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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. UK kind of looks like what the crazy 18z GFS run from Saturday did, just a bit more tame. It slows the entire evolution of the storm development down so that SNE catches the most prolific part of its life cycle. I don't buy that, although I was hopeful for that change a couple of days ago.
  2. I will admit that if I had the First Call map to do over again, I would have been a bit more reserved, but the 18"+ stuff was always implied as being isolated....its the people like him that focus on the top half of a range that breed misinformation. Its also not a Final map.
  3. Not widespread, but southwestern NE could see some isolated totals approach that.
  4. I'd be pretty confident that Wiz was the girl for me if he wasn't a dude and so into CAPE.
  5. If I lived in New Haven, CT, then I would probably agree. But I don't-
  6. I've gone a year without a warning...I could go another 10, and amounts of 10" would still seem moderate to me. Doesn't mean it isn't enjoyable....just not that anomalous.
  7. Jesus, you call 10" of snow moderate, and some of these spazes act like you kicked their mother in the stomach. When a snowfall ranks out of the top 100-200 of your life, its modertate. Sorry...you'll live and be better for it-
  8. I never had that anywhere near my locale. Its not a moderate event everywhere.
  9. 8-12" is moderate in my mind. I'm not complaining about, but that is my opinion.
  10. I'm not taking it quantitatively, but rather qualitatively. The models are communicating the areas that will be bent over at least excuse imaginable, and it makes sense. We have best dynamics west, and OE contributions southeast.
  11. Yea, def. looks like more of a moderate event, which always made more sense, anyway.
  12. I was thinking the same...more of a mid level dynamics PIA, then low level thermal.
  13. I'll def. have some tweaking to do on Wednesday. Some nice snows, but a very flawed set up.
  14. Either or....its usually more on the south shore, but the n shore can get it through inside of rt 128 if the wind is right. Probably more of an issue for me than you.
  15. The combination of the waning dynamics and OES component implies subsidence city for the 495 belt....not feeling this one out my way.
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