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  2. That’s still okay. Now the 3k… no thanks lol.
  3. So close yet so far… 12k smokes south Jersey. 5-6”
  4. looked like it was going to be better.. still kind of meh
  5. You might have to worry about some llvl subsidence on that north of Long Island (minus maybe the Cape)
  6. Through 35, doesn’t look super different. Probably not going to be overly compelling for anyone
  7. 18z NAM won't cut it for DC Edit: Another dumb post. Don't listen to me ever.
  8. AFD from Mount Holly. Some weenie terminology in there lol -Confidence continues to increase that a snow event that will impact the region Saturday night into Sunday morning. A clipper system will ride along the base of a closed upper low, moving across the Ohio River Valley during the day Saturday and into the Mid Atlantic states Saturday night before moving offshore Sunday. As this clipper system arrives across the region, the closed upper low will begin to reopen as an amplified trough, providing baroclinic forcing that will assist in the strengthening of a weak clipper system into more of a broad offshore low. As it strengthens, guidance shows a zone of strengthening 700-850mb frontogenesis (FGEN) developing across the southern half of the region as snow begins Saturday night into Sunday morning. Forecast soundings plentiful cold air through the column that is well saturated aloft with plentiful moisture within the dendritic growth region. All of this would point to a zone of potentially some increased snowfall intensity for a time early Sunday morning with snowfall rates potentially as high as 1" per hour at times. There still remains some potential on the southern fringe of the precipitation shield that the precipitation starts as some light rain or a mix of rain/snow before changing to all snow. Lows Saturday night will fall squarely into the 20s, supporting this all-snow event. The model consensus puts the axis of the maximum precipitation amounts very close to the I-95 corridor, favoring areas just south and east. Overall, a widespread 2-4 inches of snow are expected across the Highlands from northern NJ into southeastern PA, the I-95 corridor, and across the coastal plain into the central Delmarva Peninsula and the rest of southern NJ, including the Jersey Shore. Given the increasing potential for mesoscale FGEN snow bands, there is a potential for a concentrated are of 4-5 inches of snowfall somewhere near the I-95 corridor and immediately south and east with up to 20-30% chance for for a handful of reports over 5 inches in that specific area. At this time, we have issued a Winter Weather Advisory for much of the forecast area.
  9. Aren’t we all going to “fusilli” if Mother Nature skunks us again!
  10. Hey whattya know I may be able to add something to my own snowfall map. Finally something to be interested in here...
  11. THIS!! Stop saying this when its not even "heavy" snow...Really grinds my gears!! Haha
  12. There harassment, is how they signal their virtues.That's what kind of losers they are.
  13. I remain on “hope the Euro Weeklies for Jan fail miserably mode” because not only did today’s hold onto the mild pattern (though consistent blowtorch still well W of the E US thanks probably to refreshing CAD at times), they warmed that final week of the run (12/19-25) vs yesterday: H5 yesterday’s run for 1/19-25: H5 today’s run for 1/19-25: 2m yesterday’s run for 1/19-25: 2m today’s run for 1/19-25: Edit: Lakes to NE still average near normal temps almost every week of the run.
  14. As per normal little to no accumulation is what the weather service loves to put
  15. Can’t wait for the inevitable weenie “it’s only warm aloft!!” proclamations. Right out of the JB playbook. Chapter One
  16. already places like saranac lake ny had temps to minus 20 recently for lows.
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