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Just back in time for the 60 degree cutter!

Probably ended up with anywhere from 1/4” to 1/2” of snow.

Yes, its the 12z ICON at the end of its run, but thats some ridiculous cold for mid December. h5 looks silly

But WE…do know.

Most locations reported some measurable snow overnight with 0.3" of snow here in East Nantmeal. This is our 3rd winter event of the young winter season. Of note yesterday was the coldest early season day in the 23 years I have lived here in East Nantmeal. In addition to the record low maximum (25.7) we also recorded a record low for the date (19.7). Our unseasonably cold start to December will continue for at least the next week. With some of the longer-term guidance indicating we will continue to see below normal temperatures right through the entire Christmas Holiday Season. We turn a bit milder over the weekend with highs both today and tomorrow well into the 30's but still several degrees below normal for the date. We turn sharply colder again on Monday and Tuesday with highs both days struggling to get to freezing. Our next rain chance is Wednesday afternoon and the next light snow chance on Thursday night.

Most locations reported some measurable snow overnight with 0.3" of snow here in East Nantmeal. This is our 3rd winter event of the young winter season. Of note yesterday was the coldest early season day in the 23 years I have lived here in East Nantmeal. In addition to the record low maximum (25.7) we also recorded a record low for the date (19.7). Our unseasonably cold start to December will continue for at least the next week. With some of the longer-term guidance indicating we will continue to see below normal temperatures right through the entire Christmas Holiday Season. We turn a bit milder over the weekend with highs both today and tomorrow well into the 30's but still several degrees below normal for the date. We turn sharply colder again on Monday and Tuesday with highs both days struggling to get to freezing. Our next rain chance is Wednesday afternoon and the next light snow chance on Thursday night.

Y'all can hope for the 12/13th, I'm all in on the 19-21 marathon event that the GFS is showing for Eastern areas that will surely happen.

i wouldn’t say that. the globals had a sizable shift north, and now with the decent shift south of the cams. essentially converging on a solution.

Picked up .20" snowfall overnight. Melted total .02". Looks festive while it lasts. I am on a nickle and dime ride to 1" for the season. Currently .7".

Who knows what goes on... I'll be interested in their 445P climates for LGA, EWR and CP and how a TV station got info before entire community regarding official amounts. That was always something that bothered me in offices, the TV station calls for info before the entire community. Competition.

That bold statement of yours, and the chart just beneath it ... are utterly mutually exclusive circumstances and have zero bearing on one another in any analysis that would expose any sort of indicator for some direct causality. This is like I saw a shooting star, this means she loves me

Picked up .20" snowfall overnight. Melted total .02". Looks festive while it lasts. I am on a nickle and dime ride to 1" for the season. Currently .7".

Chestnuts blighted, and catching fire Jack shit amounts of snow Yore-like snow maps, being sent by a weenie And folks dressed up like Key Largo Everybody knows, some toucans and forsythia Helps to make the season right Weenie cops, obsessed with MJO Will find it hard to sleep tonight They know the Grinch storm, is on its way It’s melting lots of ice and snowmen in just a day And every mother plays, John Mayer on a drive As the temp and dewpoint, both hit fifty-five

Picked up .20" snowfall overnight. Melted total .02". Looks festive while it lasts. I am on a nickle and dime ride to 1" for the season. Currently .7".

Any of the Hickory nuts from Nashville survive?

FYI, BWI snow has been upgraded to 1.0 inches and IAD snow has been upgraded to 1.3 inches. See below -- there is no relative change in the standings.

That comes from a NORLUN set up, btw - I thought it subtly ironic that there's been some hints of that in the nearer terms as others sniffed it out. But there, out in the 360-ish time frame, the GFS' 06z has a whopper signal really. IVT with deep heights over head is clear indication for cold convection instability along an axis with convergence underneath. And it's stationary for like 12 hours too. But ... it's also 360-ish hours out in time. It won't be there at all ( most likely ) on this next 12z run. LOL. we'll see

That may be true for most of L.I. but a different story out this way and in the watershed areas. Only .65" for the month here and that total is not going anywhere fast over the next week at least.

Very true.

I remember I was in Downtown Silver Spring having dinner and saw it start to snow. Only had to go from there to roughly MD-650 and Randolph Rd (back to the house) and it was extremely dangerous. Within about 30 minutes of getting home, the roads were all snow covered and by morning everything was SUPER icy. A winter containing an event like that (or two), a few few nice cold shots, and a moderate snow event or two (and if we are lucky a major one too) would be a perfect winter. But even without a MECS/BECS - a winter containing a good blend of the above (minus the major one) can be memorable....even if it isn't a 2013-2014 style wall-to-wall. And those types of arctic snow squalls are NOT something that the long rangers here are going to be able to spot with accuracy at range. That kind of crap is going to make itself known only once in range of things like the NAM nest etc.

These clipper not clippers don’t like Lake Michigan for some reason.

A borderline top tier event in Long Beach-altogether I think there was 12-14” there. The 12/5 portion was a huge surprise because the initial overrunning was supposed to be quick snow to rain but stayed all heavy snow (back in the good old days when primary lows transferred to the coast before they torched us). There was 7-8” that day and another 6” with the coastal storm part. Parts of LI under heavier banding ended with 20”. Closer to the city the banding was more spotty and I remember some lulls.

The pattern we have coming up does not have many historical matches comparing it to past Decembers. I'm not exactly sure how to generalize it, but to me it almost appears that the lower latitudes portion of the pattern (say 25-40 N) is shifted east of where you would expect it given the polar configuration. It's a strange to, for example, have robust ridging for 2/3 of the country downstream of the -WPO block like we see days 10-15 in current guidance. I think this may be related to the strong Pacific jet disrupting what would otherwise be a better pattern.

A little more snow fell on yesterday evening's coating...I just left that in place and measured what was there this morning, 0.5". This brings event total to 1".

I don’t know about that…we’ve had a lot of snow the last 30 years. But that is a discussion for another thread. Hoping to cash in on something over the next few weeks.