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12/30/00?
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Always funny to me how our warmest weather near the coast this time of year is after the cold front passes.
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Good chance of hitting 80 here today if we can keep westerly wind for a while.
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70 / 55 in / out sun. Some 80s in the warmest spots, enough sun , otherwise 70s and some afternoon showers, rain. What goes up must come down - for 18 hours - chill down Thursday with onshore / backdoor. Back up Friday clear out and warms up 20-25 degrees from Thu back to upper 60s / low 70s. Warm Easter weekend , showers and rain on Easter. Near normal next week by way of back and forth with the coolest period 4/6 - 4/8. Much warmer in the 4/10 - mid month period and beyond with ridging into the East coast.
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It did well last year. I was skeptical it would end up that cold. Interesting to see how it does this year. -
2026-2027 El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
New Cansips out on TropicalTidbits. Similar to last month with lots of blocking. Drier for the east coast than typical for a Niño, but it's a long range forecast. -
Back in the market?
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By the turn of the decade your metamorphous to torchtiger will be complete.
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Don’t see the is everyday:
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Last of my neighbor's snow-blow pile will go today. I melted out Sunday.
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Another issue: the shelters 100 years ago were not aspirated. Inadequate or poorly sited shelter ran warm. With his number of days metric easy for one or two sites with bad data to bias the result. We saw that in the Chester county, where spuriously warm data from Phoenixville in the 1930s and 1940s biased the >95F day data, by providing the overwhelming majority of the County 95F+ days in that period. -
60 at 8 am on 4/1. Solid start to the month.
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Quite a bit of sleet and freezing rain modeled to impact the metro area this evening. Rooting for the warm nose to over preform and keep us liquid on this one.
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Still snow piles here
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Bad methodology. Notice he uses MT and WY. 90s in March are virtually assured to be near or at zero. Thus he assures himself the kind of conclusion he seeks. A more robust approach would involve standardized measurements, e.g., the number of highs 1 sigma, 2 sigma, etc., above the 20th century baseline. -
For a coffee break...
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April Fools Anyone know the storm ?
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
80 was the high yesterday. Rainfall yesterday and over night .25” Grass is starting to grow. Maybe next week first cut. -
80° warmth could make it onto Long Island to start April with the downsloping flow behind the front this afternoon.
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Not looking good for the growers the middle of next week
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Newark just missed the all-time March warmest minimum temperature by 1° yesterday. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Mar Highest Monthly Minimum Temperature Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1998 63 0 2 2026 62 0 - 1985 62 0 - 1910 62 0 3 1949 60 0 - 1945 60 0 4 2016 59 0 - 1851 59 0
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April is always tricky with its swings between warm and cooler periods. After an initial warm spell, it’s common to see a few more chilly fronts or unsettled weather before temperatures stabilize. Keeping an eye on forecasts and seasonal trends can give a better sense of whether the month will end mild or remain unpredictable.
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Don't forget - Artemis II launches this evening! First time mankind has been beyond Earth's orbit since 1974. Where to watch: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/where-to-watch-artemis-ii-launch/ (in addition to NASA channel of course)
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39° with some clearing 1.19”
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Hope you all don't me me starting a thread on this. As a layman weather enthusiast, and a "visual person", one of my go-to things for getting a good feel for the weather coming was a "radar forecast" loop that was created from the NAM, and posted here: http://hp5-dev.wright-weather.com/nam-conus-radar-loop_1hour.gif As of February it stopped being updated though - the last one was Feb 24th. That website doesn't even exist as a site anymore - my guess is the creation and posting of that gif had been automated many years ago and it just wasn't being maintained, and something along the chain of automation was taken offline or broke on that day. Anyone know if such a thing is created and posted anywhere? (I'm sure the pros on here view that as an amateurish thing, but it actually seemed to be fairly accurate from what I could tell; certainly more useful than not having anything, and more useful to me at least than static maps)
