Jersey Andrew

10 year HECS intervals: 1996,2006,2016,2026

Does this storm bear any resemblance to White Hurricane of 1888? Believe that started as rain too before heavy snow and wind slammed NYC and New England. Are 30 inch amounts plausible?

This does not seem like a DC special but 2/12/2006 gives me hope. DC gets light snow in afternoon amounting to an inch and storm bust is called on EasternWX. Then around midnight thunder and lightning strike NOVA suburbs and wake up to a foot of snow and trees down.

How low did White Hurricane of 1888 go?

Boxing Day blizzard 12-26-2010 when Euro caught on to GFS and delivered a huge storm. Of course that was for NYC and New Jersey but u get the point. 2-12-2006 JMA schooled other models.

Don, does the same uncertainty exist for the start of March? How about in the South?

Maybe next year if Super Nino develops we can see a 1983 or 2016 type storm.

Is this a pattern where we can pull off a February 1983 type storm?

Wasn’t that-PNA responsible for destroying what was supposed to be an epic February last year? Who knows if you can trust long range modeling.

A lot of people in here thought February was setting up for a 2010 redux especially with long stretch of brutal cold. Will we really waste the month if PV suppresses everything to the south?

Went back and look turns out it was February 1979 leading into PDI storm

When is the last time DC had consecutive week of highs below 30?

It got 2/12/06 right so you never know.

How brutal will travel be this week DMV?

That’s a massive snowfall for NYC and northern Nj. Does it account for sleet or fit the atmospheric conditions, storm path?