NCSNOW

Check out 18z canadian and fv3 for next Tues/Wed. Lot more easier to do than this tightrope phase we where hoping to pull off and still could enc espeacilly. But even there high odds still.

Canadian and fv3 look really good for next Tuesday into wednesday and more on their heels for latter in the week. 7 day mark. See if the models can hang onto this and get inside 5 days. Not depending on a pv lobe for cold. Nice 1040 hp. Pure snow sounding in most of carolinas. Canadian consolidates energy alot better at h5. Cant use the crapfest ole gfs. Does another northern call cutoff . What a pathetic model. 7 days isnt what anyone wants to hear. But it all, including this weekends wide right miss, fits the bill of what has been advertised. Post jan 25th pattern change to a great look. So it has legs, lets see if it can play it out or throw egg in our face.

Guarantee your house if its out in the country especially toward Rocky Mount Wilson airport will be mid 20's by 9pm. Watch RWI, They are the masters at radiating.

Oh there masters at playing catch-up after it starts unfolding. Moisture is building fast off to our west and return flow will set up shop no doubt. But even way off to my east, its gonna be even colder, clouds delayed. so if moisture is in here early enough its gonna be a big mess in the morning commute down I40 toward triangle.

Alrighty we've reached the daytime max. Sitting here 37/3 at 4;30 pm. Clear skies, so in 90 minutes its full on radiational cooling. We see the biggest/fastest drop the first 2-3 ours post sunset. So if we stay pretty clear to 9pm this evening , gonna be easily sitting in the mid 20's pre -clouds, along with single digit DPs. Then its just a race to get in moisture . Have to say this is a recipe for some super icy road conditions in the morning if the drizzle or moisture make it in here by 6 am. Again Raleigh nws has nada. Must have a lot of faith in models.

After looking over 12z , still not settled and all options on the table. Several days away from getting a real clear picture. My feelings right now is still a last second phaser and it rides right up the se coast or barely off shore. Well see.

Looks like Ukmet might be bringing the funk to ENC if temps are right. Bombs going off Carolina Coast

Today will mark the 10th day out of the last 13 Greensboro has been at or below normal. Big shift since January 9th. With the massive torch first 9 days of Jan, weve cut it down to +3 for january so far. Be pretty impresive if it ends up average or only +1 for month.

19, dp 1 @ 930 am. See where we end up at 530 and if its clear enough to radiate back down before clouds roll in tonight. Raleigh nws has nada for my county. If it stays dry before 9 or 10 am wednesday good call, if not then watch out. Raleigh has a forecasted high of 52 tommorow at Greensboro. If it stays rainy all day, ill be shocked to see greensboro crack 40 mark,let alone 52 with insitu wedge. Taking the under on tommorows 52.

Ill take my chances with that fv3.

Speak for yourself. Lot of downeast NC guys and even central NC back to Triad can do well with late bloomers. Fact its prefered for several posters

Thats a foot plus over alot of NC. Id cash out and the pattern can do what it wants rest of way

Fv3 for the win. Nice!

Walk outside look up. Moon eclipse is peaking pretty cool.

Ots looks like gfs. Or as grit says rots

Maybe we can get caa from that spoke over ne or since its ns system itll produce its own. But yes I trust hp over ne the most no doubt

Snowing miss, central Alabama up into TN at 156

GFS Zoom ►

0z gfs is lot diff than 18z h5. Lost the northern cali closed low finally. See what happens . Energy flying everywhere

Counts sleet frzng rn. So its ice,but still gives what Lookout was talking about 2 days ago suport. Just drizzle most likely

REGIONS Prev. RunNext Run FORECAST GIFTREND GIF Precip/Moisture Lower Dynamics Upper Dynamics Thermodynamics

12k nam. Paints 1-3 ne ga upstate all wnc.

Everyone just got 0z Nam ed for mid week lol.

Phone/hassel. Posted gefs post storm above a few post back

Gefs snow map is a beaut. Eps is way up since last night as well.