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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    Three weekends in a row we've had big storm potential Last weekend- Fail- Too far inland This weekend- Fail- Wide Right Next Weekend? Will it be the charm or another dissapointment
  2. HVSnowLover
    They delayed schools here for a dusting on grass. It was honestly amusing. I think the ice event a few weeks ago scared people.
  3. HVSnowLover
    I got a dusting on grass that melted a half hour after precip ended so I am also skeptical of the totals in the city.
  4. HVSnowLover
    Yes urbanization is a big factor too which is why North Shore of LI seems to hold onto snow longer than the rest of the metro area.
  5. HVSnowLover
    Warm in late Jan/Early Feb isn't necessarily bad but def relies on threading the needle to get anything.
  6. HVSnowLover
    Where? So far seems to be the one location that busted high lol.
  7. HVSnowLover
    Yea thats the difference when you live somewhere that doesn't get much rain in January lol. The coast can't hold onto a snowpack without a big storm because of how frequently it rains.
  8. HVSnowLover
    Agree I think this was a expect not much hope for the best scenario more than a bust. This type of situation usually doesn't produce much.
  9. HVSnowLover
    It's climo though, places to our NW are not having a great winter but still have some snowpack.
  10. HVSnowLover
    Yea I'm sure that storm will come back and forth as usual on the long range models but atm I'm more interested in the mid week potential even though its more likely a minor event.
  11. HVSnowLover
    I cant tell if you mean the model or the winter lol. The model sure hasn't been too great this winter.
  12. HVSnowLover
    Looks like the next threat would be around Tuesday/Wednesday of next week. At least theres a lot of different waves and some cold air around so chances are something may work out even if it's not a KU event.
  13. HVSnowLover
    This storm was definitely very dissaponting, less snow than snow squalls or the recent inland runner storm. The writing was sort of on the wall with this one once we could see how warm it was and how long the rain would hang on. However I don't really agree with the sentiment that every storm this winter has been a bust.
  14. HVSnowLover
    It's not looking good and I don't love the setup but the trend this year has been for storms to overperform a bit so we'll see.
  15. HVSnowLover
    The models did ok with this except the Euro none of them really had a hit inside 120 hours,
  16. HVSnowLover
    18z NAM pretty juicy with this, has a swath of 3-5 inches a just NW of I95.
  17. HVSnowLover
    I do too actually. But this will be some coup if the euro pulls it off.
  18. HVSnowLover
    CMC way SE, Euro on it's own here, sigh.
  19. HVSnowLover
    GFS still persistently holding onto the better threat being Sunday/Monday.
  20. HVSnowLover
    Thats true but the other models look a little slower than the gfs. The other models at least build a storm in the southern Mid Atlantic.
  21. HVSnowLover
    gfs keeps ejecting that energy so fast.
  22. HVSnowLover
    Last event was one of the rare times the mid level warming was overdone. Usually the NAM nails those events but always exceptions.
  23. HVSnowLover
    RGEM/NAM are good supportive models if other models are on board but not models I would really look at for outcome at this range. Hoping GFS,Ukie, or CMC come on board at 12z. Euro holding serve for a 4th straight run would also be big I think.
  24. HVSnowLover
    Yea one storm may or may not have anything to do with the other but will be interesting to see how these both play out in terms of model verification since it's sort of Euro vs all right now for both.
  25. HVSnowLover
    I wouldn't expect all but I'd feel better if at least one of the gfs/cmc/ukmet were showing a hit on some of their runs.
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