NCSNOW

12z Euro really beefed up the moisture east of the mtns. Cant ask for better than 25-.50. 

57 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

NAM looks drier, especially as it enters NC, almost evaporates to 0 precip! Much more realistic 

6z Nam is the heaviest precip run yet for NC. Snow map doesnt yield alot in spots probably because, rain,ice or convection. 

Thats all the way out. Fickle situation east of Apps. Usually its Nada and I dont even look at. This has a chance to give someone an inch, not everyone. Canadian 0z is Dry bones. Just a heavy dusting most, even western areas SE.

GFS0z

Well be able to see the RDPS and other short range models tomorrow night once inside 60hrs. 

These clown maps from the Nam seem to be showing that its probably gonna be convective when the front pushes through. Someones liable to get a good 30 minute thump, like when a front comes through in the spring and summer and one county over just a quick shower. 

Missed that streamer in mby that run lol, 

This may turn out better than 18z if thats possible.

Hr 54 Nam , always nice to be on or north of 540 thickness line before moisture arrives. Assuming it does here in a few minutes. 18z we where warmer, 540 was in central VA

Here comes the front hr 42 0z Nam: Nice pool of energy hanging out off Texas Coast

0z Nam trending wrong direction;

31 minutes ago, SouthCentralWakeCo said:

Do you think there could be more NW trends before tomorrow night?

Oh yea and it can trend away from this as well. hour 30 if the trough can just go a nose hair negative itll be way futher inland. Right now its neutral at hr 30 and honestly here at hr 42 should be more qpf back in land NC in my opinion. Well see, been a fun one to watch.

If theres ever an event that should  nail you buckethead and met,this is it. West facing above 3500 and a artic front coming at the perfect angle. Gonna hit hard and fast. Then stick around for several days.

Kuchera more, because of rates

2 hours ago, SnoJoe said:

Since nobody has posted in a day here, I take it the event next week is nothing more than a little cold weather. Is there anything, I mean anything, on the horizon for something worth looking forward too?

I'm still going 4-8 for you. Let me know how it shakes out. Here's latest models, Good luck to you guys!

End Result: Thats whats called getting Nam'ed after several days watching for a NW trend and finally at h5 you get get minor tweaks to break your way and win that wx lottery scenario I was talking about a coupe of days ago.

3 hours latter still going

2 hours ago, tramadoc said:

NAM’d with rain. LOL

I guess this is Rain

See if Nam can hold serve here at 0z

Gvegas up to Elizabeth City got nam'ed. Congrats. Still think tommorow night into Monday could get even better. Follow the short range models at h5. Leading the way. 

Anyone seeing if euro keeps that south end of the front amped up wave/ gyro, precip max at 12z?

1 hour ago, PackGrad05 said:

What's the latest trends for Sunday night/Monday?  I know the last EPS had 7/51 with snow for RDU.

I was just taking a peek on my phone to see. Away from house today. Dont have access to euro which is runing now. Maybe someone can chime in that does and give a 10 day update. Watch the 18z nam and short range canadian. Theyll be out around 400 ish today. Ive enjoyed tracking the sunday night monday deall on h5  vort maps. Knowing its  highly unkikely for mby, but it really is so close. Still think northern coastal plain can score here. Well see. Biggest deal for certain is mtns ought th to rack up several inches with front tuesday night into wednesday. Im going 2 to 5 below 4000ft and 4-8 above 4000.  When it want snow in your backyard, what you have to do is forecast for everyone elses and watch it on webcams lol.

Why are yall sweating LR? Got 3 shots this week. Longest one is sunday night into monday and mainly down east. Artic front again is long shot, but euro is right we can squeeze out .2 if that little wave will develop on tail end. Then next weekend as of now looks great overrunner for almost whole region. May , should have a few more shots post Feb 10 till March. 

9 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

Yeah we don't need 50 pages of cliff jumping for each storm. LOL.
We just roll with the punches.

Exactly and no doubt thats what youd be thumbing through. Ill get nada mid week most likely, but definitely come in here to see how you guys make out. Thinking this looks like a 2-5 for the below 4,000ft crowd and 4-8 above 4,000.  East of the ridge line, be happy if you net flurries,till out in the ciastal plain.

1 hour ago, griteater said:

Nice seeing the Euro with the Feb 2-3 storm, and FV3 was close.  Not sure why anyone would be pessimistic about this time period in general.  There is some decent pattern support for it

Agreed 100%. Im chasing unicorns with Sunday deal and mid week  cold front flizzard.