40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Hopefully we don't trend that anymore, but I expect things to escape a bit more...hopefully negated by guidance not being west enough with deformation. -
I will bet you $1000 the deformation sets up west of where guidance has it 12-24 hours out.
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Reverse regression, Methuen due.
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Well, it didn't totally work out...he described 10' drifts and a storm equal to or exceeding 1978, but phase was less proficient than expected.
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Good. F&*k Boxing Day......00Z CMC fine by me.
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No, just the DELI back then.....they started to ramp up with that stuff like 2004ish....selling pizza and such.
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My favorited AFD ever was the one from @wdrag on Sunday evening, March 4, 2001. Never forget reading that after I got home from my part time shift at MB
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That 32" for Methuen in 3/5/01 sounds about right...just north of there in se NH had JP at 36-40". I had about 22" in Wilmington.
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OOOOOHHH.....haha That makes perfect sense. Gotcha. Yea, I know this is a decent spot, I just moved here for a bad stretch. Hopefully that ends in about 72 hours-
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One thing I have in the back of my mind ....I have seen others mention this, is that these models are NOT going to launch these deformation zones far enough west. I remember vividly...in the lead up to March 14, 2018....model QPF was killing PYM, and I was near the edge of the good stuff. Then, in the wee hours of the morning.....it began as rain where I was in Wilmington, and I swear, I was out in my driveway at 3am looking for a football to spike bc I knew that meant. 31" later.....
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Yea, probably not jackpot, but I have a safe floor.
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GFS NARCAN......that seems a bit much, though. Sometimes that algorithm goes haywire.....I would cut that in half.
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Methuen, MA did not get 38" on Valentine's day 2007. That is patently false and inaccurate.
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Don had pics from Methuen? Random....
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Comforting thing for me is even the UK would get deformation here, but is probably wrong IMO.
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I had to google to verify that was a real place
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I do not buy the GFS and UK total escapes in the least.
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Interesting runs....had a telehealth tonight, so tied up. First Call tomorrow
