40/70 Benchmark

They only attenuate if we are in the cross hairs.....inland waves rip a hole in the strat.

More NNE.

I'm sure we'll get a couple of 4" mixed garbage events on the way out.

Only reason why I would like to lock that is to claw my way to 41"...otherwise, you can sit and spin on 3-6" at this juncture of the season.

A guy from Philly in the ENSO thread drew that parallel, but of course, I quickly reorted that it was nothing like that year in terms of snowfall in SNE. It was a weak Modoki La Nina, like this year. I'm just so fed up with finding every way possible to avoid the snow....its gotten to the point where I just want to jump down the throat of someone drawing comparions to a season that didn't suck.

I think he's numb.

"Baton" out...

3-6" for us.

Its impressive how snowman never misses an opportunity to affix a weenie to any of your posts....guy is always lurking.

Yes...it sucks, but that isn't extreme.

We haven't seen anything extreme....like days with highs in the single digits. You are biased because you weigh 123lbs.

I had MBY pegged for 41-51" and I sit at 31.5".

I would like 9.5 more inches to hit my range.

I mean in general...just a lighthearted comment. I know these seasons are taking their toll lol

We need something to turn grumpy scooter's frown upside down.

That was a boring overnight run of the EURO......the model's rendiiton of paint drying. GFS was a bit more exciting.

June

The lag is when it downwells from the strat....which is what I expected to happen. Instead it began in the lower levels and worked up, so we felt it instantly.

Old news. It split over a week ago...about Feb 10th.

April 1982 and March 1984.

That system looks like the last one with a shitter antecedent airmass.

Or...here is a crazy thought...I'm at work and didn't view the original exchange? I opined that that particular radical view is BS...I'll take your word for it that you were misinterpreted...fine.

He has a right to his opinion, but I feel strongly that is BS. Its not any type of denial.....I understrand CC is taking place and should we continue to fail to witness any such storms into the early part of the next decade, then I will reconsider that stance.

Yea, its like politics....never going to change anyone's mind.

Here are my thoughts from Novemeber....will update next week. Obviously the SSW didn't work out, but the PV split via tropospheric processes did, so this sped up the timeline on impacts and pushed it earlier to mid Feb. March 2025 Outlook March Analogs: 2023x2, 2022, 2021, 2017 2014, 2001,1972 The polar vortex should weaken once again to an extent to close out the season, though confidence is not high in a major episode of blocking. The window for a SSW is through about the 20th of the month, so the impact on winter would largely depend on just how early it can take place. During February or at least the first week of March for maximum impact throughout southern New England. There is another window for a potential KU from approximately March 5 through the 19th, but confidence is low.The cold source should be relatively close by at the very least, not unlike February should major blocking not materialize. Near average to 2F above in the mean with near average precipitation inland and slightly below near the coast.