40/70 Benchmark

I meant relative to 18z, BTW.

Yea, and even that is a win, considering.

I feel like 2-3" will be it here....maybe slight net gain.

Can't be good for anyone down here.

For 12z, yea

Tough to totally ignore that. I mean...a foot? No, but it senses something.

Slight tic back NW.

I would rather err on that side of things with respect to the evaluation, than claiming I was more accurate than I really was. Its nauseating when people do that.

He absolutely knows his stuff.

Ah....so maybe an A- instead of B+. I was still a bit too far south with it.

NAM NARCAN has 3" at KASH....maybe 2" here. Seems reasonable.

Okay, yes. Totally fair. I just feel like it is important to also mention that in the January thread, as opposed to skipping ahead to the return of the torch next month, which is away from the focus of the thread.

Thursday-Friday January 19-20 Verification Largely Successful Forecast Here is the Final Call snowfall map for yesterday's storm: Versus observed snowfall totals: The system was forecast very well, with the notable exception of that fact that snow showers on Friday had slightly more difficulty accumulating than anticipated. This the southern periphery of the 1-3" zone should not have extended south of the Mass pike at all, but otherwise this was a a very accurate forecast. Final Grade: B+

Should have stayed with my southern periphery from First Call, which was near the pike.

Yesterday's snowfall was forecast well overall, but the 1-3" zone extended about 15 miles or so to far to the south. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/01/thursday-friday-january-19-20.html Final Grade: B+

Yes, all I am saying...negligible impact, but sometimes synoptically negligible variations have major impacts on sensible weather.

Yea, I see Feb as going to shit, but initially it looks to me like the type of RNA we can work here. They can be very good for us and we are due for some snow. I'm not saying Feb 2015, but just getting on the board.

I do wonder if todays slight cloud induced thermal bust parlays into some of that correction.

Yea, glad I'm not doing final until tomorrow

I mean he is right about how it looks. Its looked that way to me since November and hasn't changed.

So you don't feel late January and maybe very early February look more wintry?

He's right about Feb..no suprise there. But you can't gloss over a more wintry period in the nearer term...especially when the focus of the thread is January.

How come you didn't quote any of his tweets talking up the neg NAO earlier in the month? You make some solid points, but same lack of objectivity with respect to pruning tweets to fit an agenda that I see with snowman.

I'd take that.