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It's like a racing triple point moving ENE and lacking the good baroclinic response.

18z HRRR took a huge jump west but was really far east at 12z.. If I was in eastern MA I would still be watching this closely for something bigger.

Just south of it. Maybe 1 mile if that.

I hit laughing emoji because of the incredibly tight gradient between nothing at all and what's that 7 inches in Petersburg? Is that what city it is right below Richmond on that map or another city down here?

Weird to be getting missed by LE to the west lol

WB latest EPS extended looks great mid February to mid March.

Hi res mesos aren't doing well in the short range imo. It's snowing here right now by smith mtn lake right now and fcx shows a decent shield deep into swva. It's still light snow but heavier than flurries. 3k nam and hrrr show nothing like that Mesos are jumping all over the place every 6 hours while the globals like the gfs/euro have been pretty steady with their qpf forecasts last 3 runs. If I lived over by RIC I'd stick with what the globals are showing then pay attention tomorrow in real time as to where the banding sets up.

Oh 3K NAM, how we wish you were a good model

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7 in Petersburg and half an inch in Richmond. Yeahz I'll believe it when I see it Looks like DT talked about it https://medium.com/%40wxrisk/richmond-metro-and-only-richmond-metro-on-the-edge-huge-bust-potential-2a9d8c0b4b5a?fbclid=IwVERDUAPp96dleHRuA2FlbQIxMABzcnRjBmFwcF9pZAwzNTA2ODU1MzE3MjgAAR75fPSOhjLqRHYzu9-Ym_KihyMIZVBmH_wiyQhQDAGq6S5n33g819qPBfylMg_aem_UPeC2LWM9J-QNJ2grU5r_w Seems fo consider SREF not a likepy scenario, but a best case scenario if you want snow. Like the high end I guess

Don't be confused by then....take a avg of it all that's what i do some say 10 some say 4 ill go with between 5-6 Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

It's a Miller A, that's what feels off. They screw us and even if they hit us, they screw us.

Got to 10 for a few minutes

can we just get 50 mile jog to the north. Give us that north trend

Yeah, not liking the trends for SEVA on the 3K and HRRR. Seems crazy that we could get shut out entirely.

Thanks, I was curious about how heavy it might be, it looks impressive on radar.

Unexpected but light snow in Murfreesboro.

We’ve clawed our way to 0F here at the base of the ski area. MVL ASOS has been bouncing around 1-4F all afternoon, with 4F being the high.

Added another 3.5" after that. NWF will certainly be a thing.

I think I'm right on that cutoff line near Walker Springs so it'll be interesting to see what happens.

I have some very small flakes in West Knoxville.

Raleigh disco https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=RAH&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off

Will the temps cooperate. Cold rains yuck.

Are you north or south of house mt?