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Haha. You are lucky I was posting maps at midnight to begin with. I normally don't do the night shift. You're welcome. They are free so you get what you pay for......

1.7" of fluff here. 1-2" across the area. Snow showers today with dropping temps.

Everytime some one says this we whiff.We hope

Oh for sure…100% we will. Murphy’s law.

It’s really too bad we couldn’t amplify the western ridge for Monday to send that northern stream vort further west and south because it would partially phase with that southern stream entity near Carolinas and probably produce a huge coastal. Im sure we will amplify the western ridge though just enough to cut a storm to our west when we don’t want it later this winter.

Very exciting.... Pattern is ripe for storms and rumors of storms

He's been honking the 1985 thing since 1986.

Only the current normal…as is always the case with the atmosphere. Couldn’t buy a clipper for years…was that the new normal too? Now we can’t stop them lol. Carry on.

I'm impressed he didn't use the word "patience", lol.

Easily there

2 days in a row we are in agreement. Folks better mark this down

Happy to report that the roads caved.

As long as we have record warm northwest pacific SSTs for a majority of the year, that helps supercharge the pacific jet, which leads to fast flow. Until the fast flow subsides, we will lack those bowling-ball type amplified systems that were prevalent in the 2000s and 2010s. It's the new normal

Happy New Years Eve to all of you! Yet another well below normal temperature day to close out 2025. In fact this will be the 3rd straight month with below normal average temperatures, and we will finish the year with 7 of the 12 months with temperatures below normal. I have to crunch the final numbers tomorrow, but this will likely be a top 10 coldest December here in Chester County in the last 45 years. For many spots across the County we will remain below freezing through the weekend with below normal temperatures likely through at least the 1st week of 2026. We could see some snow showers toward midnight tonight and through the overnight hours with maybe a coating in spots. Have a safe and festive New Years Eve!!

Happy New Years Eve to all of you! Yet another well below normal temperature day to close out 2025. In fact this will be the 3rd straight month with below normal average temperatures, and we will finish the year with 7 of the 12 months with temperatures below normal. I have to crunch the final numbers tomorrow, but this will likely be a top 10 coldest December here in Chester County in the last 45 years. For many spots across the County we will remain below freezing through the weekend with below normal temperatures likely through at least the 1st week of 2026. We could see some snow showers toward midnight tonight and through the overnight hours with maybe a coating in spots. Have a safe and festive New Years Eve!!

Weenie band and rapidly falling temperatures. 2025 ending on a bang in Minneapolis.

Too end this pointless NAM Discussion at least it stopped the northward trend at 12Z noticing the northwest flow and block and now moving east with the LP

Thanks for posting this! Very cool big picture approach that I like. Maybe I’m missing something but NAO didn’t appear to look good on the Ensembles moving D10-15 500 mb graphics. Another consideration is that La Niña may become less of a factor over time which could bring in other factors like MJO.

Mid level changes leave room for continued improvement though I think, although the surface didn't change much this time. Might be a non linear sort of trend on the ground if we see earlier and stronger consolidation.

12Z GFS ain't it for the Sunday potential.

AIGFS came a bit north for Sunday but still well south. Overall the American suite has been on the side of strongest suppression for this one.

You go Don. Hope we can grab an inch here.

MJO DISCUSSION • Over the past several weeks, the MJO remains weak and disorganized, with other modes of variability being the predominant drivers of convective and circulation anomalies throughout the tropics. • La Nina related ocean/atmosphere anomalies persist, but have become more confined across portions of the equatorial Pacific. • Dynamical models have been consistent in favoring little to no reemergence of coherent subseasonal activity in the coming weeks, with large ensemble spread covering various phases in RMM space. • If any renewed MJO activity were to occur later in January, the western Pacific appears most likely based on upper-level velocity potential and lower level zonal wind anomaly forecasts. • The precipitation and tropical cyclone formation outlook relies mostly on the La Nina background state, model guidance and climatology, where additional tropical cyclogenesis is favored across the southern Indian Ocean and South Pacific. I find the bold intriguing. It insinuates the hemisphere is at present rather decoupled from the ENSO state. It matters to me ...because a lot of my own ideas for the late winter period were based upon more -ENSO contribution/correlation with other notable warm springs in the past; then combining with that the recent decadal observation of increasing pattern meanders associated with CC ... the dice seemed weighted toward warmer. If the -ENSO is struggling to couple to the pattern(s), it's unclear how long that would be the case for one...but suppose it persisted in the challenged state, that would have to be considered.

Should be another inch or so tonight before weekend warm up