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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, the pattern is one thing....if the block is fleeting and then we roast, then fine....but when I refer to climo, I am implicating the mean of all years.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Climo isn't that tough for us on 3/8....its after mid months where it is more uphill.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    EURO now looks pretty much exactly like my first call (think positive snow depth change map, not dumb clowns)...not sure I will change much from the First Call on Sunday.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, neither did I....but the same reason I think forecasting snowfall at a seasonal level is fun, is why most don't bother....its so unpredictable. I think its fun. You just never know....and it evens out, for the most part.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, forecasters need to stop rip n' reading theJMA...its not all is cracked up to be-
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its funny to ball bust and poke fun in hindsight....but at the end of the day, I expected a -PNA with some periods of strong NAO blocking....and that has worked out. I'm not embarrassed to say that I didn't expect snowfall to turn out so paltry given those background states. Win some, lose some. This is why forecasting snowfall is such a crapshoot at a seasonal level....I nailed the pattern 2/3 months, but the favorable portion of the forecast (window for snow) just didn't produce.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, the NAO never "forces" anything....it just acts as a block, but it never forces the pattern...that's always either the Pacific or strat.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't mean the whole season...just the modeled stretch ahead with the sharp gradient around my area.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    This pattern is reminding me of 12/2007 a bit...
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, been hinted at
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Day 16 on the GEM ens mean...pissah lol
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    If it snows, it snows....I'm all melted out this season.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly couldn't care less. I'm waaaay past the dissapointment stage.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Devil is in the details.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Neg NAO raises the ceiling, which is why I like it, but doesn't guarantee said ceiling will be reached.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, I tossed the analog out there bc is was a big storm....that whiffed us....$hit for brains lol
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Cry me a fuc$ing river.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have 21.5"
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    2"
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, my nightmare is like around a foot while most spots are 2'+. PD II, Dec 2003 and Jan 2022 the worst.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just slashing at each other with Kocin books.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nah, I'd sign for that.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yikes...celebrity weenie cage matches...gtgs would be much better attended. Hell, I bet the Maine peeps would even make the journey for that.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    We ignored it.
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