40/70 Benchmark

This is a good winter to compile a nice reading list.

Yes, independent of any stratospheric stuff, I agree.

Hopefully next year is a modoki el nino....a fifth consecutive significantly subpar season here would be unprecedented dating back to at least 1956. I am not sure what in the actual fu*# Scott is looking for in terms of regression, but this several year stretch of mine absolutely epitomizes the 1980s. Granted, I am sure its more localized, but it still counts....because if it doesn't, and I need to go through this for another half decade, I am going to beat someone senseless. What a nightmare-

E QBO la nina seasons, especially ones biased east, actually have a propensity for big finishes, which we touched upon with the SSW aspect.

Its not necessarily an age thing. I am old enough to have a firm grasp of climo, and this season has been subpar. Down there it has not. Simple.

Yea, I never implied that it would be a tall task for your area to hit climo....clearly stated that.

The Mighty Storms of New England

I agree.....no way the RNA will be as prohibitive. I do not think Feb is a lost cause.

My call was for late Jan/first half of Feb, but that maybe in trouble. I haven't looked at much TBH....tuning out for a bit.

I get that central CT has one okay, but most have not....most not as dire as my spot, but worse than central CT, nonetheless.

Agree.

Not what I said....stop putting words into my mouth. We are getting to the point at which many of us ARE going to need to cram some winter into a short period in order to even threaten climo...that is simply fact. And a very strong PV makes that more difficult to do....true, or false? Impossible, no. However, I do not like my chances of maintaining the great PAC that we have had throughout January for very long into February.

To the contrary, he is one of the few mets that I do not even believe is a snow hound.

If you actually think about what he said, its not a big leap of faith. He simply noted that the PV is nearing record strength in latter January, which it is, and that that is often correlated to a milder February. Not exactly a detail oriented long forecast, nor a way to drum up hits from a group of weather enthusiasts craving blizzards. Ugh....I need to do something else.

No, but it makes it unlikely that he is simply "trying for hits", which is what you implied.

He is the chief met in a major Boston market and just published a popular book, I think he's good in that respect. May just be that he feels this winter blows.

I'm all for that, at this point TBH. Gladly reshuffle milder....nothing redeeming about this to me. I'll take a mild few weeks, and hopefully gear up for a big finale in early March...if not, the end will at least be in sight. I've started draft prep this week...earliest ever.

I'm still right there with you, Steve, but I need to step back right now because I don't have anything constructive to add at this time. I'm just too frustrated and don't want to ruin every thread. Enjoy the anafront deal....I have zero interest in that. I look to end January with not much more than the 10" that I have right now, which is a very ominous juncture climo wise....4 seasons, which were all ratters. That said, I just refuse to believe that this is a rat, unless its a cleverly disguised rodent, like 1979-80. Laying low for now.

I'm out until something is more imminent....this is brutal. Time to start the futility watch IMBY and chase 1980...still have 9.9" to go.

Normally when winter sucks, I can start to look forward to my fantasy draft, but I can't even get that to verify this year.

I think he does.

I'm sure its nailing the fog banks over in England.

More VA snow...this season reminds me of 1979-1980.

Do you copy and paste every single post you make to the group online? lol

See what it does with 1/24...if that sucks, I am taking a break.