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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. ...because its never wise to expect that magnitude of an anomaly...at least on a seasonal level.
  2. The only reason I mentioned 2014-2015 is because it was also high solar, featured a flip from cool ENSO to warm ENSO and PAC cold phase to warm phase. This is why I think the Pacific may be growing more favorable moving forward, however, the solar winds usually kick up post solar max, which tends to disperse electromagnetic particles and promote +AO/NAO. I am in no way expecting record snows in the northeast, but I do feel it will be snowier.
  3. I have said this before, but I was all in on the Jan 11th threat....and when that withered into an advisory event, I took note of what kept going wrong out west and identified that as the hallmark of this season....I was sold on suck after that. My snow numbers ended up pretty accurate, but of course hope springs eternal thoughout the fall and early winter.
  4. I don't think you would get as much as you think....I can only become so frustrated until my internal defense mechanisms kick in and I withdraw investment....I began doing that in mid January it was complete by March.
  5. I understand that this will not be a la Nina per CPC regulations, but all things considered, it was definitely a modest cool ENSO paradigm...and a more significant one than many were expecting as of late last autumn, to boot.
  6. I didn't intend to imply that I thought it would be that extreme because it certainly will not, however, I can definitely envision a favorable Pacific and relatively unfavorable atlantic next season....along with a meager warm ENSO.
  7. Funny how a winter pattern establishes and just rots in place, like a waning deformation band as the seasonal dynamics run their course.
  8. If that verifies, I subscribe to Mark Moregarbage.
  9. May 2005 was just a parade of windswept rains from a sucession of spring nor' easters....it was literally in the 40's during the day.
  10. Whichever he thinks will yield the least snow jk I highly doubt another La Nina...I would be shocked. I think an el Nino is more likely.
  11. The St Paddy 2007 event was nice...11" of paste in Wilmington and 13" of powder on the other side of the CF up at UML.
  12. I haven't even seen a flake in March.....not sure that has happened in my lifetime. Would be a fitting way to end the season.
  13. Didn't make freezing here....just down to 36.
  14. Just an uneventful and modestly unpleasant stretch...nothing redeeming about it.
  15. I don't expect it to be very cold....probably around normal. My only assertion was that the NAO/AO look to trend negative again next week.
  16. Obviously there is higher error at longer leads, but its forecast to pretty negative and it is likely it will at least be somewhat negative given the major disruption to the PV that is ensuing. Again, do I think we see significant snow in SNE....no....but it won't be mild, either.
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