NCSNOW
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Everything posted by NCSNOW
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The exit angle heading, will affect yall as far as qpf and Brick in regards to waa alot. Its a royal back yard snow rumble between the shenandoah crowd and the triangle snow hole crowd.
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Orientation of lp exiting coast, angle it took on 0z verse 18z is what did it. Look at the 18z clown verse 0z clown. Then look at loop. Cant throw waa over wake county as much as oppossed to climbing ,hugging coast up to hatteras.
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Is the 3k lower resolution than 12 k, which one is more trustworthy from past expierence. Use to just have the eta, now its 3k 12k y2k lol.
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Oz Nam has brought the snow shades south on the clown.
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They have a public park right in the middle of town with big sleigh riding hill. Ask tyler penland in mtn thread. Also some tanger outlets for wifey. Nice clean beatifull town
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Its accurate cause its showing 1.5 to 2 inches qpf and all frozen. Its not catching the diff in sleet,snow frzng rn. But its dead on in highlighting the area thats gone stay all frozen. Remarkable job in that regard. Just gotta read between the lines that the qpf is there and surface temps for 12 to 20 inches of snow. It might miss thermal up above head, warm nose, but its had the right idea all along and zeroed in from several days ago.
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Skys have cleared out. Nothing but stars and 0 wind. Radiating like a rock
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Thanks poimen. ALL ABOUT THERMAL PROFILE NOW. QPF will be there
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Driving. How bout 850s
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Talk About perfect timing. Leaving work by GSO airport and the thick milk clouds that hung in all day are vanishing. Should be able to radiate for a brief period next couple hours before cloud deck rolls back in. Havent noticed any ne breeze at all, figured hp would start sending a little breeze down the east side of apps before long
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They from the same family of programers
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Ill cash out with 18 on that euro clown map and call it a day
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Been consistent at flipping the 850 0 line back inland.
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Those are 44dbz over my house on that frame. Thats whiteout, 3-4 inch per hour rate.
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You runing the soundings off pti or smith reynolds airport. I love all your post as your close by to me ,burns,packfan and a few others. Saves us alot if legwork
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ILMROSS Good points. Also how the models got egg faced in the crusher. If you read the write up from NWS all the occlusion etc that happened off the coast as storm bombed out. It was a good write up on how they missed it, a what went wrong model world kinda of deal.
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This new model doesnt disapoint. Well spent tax money. When congress designated/budgeted mental health money,they had the SE snow weenie on their minds.
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Look at heading of the wave more east ots as oppossed to NE trying to turn,bend. Wasnt their an oldtimer rule a wave enetering west coast always exited same longitude east coast most times. Beleive this one came in San Diego/ LA area
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Best or safe way for areas to luck up on the fringes is to root for the early thump. You can see column cool from top down at the beging as precip breaks out on most model runs if you watch real close. See 850/0 line push south.So if you can saturate and get a good burst , itll sustain itself and delay the changeover. If you get a virga storm then the opportunity will be lost and its straight to ice when things rev up and heat up above with SE winds, warm nose. So you want deny the warmnose but if you can delay it a few hours, then all want be lost and maybe at the end get a quick burst of an inch to whiten things back up.
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If the nam verefies, ill have several inches of snow packed with an inch of sleet, with another 1 to 2 inches snow on top. Yard will be like concrete.
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It goes out to 72 hrs, so becoming usefull now and need to monitor here on in. Laptop at work and aggetating looping stuff on phone.
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Yes. Fact state line east down 74 corridor into sandhills, then fluctuates up n down between there and south of hwy 64 by a good bit. Hard to watch models on a phone, atleast for us old folks.
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RGEM through 72 keeps 850 below freezing whole time for triad. For what its worth
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Comical and on que. Tell you what I may not care if its ever right , but the fv3 is my favorite model now. Ive never been plastered with clown Maps so good in my life. The kicker is , it hasnt been alone. My area may not get 20 +, but I doubt Ill ever expierence another week of digital snow to rival these past 5+ days.
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I want buy the Old GFS or Nam with regards to anything unless I see support from Euro suite and or Ukie. Rule of thumb. For the record when i see Can and that new FV3 siding with Ukie and Euro, eps. I know which way to swing
