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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I think there may be an area of subby between the fire hose induced low level front in eastern NE, and the mid level deformation back over the Berkshires-NYS-VT.
  2. Well, we can all agree that the ULL closing off over Nashville isn't ideal.
  3. The EURO usually is a bit fast to do that, but it has been the seasonal tenor.
  4. No, its not good....there is no uncertainty about it. Question is does it trend far enough to completely pork us. This season is always LBSW. Hate it.
  5. Give this type of event over a subby hold ridden, CJ plagued mess like 12/17, any time, any day. I know it sucks south of Boston, it time to regress, I guess. It heartens the soul, but regress-eh, digress.....lol
  6. I like 00z a bit better....its a shade west....touch warmer w less precip here. Noise.
  7. You have no idea what I would pay, and the havoc I'd wreak. You think people are on edge now due to covid? Let mother nature allow me to take the wheel....Feb 2015 from Novie through March, every season.
  8. I agree with you, but it still technically a mod la nina....its incumbent upon the seasonal forecaster to correctly account for said changes.
  9. I'd sell the GEM, as usual. But if that did happen, yea....see you for cane season.
  10. Literally, dude....after I weenied out and the wife and kid went down, I had a Playstation orgie til like 4.
  11. First of all, no one is ever a douche for calling me on something that ends up incorrect....especially if it results in more snow lol Secondly,I never said it was impossible...just pretty rare, but if its ever going to happen, it would be with an extreme NAO block on the level of 2010. Lets just let it play out, though...
  12. Euro, NAM and GEM all in very good agreement on precip type issues out to 495....right now, anyway.
  13. This may finally by my long awaited event that I take scooter to the shed.
  14. You don't have to twist my arm to take this run....cut this by at least a third...
  15. Yea, much safer run for you guys out there...with still the possible exception of CTRV. Not only downslope from easterly fetch, but also maybe subby due to deformation just west. I could see one max with lower fronto east, then another way out in Berks or e NYS into VT w mid level fronto. Still think there is a reasonable shot it wnt be this far west, though. Watch for this amped trend to steady and potentially even reverse this wknd.
  16. Maybe if the precip was light, but that is the height of the hose and its pounding. Only thing I can think of is it just kills the ratios.
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