ariof

Today was modeled well into the 40s in EMA for several days and everyone is stuck in the 30s.

I'm flying in from ORD at 2130 and would like to get in before all the flights are canceled if this verifies.

This is a great data viz of the reservoirs and snowpack in California. They're still coasting on a series of good winters and the reservoirs started high.

Feb so far: Highs: BOS: 32 OWD: 32.3 BED: 31.0 Lows: BOS: 18.0 OWD: 4.5 BED: 6.2

It felt cold after Feb '18, the last two weeks of which had nearly as many days in Boston above 70 (2) as below 30 (two days in the upper 20s). March was a -1.1 anomaly, which put it 1° colder than February, overall, and other than the first day and the last few, it didn't hit 50° in Boston all month. 21" of snow at BOS, 42 at ORH, and I think Mitch got about 18 feet.

It's been a great year for xc, which relies almost entirely on natural snow. Aside from a couple of days post-Grinch right before xmas, there's been good-to-excellent skiing in most of CNE/NNE, and since late Jan, in SNE as well. Tickets are much cheaper, and in many cases groomed trails are free to use.

Back to -SN in Kendall Square. VIS to the west is unlimited, but to the east is about 3SM. Ground slightly whitened.

That's to nice to that one. Shoot it into the sun. I remember sitting under heavy echoes with nothing coming out of the sky, laughing/crying at all the schools/events/workplaces which were canceled 36h in advance. In particular the schools which closed on Sunday evening for Tuesday, or, worse, on Monday morning after it became quite clear that the storm was going to bust hard. A big, late enough shift that the BOX forecaster was surprised in the AFD. And this forum didn't even have time to make a toaster run.

As was the 06 GFS.

BOS has advisories up, WWA for the CWA east of ORH county, Watch for Essex County. But because of the hierarchy of products, the watch is behind the cold weather advisory for Essex County, so it doesn't show up there. I think they coded the times wrong, too, they're showing the WWA for Sunday (the Watch is timed correctly).

They said in their AFD that they were waiting for the hi res models to come in this morning. Given the trends they'll probably put up WWAs across the region, and maybe even a WSW for Essex County.

The surface low on Thursday at 00Z went from the benchmark at 06Z to YBG at 12Z. What's 600 miles between friends/model runs.

Back to -SN in Kendall Square. Vis about 6SM based on which hills I can barely see on the horizon.

-SN in Cambridge/Boston out the window (office in Kendall Sq).

DEM but then it occludes over the CAR CWA and sends a ton of moisture down the St Lawrence Valley that gets lifted up over the mountains. That's the kind of Green Mountain Special where Jay gets 4' but the Dacks and Whites would get some as well. The Mansfield snow take would get a nice bump, too.