All Activity

This band of moisture is not as heavy as what the Hi Res models were showing earlier today. I think that's the main culprit along with the temperatures of course.

Seeing how there wasn’t even like any warnings in the moderate zone doubt will be many reports

Rain... and nothing else

I understand why they issued the watches - still think it was right. I’m glad because I don’t like severe weather. What exactly went wrong today though?

Local Storm Reports (LSRs) will lag. We've submitted over 20 just from our county to NWS alone.

I haven't given up yet, but that sounds about typical. Still hoping for a surprise.

Back home to 1.75 inches of snow. It really really poured down for a solid hour. There was an nearly an inch in town. Down to flurries now. Probably melt off before dark.

most of it come this evening

Will come down to the front!

Hi Res NAM says a dusting at best now for Asheville. Compare that to 3 inches the last run

Not even sure the moderate zone got like one storm report haha.

Cool and windy

I was in a school once that had a tornado warning right at dismissal. It was awful- busses and a line of cars stuck outside, I think some of the parents & bus drivers were rushed into the office- another teacher and I had a bunch of kids of mixed ages in their spots in an interior room- duck and cover- then the power went out. Total black in that room for at least a half hour. Kids were FREAKED OUT.

Finally posted DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Severe t-storm risk confined to southeast quadrant of CPA through early evening Focus for severe t-storms appears confined to the southeast quadrant of the CWA over the Lower Susquehanna Valley. This area is on the northern end of linear convective line evolving eastward from DCA/BWI. Within a deeply meridional wind profile, damaging winds and embedded tornadoes will be the main hazards. Latest WOFS is more bullish on severe risk (both wind and tor probs) to the south of the MD line toward Chesapeake Bay. We plan to trim the Tornado Watch #68 based on the latest SPC watch status report. KEY MESSAGE 2: Quick burst of moderate to heavy snow and sharply falling temperatures to bring slippery travel across the Alleghenies this evening into early tonight Well-defined surface/arctic cold front is on the western doorstep at 18-19Z. Observed 1hr temp drops are on the order of 10-15 degrees along with wind shift to the west. In wake of this FROPA, temperatures will continue to plummet due to strong CAA, while mid and upper level flow remains southerly in response to the strongly tilted and digging upper trough. Combined with upslope enhancement, this will cause precipitation to rapidly transition to snow from the Laurel Highlands across the western and central Alleghenies through the evening commute. While some snow accumulation may be initially limited to non- paved surfaces particularly at lower elevations, the higher elevations will see a two-part winter wx event consisting of front-end "thump" followed by lake-enhanced upslope flow. A brief period of snowfall rates surpassing 1"/hr (>60% chance) is expected btwn roughly 00-04UTC where a quick 1-4" of snow is fcst. Typically favored locations +2,000ft elevation should continue to see additional minor accums into Tuesday with local amounts 4+ possible. Pressure rises and steeper lapse rates/colder air aloft will maintain gusty winds with max gusts approaching advisory levels. KEY MESSAGE 3: Much colder with a couple of locally heavy snow showers possible Tuesday As the trailing vorticity maxima and secondary shortwave embedded within the trough over the OH Valley moves east Tuesday afternoon, convective cellular snow showers and isolated snow squalls could develop across the area. Additional snowfall accumulations will be light with any of these convective elements, but briefly heavy snow rates and gusty winds could cause local travel impacts due to rapid reductions in visibility. A SPS may be needed due to the broad coverage of locally heavy snow showers.

Looking forward to twenty years from now reflecting on the all time biggest bust ,because this was one for the books.

All the showers keep missing this area. I think we only have about .25 inches so far today. I think we only have an about .25” so far today. That’s a far cry from the 1-2” forecasted.

Thank you @Jns2183. I originally missed the post with the rbr files. I'll definitely be checking those out over the next couple nights.

I was clear that March is a transitional month. By definition, that is not winter. It possesses qualities of both warm and cool seasons. The reasoning I gave is clad.

Ironically, our kids's elementary school had their tornado drill on Friday. They all thought it was really cool and exciting. (I recognize, of course, that others might feel differently.)

The tornado watch was lifted for my area. I had feeling that was going to end up happen with how lackluster it's been out. Was also cancelled down to DC too it seems

Beginning to look like that here in Morristown now too. Rooftops and cars are covered and the grass is getting white as well. Would estimate 1/4-1/2in here too

All I remember about tornado warnings in schools is that I would try to tell the teachers they were wrong.

didn’t know you spoke for all kids and what they may or may not go thru and how it impacts them. Good to know.

57 here

It's a tornado drill. No one is getting long-term trauma from those.