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Its like spotting a BIGFOOT

AIFS ensemble mean is lit up. Lord

To be honest, the AIGFS ticked southeast at 18 Z a little bit… I looked at the clock and I’m seeing 60 hours to go before game time. Yeah that’s 10 cycles plenty of time to cave.

WB latest EPS extended thru early March is not a torch. Note this is the 30 day period ending March 2nd so it does not include the cold coming late January.

Welcome

Incoming 2-4" snow late tonight and tomorrow. Forecast low here is mid 2p's. Already down to 22.1°

So hold up . I have the best chance of zero snow or snow on snow . Kev.. swallow the uzi or pull the trigger. Thanks for the vote of confidence

That is the last real notch left to get on this shit period's belt for me...consistent shitty seasons, but no really futility contenders like the late 80's early 90s....let's just get that out of the way this year and be done with it.

Weeklies after that

Drove by Magic today on my way over to Stratton and they were making snow. I have an IndyPass and need to get back there when they have some snow (on top of a good base!). Back home after skiing six days in a row - 3 nordic and 3 alpine. From a snow perspective, it was real interesting as I referenced earlier today in the other thread. Skied alpine Monday (Sugarbush); Wednesday (Killington) and today at Stratton. Yup, I have the IKON pass too! Really quite amazing to see the difference in natural snow from north to south and how each area had been impacted differently by the warmups. Stratton has fine coverage on man-made trails but they really need some natural snow - a lot of boilerplate everywhere. On Sunday I nordic skied at Green Woodland in Dorchester NH. Place is amazing and a real snow magnet. Tuesday, drove over to Rickert (Middlebury's nordic center) and there was a minimum of natural snow in the fields. Since I was skate skiing, I stuck to the groomed snowmaking loops. The western side of the Greens have minimum snow coverage. Thursday, as reported, I was at Trapp Family Nordic Center and it was amazing to see the significant snow depth gains as we went up in elevation.

If we account for elevation of OHX, looks like freezing level is probably around 2500ish feet? Not really sure how to precisely use teh tool below though.

That winter of 02-03 was when I first really starting enjoying weather. Then that President's day storm hit and it was a wrap. I can still remember watching TWC as they were showing the wave entering the Pac NW. I was in 9th grade then and am now 38 and have seen one 12" storm since lol. What can ya do but keep hoping.

One of the very originals from 2008

this one is not anti welcome...

There is that classic gradient...5 miles north of my house.

Another snowman

Probably nobody. Though ironically your area is prob the best chance even though you also have the best chance of getting shutout (actually prob just barely to your east has the best shot at getting shutout from both…like Windham county up 495 belt)

I wasnt aware of that. Very interesting.

Euro and eps have been too warm in the long range all.winter just to trend to the gefs.

This system tonight is hauling booty. I'm guessing I have two hours before precip. starts now.

Yeh I was gonna respond and forgot…but eerily similar if you just look at relative heights…gotta adjust for era, but those ‘79-80 heights relative to eachother are pretty close to this year so far. Go figure, I used to post that map as an example of a decent winter pattern where we just got boned. Happens again 46 years later. Maybe we’ll break the bad juju with this two week stretch coming up where we’ll have plenty of chances. But if we roll snake eyes during that too….we can throw this winter into the wood chipper. Irredeemable at that point. I’d revert myself to hoping for an exotic HECS in March.

You have been saying this since November. You will eventually be right about the warmup but not anytime soon.

Looks alike a healthy cold front approaching at the end with some snow associated with a wave along it. Sure its a bit warmish out in front as it always is in these cases, but nothing 'good' was expected until just beyond this time.