40/70 Benchmark

Look at my post count of late....

Well, try having 4 kids under the age of 6, and you'll check out during a lull, too. No, I don't think its over.

Just a guess....haven't researched obviously at this stage....but yes.

Mother Nature....thank you, mam, may I have another?

El Niño response next season would mean a big winter for the NE IMHO.

I expected below average snowfall, but this is challenging a record for my area...all for it, at this point...bottom out.

No...I said the AO/NAO will probably be positive, which is great for NE when coupled with a favorable Pacific.

I really don't care at this point...not sure whether or not you've noticed, but I have essentially checked out.

It probably won't be...what is your point? PS: I thought it would be +5 to +7?

I wouldn't complain one bit if it ended tomorrow...ready to cut my loses.

I pray. Maybe the most boring winter season my life.

Be honest about one thing...what would you be saying to folks like @MJO812at this point in the season if cold had been largely relegated to the long term charts Not to say that it won't warm up, because it will.

-9.6

Much lower confidence than 2023 and 2018...I was sure of those ones.

I think regardless of ENSO, there is reason for optimism next season.

That looks more Miller B, to me.

I had 19" on Jan 7 last year.

Last year, and not close....I had much more snow last year.

-4.7

3.4/0

+5" 10.5" seasonal

Pretty good forecast... B https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/01/snowfall-forecast-for-quick-hitting.html

Snowfall Forecast for Quick Hitting Sunday Night Snows Largely Successful Minor Forecast Discrepancies Here is the Final Call for last night's fast moving winter storm (right) versus what actually transpired (left) in terms of total snowfall accumulations. While the forecast overall was fairly representative, the most persistent banding ended up being over the Berkshires into southern Vermont, as opposed to northern Worcester country into southern New Hampshire. Additionally, slightly less snowfall fell versus the expectation over the eastern half of the region due to the slower arrival of the colder air relative to modeling, thus 4-7" would have been more appropriate versus the 5-8" range that was utilized. Final Grade: B

One thing I have noticed about you is that you are prone to losing sight of the forest through the trees.

The eastward position of the trough certainly doesn't help.