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Night 1 of 2 chaperoning a school adventure club camping trip in the Whites. Low of 9.5°F outside according to the weenie thermo I brought. Temp in my tent stayed right between 26-29° all night and with the proper tent and sleep pad, the <0° bag was almost too warm at times. Pack is still anywhere from 8-18" generally. Got that rotting spring look with a bunch of stuff from the trees on top even though it was fresh at the start of the week. Definitely more glacial than soft, at least this morning. Looks like tonight will be warmer but more windy. I think I'd prefer to radiate. Possibly some exciting squalls later on the hike. LFG.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I didn’t know radars could track heat waves. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 28 with .01” of rain. Cold one for the neighborhood egg hunt today. -
katabatic started following March Discobs 2026
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Roads are starting to cave lol. Light snow and 24. Last hurrah?
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Meant to post this reply earlier but sill sitting here as a draft... I really love this post. It would sound lame to a non-weenie, but this kind of data collection and maintenance must be a huge point of pride. There is something so gratifying about being a steward of records, and thats coming from someone whose observation task involves about a tenth of what yours does, so I can only imagine the feeling of accomplishment. It's honestly why I hope I never have to give it up unnecessarily. So great.
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WBAL is at bwi and is reporting a 4hr wait for TSA wait. Your boy would be driving or canceling.
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Closer to home… it’s 24 here.
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Seems like BWI is the only local airport facing challenges. A colleague was flying out to DEN yesterday. Arrived 3 hours early and the TSA line went out the building and down the departures ramp that the parking shuttle busses use for drop off. Insanity.
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, the only El Niño in the last 45+ years even remotely comparable to this one is 1997-98. Even the 1982-83 and 2015-16 Nino’s weren’t this far advanced in March. If those twin TC’s verify next week, and that’s starting to look likely, IMO, this is a “high-end” strong El Niño at minimum with prospects for a super event going up a lot….. - Today
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22F for the low , current 24/ windchill @20 light breeze
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You need to fix your 401k if it dropped.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Blizzard of 93 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0z Canadian has a Wintry mix early Next Saturday am for CTP. Lots of sleet this run for many of us. Who knows, maybe this season has one more Wintry period to track? -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
20 degrees this morning but sunny at least. -
Temps dropping more than my 401k under this administration
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Pope told me last freeze was already in the past.
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2026-2027 El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We are currently on track for a very strong event potentially recording an ONI of +2.0 or greater like we recently experienced in 23-24 based on current OHC and WWB intensity unless it’s interrupted by EWBs next few months. The biggest factor will be getting the WWBs to continue through June in order for the subsurface El Niño signal to become fully established at the surface. We can remember the strong EWB in June 2014 which halted the El Niño development when the models had been forecasting +2.0 for 2014-2015. It’s funny how we eventually got the super El Niño a year later. So it was delayed but not denied. That was the last time that the models forecast a +2.0 event that didn’t verify. So unless this process gets derailed by EWBs next few months, there won’t be anything to slow the development going forward. We will need about 3 more months of observations to know if this one can reach its top potential. https://news.yale.edu/2016/02/08/new-insights-stalled-el-ni-o-2014 -
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28F down here with a light breeze
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
25 this morning. -
An historic event to be able to swim in the Pacific this early in the year especially for people that have been on vacation from colder climates and didn’t expect the SSTs to be this warm.
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Thank god for the weak La Nina to Neutral Enso conditions this past winter. Next winter we might be able to juice it up but probably way too much if it's strong.
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
He focuses on tropical weather. He followed me a year ago and I gave him a follow back -
To end the season. Boston : over 60 inches NYC : 42 inches
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The PV disruption was a failure this month .
