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  2. So far (and this is borderline delusional to say) I like the changes that the HRRR has made through the grad total of hour... 15.
  3. With the 0z HRRR running for the Monday storm I'm going to do a quick breakdown of what we want it to show (as its 18z run was by far the best we've seen for us). I will be comparing it to the 18z Euro. So starting out early in the run the first appreciable difference is that the more northern parts of the shortwave (plus the northern crusher) are weaker compared to the Euro. This helps our system out by allowing it to consolidate a bit more rapidly in the plains which in turn allows for an earlier amplification period. However, the real difference is in the confluence up north. The Euro has this running across our northeastern states. The HRRR on the other hand has it around 50 plus miles further north keeping the confluence located more in Canada and less across upstate New York. This obviously gives our storm a bit more room to breathe. So as the 0z runs its going to be important to see if it maintains these positive aspects. Additionally, it gives us a reference for how the setup would need to look in order to get snow into the subforum proper.
  4. I’ll be a little surprised if a sneaky clipper or two doesn’t pop up in the upcoming pattern.
  5. M’eh, I’d rather the ridge axis be over Boise
  6. Feels like there's going to be a ton of black ice out there tonight after the pouring rain we had earlier. Felt the tires slip a little on way home from the grocery store.
  7. Just mention Superm*n * in his ban message.
  8. BTV now going with 4” here. Should be a good little clipper. Let’s keep juicing through game time.
  9. Already 34. Gonna be interesting to see if there's any freezing fog soon
  10. Topping the charts is now off the table but making the top 5 is still in play. Though given the pattern discussion this’ll probably be mothballed again in about a month.
  11. 12/5: 1.5” (based on spotter report picked up by LWX, not by my own measurement)
  12. Looks like there is a consensus that northeast North Carolina and the Tidewater will score
  13. It will always be Vernon Valley to me haha
  14. whats pretty bad is thats better than most winter starts over the last decade
  15. I want this SO BAD for this entire Sub. I wish there was something I could do. I want to see you all GLUED to the evolution of a super triple phaser in just the right place for the sub to get BURIED ALIVE in The Day After Tomorrow snows! Like six feet, with a trowal that forms right over the sub then refuses to flat out BUDGE for ten days! Imagine the enthusiasm up in here! I'd be so severely distracted lmao!
  16. Mountain Creek ski resort here in my town in Vernon, opened today. Earliest opening ever.
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