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Looks like BWI had a 60 in Dec, and a 62 in Jan., so they came dang close too. Still, quite a cool overall DJF winter for us.

47 / 26 and bright sunshine - full sun and snow disappearing before our eyes.

I believe so

I haven’t seen the PSU graphics in a long time. That was my go to site circa 2006-10.

Agree - gimme good rates anytime any place

I’ll take the warmth since this last threat fizzled. Maybe we can pull one more decent one together. Either way, I think we will still scratch our way to 50”. Can’t complain.

40" happened in ORH county in Dec 1992....42" in Princeton I think. We had 35" on the level in Holden about 300 feet lower. It will happen there too....ORH county has orographic enhancement to help make up for being a bit inland....and it has the benefit of being the highest terrain between them and the Atlantic in both the easterly and the southerly direction.

Appears that the first third of March could be active for severe. We have a remarkable signal for west trough and east ridge, with a strong jet stream driven by the still cold Arctic. SPC already has Wednesday in their Day 6, and that's probably just the beginning. Sometimes it's easier to infer long-range things from the heavy rain outlook(s). Grey flooding is pretty much the 3-7 day outlook from WPC, but this is the long-range from CPC. Period below could feature record high temps from the Mid-South through Tennessee to the Mid-Atlantic. Heights look particularly anomalous over the Mid-Atlantic. Less extreme heights over the Mid-South with still near record surface temps could open the door for severe. Surace details are always TBD, especially a week out. In this situation one can be more confident than usual about week two moisture with the temps (CAPE) thanks to pattern recognition. Several troughs pass without driving the surface front south. That's a recipe for building moisture. All that said, those severe weather anxious should not worry 10 days out. Storm chasers though, need to get ready to roll. Both can be true. Chance of one place being hit is low. Chasers can go to the forecast area though. My spring mode is activated.

in two months.

What units are those? mm?

Weekend looking great! It's a good thing too, as Monday looks miserable...

There does seem to be some surface connection trying to show up in the longer range when this does occur so I would not be surprised to get a blocky colder pattern as we head to mid month. Ill enjoy the warmth ahead of it though!

Update for late reporting cooperative observation sites. Falcon Dam recorded a high of 106F yesterday!

Took a peak at 2015, they definitely had deep pack.

My snowpack

I guess it will finally 'split' coming up here, I feel a little too late anyway for any big fun but whatever Many have gotten solid snows this year. As far as a final warming it does not completely obliterate the SPV coming up here so technically it is still intact in some way. When you start to lose the idea of any cohesiveness of the SPV then it is considered done which does not look like it through at least mid March. Typically the final warming happens from the last week of March through 3rd week of April but as we know can happen before or after that timeframe. Sorry been on vacation starting to bring things back to normal for the work week coming up. Edit: Wanted to add this because this does show the overall structure does split besides one random layer. So this should hit the troposphere rather quick. https://www.stratobserve.com/fcst_ell_vert

The event I was referring to was the Tues/Wed storm, which looks good for snow. Beyond that VT could be flirting with mix precip and minor freeze thaw

What a shitty representation of snowfall.

Is this just some freak pattern like last year?The RONI since summer has been quite similar with a moderate NINA,both years it was basically a BN temp Jan.Last year we a had a Major SSWE March 8.,this year its around the same time,if its a Major Sure the wave lenghts are different,we had severe Mid March and a tornado outbreak the end of March The first pic of the tropical forcing is last year,2nd is what the CFS is showing today

Hopefully MassWx doesn’t log on

Moosup?

Looks good for all

Take a peak at the east wareham coop? I haven't looked but that probably gives the answer for your hood.

For the end of the week? Gonna be skiing far northern VT 5-7 and been concerned with a warm rainy surge.