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  2. GFS pops a fantasy storm Day 10. All I take that to mean is it’s not a shutout pattern.
  3. It’s over and we slowly melt. Winter is winding down.
  4. Are you really calling out people for their forecasts? Instead of a dick measuring contest, we've got a snowflake measuring one? Come on, bro.
  5. Looked at ens guidance and next week looks like our thaw, but many show 30s n 40's for much of period. I'm sure a day or 2 might tickle the 50. Just a boring stretch incoming. Twds the end, it looks like we get some colder air back but not a big signal. Just boring. long term -pna/+nao/+ao says coldest favored west. Its not a close the shades look, but not a good one either.
  6. Yep, and on the same Euro run 5 days later there are these temp anomalies.
  7. overnighters have us on the northern edge of precip, and several have short period of snow here. Still think it comes further north.
  8. Remember when you posted about how 2010-11 was going to be a horrible winter? December, 2010 it was. I can repost your quote again if you’d like
  9. The GFS, Euro and lord help me for even saying... even the Icon are now near identical with the non storm for the weekend
  10. I’ll be the weenie. Winter might be fading quick
  11. Can’t say I’m surprised. Feb-Mar usually torches during a Nina, with a few exceptions. In fact this was baked into my winter outlook.
  12. Jesus you guys are weenies. It’s over and it’s been over.
  13. Today
  14. 6z ICON bumped north but still south.. Icon EPS has some hits FWIW ... seems like this storm is all or nothing
  15. Now is akin to the "summer's back is broken" time we have every August. The steady march to spring picks up speed.
  16. It’s ok. We did pretty good this winter. After the big storm last month snowman19 disappeared for a few days. Then the brutal cold came ( his forecast flopped) and he still wasn’t present except giving out weenies. Now that the pattern has flipped he’s back to his trolling ways. Still a daily limited poster though which is good.
  17. Thats what the teleconnections showed.
  18. WB 0Z AI EPS at Day 5. About 40% with a hit.
  19. Looks like an Archambault event….
  20. Euro continues to show a shot at 60s Feb 19-20.. Sounding is 67F around DC
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