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This sucks after earlier in the week but its early march still.

My father-in-law is with us this week, he turned 84 in Feburary. You'll make it.

Mine are very happy, Going to be another 10 weeks or so before they get outdoors.

6.6" imby with a general 6-12" dump across NE MN into N WI. Replaced what melted in recent days. And as for blizzard conditions, not really. Maybe some other locales, but not here in TH.

It’s all hypothetical speculation at this point. Long, long way to go before we can say with any confidence if this is going to be a super El Niño event or not. Then, if (IF) it does in fact become a super event….is it east-based (82-83, 97-98)? Or basin-wide (15-16)? Paul Roundy is extremely confident that this El Niño at least STARTS as an east-based event regardless of strength, where it goes from there is anyone’s guess right now…..

I still like where I sit with the 6z euro. It is a tough look for Iowa but keeps NE IL, NW IN and SW MI in the game for a few inches of wind driven snow. I’ll be the lone positive vibe. Going to be a fun system. Slight risk of severe weather on Sunday followed by potentially near-blizzard conditions on Monday. Let’s go!

Let's go for it and jump directly to May!

What we have for water content in this pack won't even make a dent in the drought.

March 13 2006: A March snowstorm dumps 9.9 inches at the Twin Cities. 1851: Before the spring green-up, dry grassy areas are a fire risk. On this date prairie fires blazed in Minnesota. For Friday, March 13, 2026 1907 - A storm produced a record 5.22 inches of rain in 24 hours at Cincinnati, OH. (12th-13th) (The Weather Channel) 1951 - The state of Iowa experienced a record snowstorm. The storm buried Iowa City under 27 inches of snow. (David Ludlum) 1977 - Baltimore, MD, received an inch of rain in eight minutes. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1987 - A winter storm produced heavy snow in the Sierra Nevada Range of California, and the Lake Tahoe area of Nevada. Mount Rose NV received 18 inches of new snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Unseasonably cold weather prevailed from the Plateau Region to the Appalachians. Chadron NE, recently buried 33 inches of snow, was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 19 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Residents of the southern U.S. viewed a once in a life-time display of the Northern Lights. Unseasonably warm weather continued in the southwestern U.S. The record high of 88 degrees at Tucson AZ was their seventh in a row. In southwest Texas, the temperature at Sanderson soared from 46 degrees at 8 AM to 90 degrees at 11 AM. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from northwest Texas to Wisconsin, Iowa and Nebraska during the day, and into the night. Severe thunderstorms spawned 59 tornadoes, including twenty-six strong or violent tornadoes, and there were about two hundred reports of large hail or damaging winds. There were forty-eight tornadoes in Kansas, Nebraska and Iowa, and some of the tornadoes in those three states were the strongest of record for so early in the season, and for so far northwest in the United States. The most powerful tornado of the day was one which tore through the central Kansas community of Hesston. The tornado killed two persons, injured sixty others, and caused 22 million dollars along its 67-mile path. The tornado had a life span of two hours. Another tornado tracked 124 miles across southeastern Nebraska injuring eight persons and causing more than five million dollars damage

nothing left here except the larger parking lot piles and even those will slowly shrink over the next week with sun and temps well above freezing during the day (and 2 inches of rain with temps 55+ Monday)

Low of 27. Classic March days ahead.

T Good morning Rob, Gravity. My delusional old man snow stick ( with my daughter’s pug Frank in the background ) looks forlornly at, perhaps, the last flakes of the cold season. Maybe next year, my friend, ……… if we both make it. Stay well, as always …. IMG_1170.mov

Oddly, I just read the DVN discussion and it talks about a winter storm watch for heavy deformation zone snow, with zero mention of the bone-dry Euro. Other non-GFS models are also trending toward the Euro, so I think DVN will have to start walking back the snow talk.

How much snow left?

Latest MJO: all forecasted days are in phases 7 and 8, the coldest post Niña winter March phases on avg per records:

I honestly think yesterday was the last one.

Yeah I wasn't taking your post at 100% face value...figured there was some humor in there. I do agree though that the climate classification system could use some tweaking and maybe even introduce some micro-climate classifications (though I am positive there are...but they could probably use some tweaking too).

It may end up super-strong. But Eric likes to make bold calls and thus has had his share of bad busts before. So, we’ll see. Keep in mind the Euro’s warm bias in predicting ENSO as well as the fact that RONI is currently 0.5C cooler than ONI, which is what most of the model charts are showing.

I will say there’s a lot of fruit growers well SW of here that have flowers in bloom that are going to lose most of their crops…especially peaches. I suppose that’s one benefit up here of tempering all of the warm airmasses until May. The long pack and mud season keeps the soils cooler and trees dormant too.

The Euro continues to trend in the wrong direction for Iowa. At this point it's non-event except for wind. It barely has a flake of snow falling anywhere in the state. I'm expecting the GFS to cave soon.

I think there is... 'micro climates' etc mind you, part of my post is tongue in cheek, but there is subtle truth to drool humor. But to me, there are plenty of days ... too many in fact, whence there is a "continental air mass" and we are not a part of it anywhere E of a NYC-PWM line... to fairly group us in the former.

Low of 28 this morning in Maytown. Family down outside of Lewes DE recorded 1.4" of snow yesterday after reaching 87 on Wednesday. Edit: I had to follow up, at my nephew's house about 3 miles west of Lewes, 33.8" of snow has fallen this winter.

On 3/4/2026 at 4:01 PM, Baum said: You can book 2-3” on grass only events at minimum post frontal in late March and April alone. Though, you might not know it happened.

Oh ok…thought that was through tomorrow. Only expecting 1-2” here.