sarcean

There is so much QPF that there doesn't need to be all snow to be a great storm. With nearly 2" of liquid...even if it is a 6:1 or 8:1 ratio for a decent portion of the event, it will still be significant.

I plan on going to Banner Elk to Sugar Mountain...if I can make it! If these snow totals are even remotely close travel will be damn near impossible past Boone.

Where can I see all the euro ensembles?

Hoping it stays cold enough here in Greensboro / the Triad about 30 miles from the VA border for a mostly snow event

I'm liking what I'm seeing but .... 48 HR Rule - NEVER trust ANY model showing snow in the SE past 48 hours

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 211 PM Friday... Upgrade to Winter Storm Warning for Forsyth... Guilford... Davidson... Randolph... Alamance... Orange... and Person Counties into Saturday afternoon... Based on satellite, radar, and observational data including heavy wet snow upstream from Jackson to Birmingham to much of western NC (locally already 5-8 inches)... we will upgrade our Northwest Piedmont to a Winter Storm Warning (2-4 inches of wet snow), some locally higher totals possible. The battle of the cold air (very marginal) with surface temperatures just above freezing, and warmer air aloft intruding into mainly eastern NC (or as far west as potentially Greensboro and Lexington this evening), with an initial warm ground have been greatly limiting snowfall accumulations thus far. However, as we lose insolation with nightfall, most guidance suggests snow will continue (very wet) through near sunset, with a potential lull in some areas early to mid evening, before increasing again later tonight. Storm totals of 2-4 slushy inches are possible with locally 5 inches just north of the urban areas of Winston- Salem to Greensboro, and around Roxboro. Roads should be wet to slushy, especially on bridges and overpasses.

Saw NWS upgraded to Winter Storm Warning for Greensboro/Winston

It is 33 in Greensboro and 34 in Winston so it will start sticking very soon.

To the surprise of no one who follows snow storms in our region.