TheBudMan

Yes !!!!

I think this is going to be a rt 128 storm.

Waiting for the inevitable post from Rev wanting his damaging ice storm

#beer

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That is going to some enormous mass flux when that does indeed happen, and there is potential for a very large event.

Georgie furiously typing 'severe blizzard over 38 consecutive days starting next week'

26 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

Congrats CAR and potato farmers

Congrats Vim Toot !!! 

Can't wait to read Georgie's analysis.  Start at 80-100" for 12/24-25 and adjust upward as needed ?   

So great to see the posts from Fella !   Happy you're out and feeling better Jerry.   Get those muttaaaaafukkas up it's winter baby !!! 

14 hours ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Health scares like some of us have are a good reminder to cherish every day. Life is short. Smile and greet the people in your neighborhood. Ask your co-workers how they are doing. Keep in touch with family as much as you can. All the money in the world cannot replace misspent time focused on the wrong things. 

Most of all, take your personal fitness seriously. Obesity keeps our Healthcare system in business. You only get one body. Take care of it. Keep that heart pumping and the cardiovascular system healthy. Not only will it make you feel better, even give you a buzz during the day, but it will improve healing and circulation throughout your muscles and joints. Thus leading to better aging. I'm trying to buy back in myself. Been killing the peleton. Didn't do it this week. Bummer. 

I just got off my ride @DotRat_Wx, lets go get yours !!! 

2 hours ago, klw said:

More BTV foliage talk:

Those trees look very different at ground level and actually turned yellow weeks ago.

I took this photo about half an hour ago:

 

Quick walk to Foam Brewing      #beer   

Jay wants 

Just pouring rain outside and winds packing a punch.  Had 0.7 awhile ago and probably came close to doubling it in the last 45 minutes. 

Wanda will look real nice 12 hours from now on satellite s

1 hour ago, DotRat_Wx said:

How is everyone doing?

We are almost there.

I work weekends very early. Getting up at 5:30a these first few brisk days has given me incredible flashbacks to college. Waking up at the azz crack of dawn for football practice. I miss it, but I don't at the same time. 

I am very much looking forward to winter. I love it. Such an exciting part of the year. Our first cold shots of air coming our way. 

All of this rain and greenery about to be frozen dead within a month. Exciting!!!!

How is the outlook looking? @40/70 Benchmark

Are the hens getting laid? @dendrite

How fat are the squirrels this year? @weathafella

Just wait til @weathafella starts droppin the mutha fuuuuuukkkkkkkkas    

Ant vs. Nick      fight fight fight fight 

A Ginxy and Rev special. The moon coming up at Good Harbor Beach and a great Foam Brewing beverage #beer !!!

Under an EHC and we can't even get a post from Wiz ?  what gives ??? 

I think we need to have Jay and Wiz snuggled up at the Cape house tonight.  Wiz scanning the dark skies over the ocean looking for F4s about to come onshore while Miley Cyrus softly plays in the background and spiders crawl across the floor towards him.

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

What happened in Clinton, MA yesterday may just be a warm up....one aspect that will be pretty prevalent IMO is tornado risk, and its being glossed over.

You just know @Damage In Tolland is hoping the eye passes about 25 miles to his west      RFQ FTW !!! 

*if* Henri approaches can I request a series of posts from Tip on how he's going to board up his new windows ?   

Also do we uninstall when a Hurricane comes ?   so many questions for us 

This is like a winter storm.   Can't wait for all the 12Z models to move 1000 miles east and weenies to be crushed.   Hopefully the busload of MILFs on the way to see Pickles doesn't turn around  

Where is Wiz ?   We keep getting 384 hr maps of EMLs for days from him and now here comes Thursday and he's on the bench with the scorebook again 

 Depending on the model of
choice values range from generally 1000-2000 J/kg on the
conservative side of guidance of MLCAPE with the NAM being a bit of
an outlier with MLCAPE ranging from 1000-4000 J/kg with the highest
values in western portions of the CWA. On top of this will have an
EML moving in aloft on Thursday with mid level lapse rates between 6-
7 degrees Celsius per km and 7.5-8.5 degree Celsius low level lapse
rates. One thing that may help us in the severe risk is it doesn`t
look like things move in until late in the day.

I think Tip said we’d see this back off some 

Prob more

Found it thanks.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1319.html

DISCUSSION...Associated with larger-scale mid/upper troughing  digging in the St. Lawrence Valley/lower Great Lakes region, forcing  for ascent with a lead speed maximum (30-50 kts in the 500-300 mb  layer) appears to be providing support for an ongoing, well  organized cluster of thunderstorms across southeastern Ontario.   Perhaps aided by an associated strengthening surface cold pool, this  activity has accelerated some (up to 40 kt) over the past couple of  hours, and may reach the Ottawa vicinity by around 19Z.  Along trailing outflow into the vicinity of its intersection with a  southward advancing cold front, additional thunderstorm development  and intensification is now also well underway.  Supported by  moderate southeasterly low-level inflow of moist air characterized  by CAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg, this seems likely to continue with the  evolution of another upscale growing and organizing cluster/segment  possible.  This may begin impacting the Ontario shores of Lake  Ontario into the Watertown vicinity as early as 20-21Z, perhaps a  bit earlier and more substantively than suggested by the latest  Rapid Refresh.  Although low-level wind fields are generally weak, the effective  downward mixing of higher momentum air aloft, associated with the  well developed/maturing organized convective system and associated  surface cold pools, probably will be accompanied by increasing  potential for strong gusts at least approaching severe limits.

3 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I say this with love

A literal monkey could put a A.C unit in that window ..maybe you need to do a mod like adding a tiny piece of wood so it sits with a better tilt . This doesn’t require pages of discussion Geezus . Buy the Unit , put it in and enjoy the relief . I mean am I missing something ...it doesn’t need to be vacuum sealed To 1/100’th specifications 

All @Damage In Tolland wants is a picture of the lawn.....is that too much to ask for ? 

any hope for next week Tip or do I make like Ray and get into the tub and turn the toaster on ?