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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No one is saying that...the question is how does the interaction between the strongest El Niño in history and the most powerful antecedent cold phase in history manifest across the hemisphere this winter. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I never would have guessed. Lol -
TheBudMan started following October 2026 general discussion
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That warning here is a little puzzling to me. Velocities haven’t looked great (though wind would be right on the leading edge) but haven’t even seen any reports of wind damage associated with it moving into western MA
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The season. may look like 1997 in the mean, but it should be timed differently...you don't think December has a better shot at being milder and February colder than that season? You have been touting a warm December....1997 wasn't that warm. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
My early winter guess is that the temperatures will be significantly warmer than any of the current seasonal models are forecasting. The temperatures for the first half of fall have been warmer than any other super El Niño year on record. Plus this is the strongest El Niño by a significant margin. -
90.8 today. 3 straight 90+ days for me
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I changed my stance on that a bit...it's not a bad QBO analog....only rare weak spot is solar. -
It may tend to weaken, unless instability shoots up a bit out ahead of it but it’s in an area of higher MLCAPE now
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yeah, the line fizzled on approach. Was almost dark as night here about 10 minutes ago, but not so much now. -
Temps dropped almost 20 degrees to 55 now. Had a few gusty showers dropping 0.18" but nothing even close to severe.
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Please hold that together into and thru this area
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Kent/New Milford going to get the best goods
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Softball cancelled. Thundering with heavy rain
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Wiz is gonna get ripped up
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No Chase but will be outside hoping for some goods
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Whoa.. look at that bow echo in MA
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
It will be a great day for College Football Dave. That's for sure! -
For those always saying Frederick gets the storms. Not all parts of Frederick gets the storms. I have been sitting on this edge for 20 min.
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Central PA Autumn 2026
Itstrainingtime replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Just .09" fell here. Temp down to 65 which is much closer to what it should be. High today was 83. -
Central PA Autumn 2026
Yardstickgozinya replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Southern part of the the line is tapping into some of those better thermodynamic values down there. -
Hmm that might be chase worthy
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