40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Yea, NAM is my preferred solution to be sure. I just died on the inside a bit.... -
That NAM run would jack near the area that 3/5/01 did, just a tad east in se NH and extreme s ME
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"There's the demon"...seems to have shifted the focus north a bit....later capture maybe....
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The fact that you can vividly and specifically recall the precise time of last consumption implies that you have been giving it a bit of thought...
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Yea, this may have been "that run" that just goes Phil on everyone, as scooter would say.
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Just stop what your are doing, grab a 40 and a brown paper bag, and run to a wolfpack game scantily clothed.
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Yea, I would like to see the EURO do this before considering a 4/97 firehose.
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Believe it or not, grammatic and spelling proficiency isn't my primary consideration on internet forums.
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Either way, its going to a nice storm...wasn't meant to sound like I was bitching.
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Yea, that is what I was getting at earlier with my post RE usual phasing imperfections
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I'm not complaining.....more just an observation. I haven't been planning on historic for a couple of days, anyway.
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Okay....we'll see. I am not looking at the run.....I usually don't as it comes out, so just FYI.
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Just seems like every time people begin to derobe, SOMETHING happens to negate any perceived positives. So it wasn't the PV this time, but it sprouted tits. I think that is a sign that this one just isn't going to make to that historic tier.
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Hopefully EURO will look like 18z yesterday.
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Don't look at it...don't do it...
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The the EURO will get a little noisy to the east again
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We always think that every run on all of the models, then the PV plops onto your face at the 11th hour.
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Just get nude and prance around your hill
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January 4, 2018 was like that around here...broke the '78 record for tide, but it was "only" around a foot of snow because it was occluded and LBSW.
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There is a reason why Atlanta, GA hasn't seen a foot of snow in 29 years, despite the long range euro closing H5 down there like 3 times a month
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Unless the phase is over Albany, those are like death and taxes....lock those bitches in...fitted phase like a glove.
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These are the changes I have been preaching about over the past several days....models always view phases with beer googles until you get to like legit 12 hours out, and sometimes never really view it correctly. Exceedingly rare to phase as proficiently as modeled....this is why I kept selling the early capture crap and saying it would tick NE. Folks kept telling me the earlier capture made sense synoptically, and I was just like ..."wait for it".
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It seemed to me like we were knocking on that door again...then the 00z euro wobbled east a tic, which was fine....but I didn't like 06z doing it again. I hope this isn't a trend of chasing that convective crap. I would love to see 12z and just a tic back west....lets just change the frequency of this "noise".
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I get it, but huge shifts aren't necessary to pork a lot of us. Down there, the storm has granted you weenie immunity, so I get why you breathe easier (pretending you care)
