weathafella

Lol…their lifespan was 30 something.

Ok op huggers-today’s euro is snowy for many of us.

Paul, I think your approach narrows the possibilities. I mean isn’t AI inherently “better computing” considering the concept is deep learning? I think AI can be tweaked when we see where it needs to be quickly. As a crude example, my phone quickly learns how I use “muthufukka”. Phones five years ago took much longer and my next phone should even learn it faster.

Why do you have disdain for AI weather models?

I think there’s opportunity every 3/4 days. Obviously this first one is warm but based on guidance I’m seeing we’ll have lots of chances. We should be a lot more active and the hope is the boundary is favorable for us. It will be sometimes but we obviously are playing with fire a lot.

Inverted flake light snow now.

The ensembles in the 8-15 range are much more favorable vs the ops. It seems silly get tall wrapped up in op forecasts in a difficult pattern on clown range.

Moving the goalposts I see. Hard to do with the kind they use now…. 100% knew the details of this disappearing by later this week. Amount’s through 12/25 are still debatable but you must have a joyless life if you can’t appreciate the beauty of a little snow we have today.

Quite beautiful looking at the trees from my favorite chair. About an inch with light snow falling. https://imgur.com/a/PIoLL5v

Not really. If aloft is 925 maybe zr but if it’s 850 it’s likely sleet. Kind of reminds me of the gtg at Clarkes Boston a week before Christmas in 2017. Guidance universally had a huge torch starting in 5 days. Scooter and Will pulled up the 84 hour NAM which indicated the CAD signals. Got cut off at the pass with some ice and snow followed by deep cold for a few weeks.

Great presentation Ryan. If anything my advice would be to use a virtual background.

Gfs AI was 2 inches to the pike region.

Yes gfs coming in decent.

Do we have worthwhile local mets anymore?

Actually it’s a 5 day anomaly so probably 34/20 right at the coast.