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  2. Moving to warmer phases now. So the pattern change makes sense.
  3. Oh ya…Feb 2nd and pack season done..? Where the F do you live? Some years the pack is just getting started. What a ridiculous statement.
  4. Minor meaning < >1" on either? 27F/Sunny (12:20pm)....think I'll reach 32F+
  5. Yeah. This one ran out of steam lol. Back to tracking spring in the LR thread.
  6. 15.02 for my low up to 30.38 now feels great
  7. Key words…Op Run. If it showed a monster storm, would that be considered? Everybody would laugh. So it goes with this as well currently. If it gains traction…that’s different.
  8. It is the feeling of being called to coach a middle school championship game after losing the superbowl. I am thinking Roxboro could pick up an inch or two IF it is barely cold enough.
  9. The rubber band needs to eventually snap back to warmer. Enjoy the deep packs. Pack season is about done in SNE anyhow.
  10. and beyond. Obviously an op run but danger is there.
  11. 30 in Chester. My brother’s water supply line from the well head froze this morning; he’s up in Hamburg, NJ. He’s typically 4’ deep; perhaps too shallow.
  12. To early to establish any confidence but it's the first of the season, post exiting the solar minimum, when the extended GFS can't wait to tell us here comes spring
  13. Good thing the GFS blows dongs. A week ago today it showed us getting a monster coastal too. It Blows.
  14. NWS calling for a high today of 40 but at noon it's 23 degrees with clouds and a solid snowpack.
  15. Finally above freezing -- 33 degrees here right now.
  16. GFS says to start working on fantasy baseball drafts.
  17. I mentioned the other day, the ice buildup on the rivers is already impressive. Another week of this, and it will be insane. Bye-bye Vermont, again?
  18. AI models have been pretty consistently bullish on this system. BL temps the major issue but they are pretty impressive at 500mb, kinda what 12z GFS went to
  19. About the same. 00Z was 56% and 20%, respectively.
  20. 49 years ago, February 1977. Somebody in my family (I believe my grandfather) was drunk enough and decided to drive the station wagon from Island Heights to Sedge Island to check on the old summer shack (not in this picture) Ice was measured at 26" thick at the time. As of Saturday, I measured ice 8.5" thick just off Ocean Gate Yacht Club. Could be pushing 12" by this weekend.
  21. I was hoping to see a little something early Wednesday morning, but now it appears that it is going too far south. It looks as if our only chance of seeing a coating is with the arctic front on Friday with some snow showers. Maybe we can get a snow squall from that front.
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