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  2. Probably not fair to compare the CMC Ens to the Para CMC since they are running different systems - but not really, lol. Para CMC and the current CMC are close-ish to each other, though. Reform the low off the Carolina coast vs. over our heads/NJ
  3. NAM gone wild. Not biting on solid advisory yet for here, but 1-3 seems more likely today. Euro still paltry but it's kind of an outlier. It hasn't been great this winter....especially with smaller events.
  4. Yeah, that’s not a HECS. Maybe if it was March, it would be a HECS for that month.
  5. Snowfall totals for this storm. Reports are from here, cocorahs, COOP and official climo sites. CT/Tri-State maps are up as well. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/winter-25-26
  6. The pond near us has the texture of corrugated roofing. Given I like cross country skiing just as much, and can do it in the uncleared parts, it's a tough ask. Pond hockey enthusiasts are making do. As cold as it has been, nobody has sprung for a Zamboni.
  7. I'm ready for the next ice age lol. Looks like the warm front is coming. Clouds are showing up after a spectacular blue bird morning.
  8. continuing the winter long trend of model guidance getting cooler as we approach the event.........
  9. I’m more worried that we get goosed like euro ai is showing. Did ensembles agree with the op?
  10. 12z again with robust QPF 2/15-2/16 period
  11. My mulch out front is visible this afternoon around the edge of the sidewalk.
  12. That is correct. The other -7 came on Dec 31, 1917, the day after the -13 minimum. My records show 6 days of -6 at NYC and one of them was 12/29/1917, likely an 11:59 reading. Dec 29, 1917-Jan 4, 1918 stands alone as Central Park's coldest week.
  13. Meh. For 48 hour QPF at D7+ I would expect some pretty major dispersion. If it looked like this inside D5, I would agree with you.
  14. Not great for Albany. Maybe I'll go skating if it doesn't snow
  15. Euro and EPS got cooler in the long range
  16. Euro and EPS got cooler in the long range
  17. Euro and eps trended to a colder pattern moving forward. Sooner or later we will have a warm pattern but yet again it is getting muted.
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