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At least Kevin’s pack would be wiped out.

It’s still so far out too with the gradient lurking to the north. GFS actually wedges NH for most of that stretch. But I did have to laugh at some of the +15C 850s on the op and AI models. Where’s Will’s “don’t look at it” gif?

80F on your nape and 38F and low clouds for Scott.

Always concerns with propensity for Quebec highs.

If you have a BD concern it would be your first time in 20 years when you were truly ACATT.

To be fair…we have warmer winter normals now and the region was in our own pocket of cold. But yeah, the stars aligned down there this year for a consistently cold and snowy winter, with a couple of historical events. It’s been cold up here too, but more tame the further north you go. For a lot of NNE it’s been a meh winter. But it’s nice to see SNE getting a fun one after a relatively crappy stretch the past few years.

That year had a snowy March and early April. Of course that entire winter was snowier.

Overnight ensembles still say that we have a chance for Winter weather early next week. Ops continue to waffle back & forth. Let’s see what 12z says later on.

So no concerns of backdoors ?

GEFS not backing down on the MJO progression.

AI trending a bit north for Monday, but looks light. Also suggests a cold reload around 3/13-14, so maybe we can score something around mid-month/Patty's Day.

Freshets for all….need a 3-5” region wide soaker

Mentioned to Bob and Matt yesterday. No mail, amazon, fedex, ups, etc around here: everything had just stopped

While it could mute, that’s the pattern to deliver Morch for a few days

GEFS not backing down on the MJO progression.

Best ice jam I've ever seen was on the coaticook river in quebec.. the sound was nuts and when it let loose there were 6 foot icebergs left in fields

I already know how those 4 days will go here. Day 1…Sunny, pleasant warm & dry 50° Day 2…wedged…38° ovc Day 3…wedged…40° ovc Day 4…torch ahead of the next front… 60°

Bring it. Good time to put netting over my fig tree so the squirrels don't steal all my figs like they did last fall.

Take the under 55-60

On a CWG post on facebook I saw a quote from Wes Junker saying that the atmosphere doesn't really support a storm here, the models are "overcooking" it rn. Upside is only a dusting and maybe a few lucky inches. He's one I respect and knows what he's talking about, so that dampened any remaining enthusiasm for tracking this (not that I had much to begin with).

EPS LR

Still 2-3 more snow chances next week but after that holy GFS, the globals have been consistent on torch but 6z gfs was the warmest a 5-7 day torch 70-80 across SN for a few days.

Icy morning, but the Spring birds are singing away... Hit 43⁰ yesterday and the sun did a number on the snow for sure, melt/compaction took at least 4 inches. Only 10-12 inch depth, with a couple inch base underneath it...

You misunderstood what I said. You should read my posts again. I said nothing about people trying to make the storm live up to the hype after the rug pull. Actually the opposite. I think that people are trying to "downgrade" the storm after the rug pull and convince themselves and other people that the totals down south were erroneous and inflated, because it makes them feel better like they didn't miss out on a generational event.