paste job here. Euro keeps me all snow and the dry slot mostly to my east.
High res NAM destroys me with upslope Friday into Saturday. The Euro still had some light blue pixels over me at 18z Saturday! This could challenge the big storm I had 11/26-28 where I was around 2'. That event was an elevation wet snow on the front end and then upslope on the backside. The valleys had pretty much nothing.
I couldn't recall that event as it seems like ages ago, but looked at the snow table and it was 12.5" in the elevated valley here.
Obviously your in a good spot for a shot at 12"+. You do well in the upslope, but this may be a classic Woodford upslope jack in SVT
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ALY has watches up in SVT. I know BTV does as well.
Think 1500'+ looking pretty good to verify the 7"+ to meet watch criteria. Looking good at that heavily wooded plot at 2230' in SVT.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 348 PM EDT Wed Mar 20 2019
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy, wet snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 7 inches or more possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph Friday night. * WHERE...In Vermont, Bennington and Western Windham Counties. In New York, Herkimer and Hamilton Counties. * WHEN...Friday and Friday night. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening commutes.
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Early guess from BTV and ALY in SVT.
Tricky forecast, should be interesting to see how this plays out.
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1 hour ago, borderwx said:
Expected the 40 this morning
Did not expect the lightning show and thunderstorm
Some absolute house shakers and lightening here as well with some pretty decent rainfall rates. That will get the kids out of bed this morning..ha.
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1 hour ago, wxmanmitch said:
Snow pack depth average is around 30" with a range from 26-35". It is a solid glacier below the top 6-8" and you can walk on top of it without ever really sinking in. I have my Davis VP2 sensor suite 8' up and it is at about eye level. I'm 5' 8". The snow pack was about 4-4.5' deep last year at this time, but the pack was much softer and didn't have as much water in it. I've had at least 1" of snow OTG since November 9th, which is now 123 days straight.
The snow blower path to the propane tank is a little over 3' deep. Meanwhile, there's not much left in the valleys. Just a few inches of crap that will likely be completely gone by the end of the week with the impending warm up. No melting here today with a brief high of 33.3° F. Now 28.3° F with light upslope snow.
Always got to get a little jab into us poor valley folk and our out weak retention..
Good run for us, NOV to Mid March almost non stop 1" coverage pretty impressive for here. (might have got down to a trace at couple times, cant recall) I'm Ok with full melt out here if it happens
You can see the layers in that pack, dense stuff.
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On 3/6/2019 at 9:01 PM, PhineasC said:
What's the best place in the US to move with the following criteria:
1) Serious snowfall and snowcover
2) Extended stretches of cold
3) Access to at least a regional airport within 45 mins.
4) Somewhat built-up, at least a small city nearby.
From a few years back, New England focused though, but some good info.
Come to VT, we will pay you to live here
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/10/vermont-will-pay-you-10000-to-move-there-and-work-remotely---.html
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1 hour ago, J.Spin said:
The BTV NWS is starting to get a bit more detailed in their discussion of the weekend system. Their thoughts from this morning are for 3 to 4 inches of front end snowfall on Sunday, then dry slot with potential for a bit of mixed precipitation. They’re also noting the potential for several inches of backside snow as we move into the beginning of next week:
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 309 AM EST Thursday...Guidance in good agreement with band of mostly snow developing from southwest to northeast across our cwa on Sunday associated with modest low to mid level waa. Ribbon of 850 to 500mb moisture is relatively narrow, along with window of favorable 850 to 700mb fgen forcing, so anticipate qpf/snowfall to generally be light. In addition, mid level dry slot and brisk 850mb winds of 45 to 60 knots will create some downslope shadowing across the cpv. Expect snowfall of a dusting to 3 or 4 inches, highest in the dacks and nek. Some localized gusty southeast downslope winds of 35 to 40 mph possible, but some uncertainty on amount of mixing with strong low level inversion and precip occurring. Higher resolution models will help determine strength of downslope winds in the upcoming days. Otherwise, cwa briefly gets into the warm sector with progged 925mb to 850mb temps near 0c by 18z Sunday, supporting a change to rain or wintry mix. However, as profiles warm enough to support liquid, the best lift/moisture is shifting to our east, so probably more like areas of drizzle/freezing drizzle possible on Sunday aftn. Temps should warm into the l30s east of the Greens to mid 30s to near 40 elsewhere, while summits hold in the upper 20s to near 30f. Cold front swings thru on Sunday night with progged 925mb to 850mb temps falling below 0c by 06z, supporting a change back to all snow. Once again qpf will be light and mainly confined to the mountains. GFS/ECMWF shows potent s/w energy and ribbon of deep 850 to 500mb rh moving across our cwa on Monday Night into Tues. This energy/lift, combined with developing upslope flow behind secondary cold front will produce several inches of snow in the mountains overnight. Temps cool back into the 20s to near 30f for Tues as 850mb values drop btwn -13c and -16c. Another ridge develops for midweek with temps slowly rebounding to near normal values by Weds into Thurs. Expect large swings in daily temps with lows single digits/teens and highs upper 20s to upper 30s.
Losing track of the number of these Strong Cutters with SE Downslope flow over the Western Green Slopes. I've already lost a bunch of shingles on my garage the faces East this winter from similar setups.
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31 minutes ago, dendrite said:
That was the depth.
That depth is fascinating as its such a ridiculous outlier vs any other year. The next highest is like 75-76" or something if I recall.
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14 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:
4" of snow last night brings me to 87" for the season
I'm really happy for the SNE guys. Really nice to see the Boston area get 12-18". All those poor peeps down there really needed at least one good snowfall.
Cold week but no big systems on the horizon. We may be at max snowfall on the ground as the March sun gets stronger daily. Still time for another big one or two but once we get to this point in the season Im ready to turn corners.
I was watching TWC channel yesterday late afternoon with so many tornadoes on the ground at once. So to see so many lives lost and property damage.
Yes, its been a brutal 15 year stretch for them..lol. But yea, looked like a sweet storm though down there.
2.9" here..right around where you are---86.1" for season. Although had like 27-30" in Nov, so MET winter is about 55" or so.
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1.1" overnight.
This event tonight has turned into pretty much a run of the mill stat padder.
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6 minutes ago, MJOatleast7 said:
25:1
Yep- not unusual for here, but definitely rarer this winter with the front end cement/mix to rain events.
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4.8" on .19" LE.
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1 hour ago, OceanStWx said:
Hmm, is @Damage In Tolland going to pick me up some Very Green at Tree House today?
Was in ORH this past weekend and I had to make my first trip over there to see what all the fuss is about. Line was about 10-15 minutes, so not bad from hearing what it can be. Haven't popped open a Very Green yet--only Julius and Haze. So many IPA/DIPA options, haven't felt the need for Tree House trip until I was in the area, but they were pretty tasty.
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Nasty day here. Ontario bands reaching all the way to SVT along with a little orographic help resulting in on and off white out throught the day. No idea how much has fallen with the winds, its just zipping along right on top the the glacier into the woods.....or maybe out into outer space..lol.
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23 minutes ago, powderfreak said:
You're still in a good spot there at 1100ft with higher terrain like immediately next to you. Downslope effects haven't fully or really taken place at all unless it's really blocked east flow. You'll be warmer for sure on the west side but as far as precipitation and snow goes, you'll do well. Manchester, further away from the terrain is far enough out there for the waterfall effect of sinking air into a hole. They have to get a lot of compressional heating from wind flow.
Yes, your right PF. It is pretty noticeable too when I drive into town( middle of the valley)from my place..almost always less snow with any SE/E/NE wind.
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9 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said:
Your location is one of the best west of the Greens for snow and retention, IMO. Having the Taconics and Mt. Equinox west of you definitely helps mitigate the easterly downsloping and torches a bit. Narrow valleys are generally much better than the wide valleys.
I've had perpetual snow cover since November 9th. It would be something if I can keep some patchy snow around until May 9th like I did last year to break the 6 month mark with snow OTG.
Right, having the Taconics to the west I guess is kind of lucky geological feature. Everyone knows that Bennington can be a pit, but the difference between here and there can be very stark at times considering we are both elevated valley towns around 700-800ft. Obviously no comparison to any East Slope areas. Retention is pretty pathetic even here and everywhere up and down VT on the west side. I mean look at cocorahs up north, Underhill has depths of 5-10" while Jspin is 30" with lower elevation.
The best spots valley wise around these parts are 1K+ tucked in against the West slope of greens or East Slopes of Taconis. I marked about where I am now.
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15 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said:
1.6" of crap last night brings my season total to 102.8". Depth ranges from 22-29" with an average of 25.5" The pack is solid and you can walk on it without sinking into it more than a few inches.
I'd guess this is pretty close to average at my location, but I don't really have a climatology to go by yet that really represents this spot well. Snowfall has been above average in the North Country (correct me if I'm wrong), but below average in SNE. The depth here was around 40-42" in each of the past 2 Februarys prior to the mega torches. It got wiped down to 8-12" with bare spots in the sun each year. Then of course I had 90" in the first 2 weeks of last March, with a peak depth around 55-60". Imagine if we didn't have that damn mega torch what the depth would've been.
Statistics says that won't likely happen again for a while, but I hope we can get something decent in the first half of March that's not one of these fast moving, annoying SWFE mixers. The North Country has managed to get more snow and less mix than I have, which explains the higher totals there. A nice coastal or colder SWFE redeveloper with backside upslope would be good.
All things considered though it hasn't been a bad winter here. Not great, but not bad by any stretch of the imagination. We were able to establish a base early thanks to Snowvember, which was good for the snow mobilers and ski areas. The occasional rainy cutter and thaw have made for some sketchy periods (especially from late December through early January), but the lack of mega torches has been a life saver.
Its a definitely been a pretty clear NW to SE gradient with regards to snowfall across NE.
76" Season to date here which is pretty much close to seasonal average-so I guess that's pretty impressive for mid-late Feb., but the amount of change over events has been frustrating
I think I've even had almost constant cover here since Nov--which is almost impossible in the valley spots west of the Greens, so that's pretty impressive with the amount of cutters thrown in.
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1 hour ago, PowderBeard said:
Heading to Magic for Thursday and hoping for the best. Could be one of those deals where Bromley down the road with the 500' higher base does a ton better.
Not going to matter in this one i dont think. It's not an elevation event. Warm push aloft is the issue and eveywhere changes over to IP and maybe some ZR. Shouldn't be much of difference between Magic, Bromley, Stratton.
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Got up to 44F here..nice and toasty.
Was snowing sideways pretty hard this morning , just some light rain in the middle of town though at lower elevation.
A few tenths on the board as BL temps were 34-35
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Just now, mreaves said:
Chittenden County...
1 NE South Burlingto 9.5 1200 PM 2/13 NWS Office
South Burlington 9.3 1050 AM 2/13 Public
2 NNE Shelburne 8.9 1120 AM 2/13 Public
2 E South Burlington 8.4 1050 AM 2/13 NWS Employee
Hinesburg 8.0 1005 AM 2/13 Public
1 S Essex Center 7.9 1130 AM 2/13 NWS Employee
Milton 7.0 1000 AM 2/13 Public
Colchester 7.0 850 AM 2/13 Public
Malletts Bay 7.0 850 AM 2/13 Public
Jonesville 7.0 1130 AM 2/13 Public
Jericho 6.7 1040 AM 2/13 Public
1 ENE Essex Junction 6.6 730 AM 2/13 NWS Employee
1 ENE South Burlingt 6.5 630 AM 2/13 NWS Employee
1 SE South Burlingto 6.5 758 AM 2/13 CoCoRaHS
2 SW Milton 6.5 730 AM 2/13 NWS Employee
Burlington Intl Airp 6.4 654 AM 2/13 ASOS
2 NNW Williston 6.0 845 AM 2/13 NWS Employee
1 SW Milton 6.0 630 AM 2/13 NWS Employee
1 E Nashville 5.4 645 AM 2/13 Co-Op Observer
Essex Center 5.3 530 AM 2/13 NWS Employee
WSW Williston 5.0 700 AM 2/13 CoCoRaHS
2 NW Westford 4.8 610 AM 2/13 NWS Employee
Charlotte 4.5 854 PM 2/12 Public
Shelburne 4.5 856 PM 2/12 Public
2 SW Colchester 3.8 911 PM 2/12 Broadcast Media
1 NNE Huntington 3.7 855 AM 2/13 CoCoRaHS
5 NNE Underhill 3.5 800 AM 2/13 CoCoRaHS
3 SSE Richmond 3.0 700 AM 2/13 CoCoRaHS
1 NNE Jericho 2.7 720 AM 2/13 CoCoRaHS
4 NNE Underhill 2.0 630 AM 2/13 CoCoRaHS
North Underhill 2.0 630 AM 2/13 Co-Op ObserverIt is kind of interesting seeing that crazy downslope near Underhill/Jericho/etc with only 2-3 inches, but then BTV area almost 10"
March 22-23 Storm Thread: Cabins and Pony-Os?
in New England
Posted
Most of those totals are from like 6-8am in SVT. I know that's my .4" from 7am cocorahs