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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pretty oppositte patterns (-WPO/vs+WPO this March.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, lets see how the DM period ends here because March will definitely be warmer than 2014, so we are going to make up some ground here in terms of warmer departures. I know some folks forecast DF, but I do DM.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can see the trend that @bluewavewas alluding to the data, whereas the stretch in the 20's had a more even distribution, while this pasat decade is more "boom or bust"...its more an average of extremes now, as oposed to a cluster of near normal seasons back then.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    If I'm being honest, I would have expected a bit more snowfall had I known it would be that cold...that being said, I knew by mid January it wasn't going to come together this season.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think that is just a CC issue...I mean, the longer term, multidecadal trend certainly is, but we have had colder outbreaks in more recent history.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wasn't talking about snow
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    No...last of it went yesterday....I still have some ice sheets in the ditches as of last night, but no pack per se. Still piles along the sides of the driveway...
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Scott, no one would hold it against you if you just rounded up
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Better than nothing? But who knows?? Wolfie does???
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was a decent storm, but in a relative sense, yes....I had 11".
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Haha Now we get to watch the Tug melt out while we maintain the mall schmegma piles!!
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Perhaps it wasn't as ideal for delivery of arctic air into the NE as you think....I know for a fact that the February arctic shot loaded west of us, but perhaps you are right about earlier in the season.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    We had an arctic outbreak that was much colder than anything we saw this past season just two years ago, so its not simply an issue of CC.....we also so immense cold a bit earlier this decade, but it loaded into the center of the country.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    53.8
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    26 for the low here.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not 2011, but I would take last year with the 19" on 1/7....even 2019-2020 with the big Dec event.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    D The February retention saved it from an F.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    It wasn't a perfect pattern for the delivery of cold to the NE...it still loaded through the center of the country. Its not as bad as loading west, but our coldest patterns have it enter through SE Canada with minimal moderation.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is always something that can be attributed to CC for those that wish to....this year it was the strong Pac jet and southeast ridge coinciding with the steep -A0 in Feb.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was not the PDO this season.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, I was worried at the end of December, but I knew once the Jan 11 threat turned into an advisory event. I took note of the fact that an adequate west coast ridge could never sustain and models could not distinguish that until the medium range.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Fair enough. Yes, the active jet has been a probelm the past several years. Agreed.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think that is breaking news or anything new...I know you disagree and that is fine. But there have been cold winters that didn't feature much snowfall in the past. I'm sure you are going to point out differences with respect to the Pacific jet......I don't argue that perhaps CC make us more susecptible to that, but its going to take many years of data for me to conclude that this will be the rule moving forward.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. I never expect this late SSW to mean much for the east coast, except for a potentially shitty early spring.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its so granular it looks like beach sand.
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