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  2. Blizzard of 93
    Is the Gap doing training drills this weekend?
  3. Nomz
    I would be careful writing those off as mini-supes. With such pristine wind profiles, only about 1k cape can get it done.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, exactly the case here. It's not shade...my front yard faces north, and it has less because a lot of the snowfall is blocked by the pine, so it's mostly melted out. MBY faces south, it totally open, and has the 6-8".
  5. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Wife had maternity shoot in Marshfield today. Man was it brutal out. Wind was howling
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, it's not sheltered in the sense that it's shaded....MBY gets decent sun. I think the cold just pooled here well on Thursday AM...if you look at that map, that little appendage to the south, just N of KWLM, is right over me.
  7. kayman
    I'll be prepped and ready to go to my basement on Monday if I need to. This looks like it will be one that will be developing on top of the Metro Charlotte area from the Hickory/Unifour portion southward towards Shelby in Cleveland County. It will accelerate eastward through the midday-afternoon hours. This is could be bad for the Triangle, Greater Richmond, the Metro Washington area AKA the DMV, and Metro Baltimore. Especially, if there are individual supercells form ahead of main squall line or the line potentially forms as line segments with embedded supercells. Situations setting up like this on Monday is why Metro Charlotte needs a NEXRAD Doppler radar site & its own NWS forecast office to provide better radar reflectivity below 5,000 feet in its region. This would also help the Winston-Salem & High Point side of the Piedmont Triad area as well with better lower-level radar reflectivity coverage.
  8. Radtechwxman
    Yeah 0z not kind to IL. Lol. Another non event. Ready for spring to stick around
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's like that with any large event...
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I hadn't sniffed within 10" of average since 2017-2018 until this year.
  11. Sciascia
    New hi-res NAM really sucking any fun out of Illinois for the event in terms of high amounts. Even furthest western parts of the state.
  12. StormyClearweather
    3K NAM shows DCA going from 70 at 6pm to 37 at 7pm. Now that's a cold front.
  13. mnchaserguy
    I’m not sure I quite buy it. They’ve held steady all day on the band over the metro. Seems odd that there is such a dramatic shift in one run as things are starting. .
  14. Yardstickgozinya
    Two extremely bright flashes over the last 15 minutes out this way, both followed by massive explosions. It shook everything. It actually happened during the day they other day here, and they never figured out what it was. Read about something like this happening in another part of Pennsylvania recently.
  15. MJO812
    Enjoy guys Post pics and videos
  16. Eskimo Joe
    00z HRRR is legit. Several pre-frontal mini supercells then a solid squall line.
  17. michsnowfreak
    What was your peak depth? Detroit peaked at 9" Jan 26-29 and Feb 7.
  18. BooneWX
    All of the short range models are starting to slow that front down. Any more ticks west with time and even more folks in the Carolinas and Virginia are going to be under the gun.
  19. SnowenOutThere
  20. michsnowfreak
    Exactly. I remember feb 2015 so vividly because first we had the 16.7" snowstorm then the insane cold. My grandpa was near the end of his life so we went to celebrate his feb 19th birthday despite wind chill warnings to not go out, much less for elderly. But other than being a historic month, it caused no lasting harm. The two week march inferno in 2012 literally ruined the entire 2012 growing season for fruit growers.
  21. SnowenOutThere
    HRRR and NAM seem to be coming in later with the cold front's arrival.
  22. OrdIowPitMsp
    Hi-res models have swung the heavy death band south of the metro now. 50 miles will make the difference between 12-15” and 18-24”
  23. Jebman
    You're right, its not. But low 90s in March is a lot better than having to deal with heavy snow and blizzard strength winds. I mean, you guys are definitely up to it, but I am aging and I can't any more. All I like to do now is watch it fall but that's it. McHenry are you trying to tell me that Texas is going to have a very bad record hot summer this year?
  24. Nomz
    Other forums I'm on have the ability to cut and paste a bunch of posts from one thread to another, could we do that for this thread?
  25. McHenrySnow
    90s in March is not the flex you think it is.
  26. coastal front
    I think the value of a thread is to analyze how tends, model runs, increasing/decreasing threat levels and NWS discussions evolved in the days leading up to the event. Regardless if the top end potential verifies it would make it easier to reflect on how a very rare long lead/ high prob severe threat unfolded day by day for future reference. Most on this board will remember a day 4 30% severe prob over an anafrontal coating that had a thread earlier this week lol.
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