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Not done yet “doing the shuffle.”

0z NAM/ICON/GFS all show this turning left into NJ , sorta similar to what the EURO AI has been showing but slightly more south. Looks like we got our consensus. Congrats NJ

love that hrrr - minimal impacts here through Sat pm.

Why so? Their methodology seems rock solid and makes logical sense.

Hailstoned hailstoned groan and boned….

40-48 hr the 00z HRRR shows it taking on more ST characteristics w/ a more focused core wind field. RRFS does this but it take more than 24 hr after this time, and the low just meanders around to the S of us for the entire 84 hr period! Lots of time to do odds stuff! @WxWatcher007 I know will be closely tracking the exact sfc low position relative to the SSTs!

Get them here! https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/gibbs/

00z HRRR shows the E Coast low taking on more ST characterists 40-48 hr as a inner core contracted wind field develops. RRFS it take over 24 hr longer to do this.

I’m thinking a soft, yet strong landfall on LI, doing its dance and meandering around BIS as it kaboots in its feeble state Monday.

I got to give you props for pulling up this old satellite image!

trumpy, trumpy temper tantrum...

Yes.

On Wed, five sites in ME/Quebec set all-time record high pressures for Sep. @CoastalWx take note. It's an exceptional pattern! Frenchville Montreal Quebec City Val D’Or Chibougamau-Chapais.

You’re talking about the High?

Last post for the night; it’s looking worse and worse for us. All depends on if it does a 50/50 split or a 40/60.

Berlin mesonet site had a peak gust of 36 mph earlier today. Will be interesting to see how this storm plays out this weekend. Hope it's a sign of a decent winter incoming.

Next to the butt cheeks se of obx? .

Winter storms we wait for the ticks east on game day

Just a nit from the 25/03z discussion for Nolo: Nolo is expected to pass near or just south of the Big Island of Hawaii on Saturday as a major hurricane. It's closet approach is about 125 mi S of the srn tip of the Big Island. Is that really "near or just S" for such a distance, esp. for an avg size TC? The wording makes it sounds closer than it really will be. That's a big deal when it comes to winds in a TC, esp. a strong one.

Love the RGEM track, basically Sandy -lite

0z NAM touches 979mb around 80-100mi south of LI

North OC here. It’s quite windy In OC for it lol

Rgem just goes due west under long island and dies in New Jersey.

Icon looks a bit west. Good looks like it's going be fun at work the next few days. Back to laundry and sleep, maybe