40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I think that is very doable. -
You can start to see some minny screw zones show up in downslope areas due to the easterly fetch.
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Its a actually a hair better than 00z.
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I think its also easy to get carried away with the negative inertia of recent trends and lose sight of the fact that even the 00z EURO is a major winter storm outside of I 495. I'm guilty of it myself.
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They got shredded.
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Phasing does often end delayed, hence NE...no doubt.
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I was speaking more to thermals....the usual clown suspects were relatively reserved, but that usually stingy algorithm saw something it liked. I think it speaks to the ample easterly inflow coupled with strong antecedent airmass.
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Will, what do you make of this? That is not clown algorithm and its usually conservative, but it seems a bit overzealous in this case. The other clown maps are very little... Think it just really likes the antecedent airmass?
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00z EURO still puts down over a foot of snow in ORH country on the narcan map.
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As bad as the NAM is, its still like an ensemble member capable to spotting a trend....I honestly get a bit nervous sometimes when I see it super amped this close in, and that is the truth. Who would have thought the OP GFS would lead the amped charge on a coastal?
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Hold it back and conserve it for the next one...delayed but not denied. Ha
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Imagine if it even ended up a fish? LOL The weather weenie section at the Bill's stadium would be filled with nooses Saturday night.
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I'll take whatever I can get. Even the 00z EURO was a legit winter storm for most of us....just have the bleeding stopped, and salvage a respectable storm as we continue in a good pattern.
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You know what I meant
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I think some would....there are those who legitimately employ sound logic, and others who utilize that as a defense mechanism, or aversion to reality if you will....I could have written my thesis for my MSW on this place.
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That is one of those obnoxious elements of this place.....when things are not going the way of cold and snow, so many people, whether they like the solution or hate it, scrutinize every word typed. Whether it be out of frustration, or trolling.
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Another semantical sodomist. Hopefully the trend stops today.
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GEFS over ACK......if we can at least stop the trend today, this is still a legit winter storm for most of us, just not a blockbuster. These ensemble tracks jive with my feelings all along right now, but again...lets stop the trend.
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I will say this...there is a reason I won't blog about this until tomorrow at the earliest.
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JMHO to get like a foot here...not for several inches to rain.
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Looks like 06z EPS mean is over Taunton, but the median is more like Boston.
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Waiting for the next event.
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I hope it works out for Jeff...not many areas boned worse than me the past couple of years, but his area def has.
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I think it goes hand in hand....weaker and/or further east first wave allows more space for amplification upstream, which increases earlier/more phasing with the PV lobe.
