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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    The holiday week may begin the transition, but we probably aren't seeing a significant snow event throughout the majority of SNE until 2025.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Told ya, 1" or less.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Perhaps somewhat of a compromise, but the GFS probably has more of a grasp.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had about 0.1" when I left at around 5am.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will be pretty shocked if this doesn't happen....IDK if you glossed over any of my novel of an outlook, but pretty overwhelming evidence for the Jan 2022 mismatch. Just to be clear, I think overall this winter is another subpar season for most of the east coast.....just better than the past couple.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think he's wrong.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't include Chris in that....when it looked colder early month, he reported that. Its important to observe the behavior of a contributor during an instance in which the overwhelming perponderance of evidence goes against perceived bias.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Outlines my thoughts from a month ago perfectly.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Strongly agree with all of this. https://youtu.be/OdBnQZCFcQM?si=o9E18FO-SuFdihKq
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    As is, still about 8,990 to many IMO....wouldn't expect more than his folks, wife, kids and the family goldfish.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Whatever distracts ya from another mild holiday season.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Must be my lack of perspective...seems like a lot to me, but must require millions.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Has a large amount of followers....likely benefits from it financially IMO...any idiot on social media that attracts a following does.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanks, but point is he is probably making a good living off of doing that crap. Says something about contemporary society lol
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yet he is making a living off of pretending to be a met, so has guys like me beat
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Those Directweather guy is insufferable, too....every video is headlined by "get ready"..."prepare now" and every winter outlook is an Armageddon secnario for the east coast.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is who I thought of...did you see he called called out for presenting an Accuwx product as the "Mark Model"?
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, I won't mind it ending up all wet, as I know its only going be a nuisance and I don't need another hour stacked onto my already arduous commute. Not enough to take the day off-
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have been getting a healthy dose since March 2018...yea, the ratter seasons haven't been as poor here as the coast, but I also haven't sniffed average snowfall in 7 consecutive seasons and this year looks poised to make it 8.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    He doesn't do seasonal outlooks...just like two week increments.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, one thing I have learned over the past few years is to remain humble and always open to alternative thoughts...don't be afraid to admit error, incoporate feedback and alternate methodologies. A closed-mind and an expanding skill set are mutually exclusive.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Def become the MJO of SNE....need to get that man a cruiser.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think this is how very long range guidance like that should be used....view it as a tool to bolster confidence in a scenario that is supported by pages upon pages of data, as opposed to just blindly hoping its correct. Maybe all of the data can still ultimately be flushed down the toilet, but betters odds that way.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    2022...it was a great analog....but like @donsutherland1has been saying, there should be more variability this season. I am pretty confident of that.
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