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Don't confuse QPF with LE is the snowfall...it was a dry snow just off of the coast.

I mean it's not a major snow either way....maybe the south coast gets 4" instead of 2"...

Mjo going into 7 then 8 . Maybe fun times ahead but we know how that works.

BUMP .

Let what go ? Everyone else will continue to track it since its close to being a good storm. Euro trended favorable. Just need a cleaner phase. We can work with that with days to go.

What? Look at h5 and get back to me. Nothing is cooked this far out.

you must have PD2 confused with something else. 2003 had a high moisture contest.

40F/Dp22 just had a 39mph gust and another brief snow shower, temp down 2* in 30 minutes

It’ll be interesting to see if we can pull off what the euro is showing for Thursday night. I feel like we had something similar in maybe 2018 or 2019 where we had a coastal pop like that and we got like 10 inches in dc metro but not much north of here. I think in that one it was all snow and there was a gap between round 1 and round 2 and then the radar blossomed right over us.

Of course it matters whether a closed H5 opens up quickly or stays intact. Basic meteorology

Getting a windy snow shower at 43F. We are so back baby!

Will be interesting to see if our forum sees one last hurrah during the second week of March. We've seen it before!

I don’t doubt it. Visibility’s on I84 in NE PA were in the half mile range when I checked a few minutes ago.

Beware of the latest ill-informed Social Media hype: No "big" snowstorm is likely for the Northeast during January 15-16. Key factors argue against it: 1) The AO-/PNA+ pattern is just getting established. The trough is not likely to be sufficiently sharp. 2) There are numerous areas of vorticity competing with one another. The probability that the various areas of vorticity will develop into a single consolidated low that takes an ideal track for a classic NE snowstorm is low. Notice that only the operational GFS was shown. Moreover, large splashes of color on vorticity maps don't always translate into surface potential. There's a lot involved for the upper levels and surface to become aligned. 3) The realistic scenarios have been available for some time, even as the exact solution cannot yet be pinned down. During the 1/11 0z EPS cycle, a single ensemble member had 6"+ snow (none had 10"+) and during the 1/11 12z EPS cycle, no ensemble members had 6"+ snowfall in New York City. For Boston, the figures were 6 and 4 members respectively. Bottom line: the probability of a significant NE snowstorm is low; the probability of a major NE snowstorm is extremely low. What's far more likely than a big snowstorm is the idea that there will be periods of precipitation that transition to periods of snow, as some areas could start as light rain. A light accumulation is plausible in the New York City area. Details are uncertain, but a 1"-3"/2"-4" type snowfall would be vastly more likely than a 6"+ one. Southeast New England has a better chance of seeing a moderate accumulation. Even if some areas of 6" or above snows develop over a portion of SE New England, the areal coverage of such amounts will likely be limited. By no definition will this be a classic NE snowstorm. It won't be something that would be placed in the iconic KU Northeast Snowstorms books. Best guess from this far out: At most, maybe one of the following locations will see 6" or above snowfall during January 15-16: Baltimore, Boston, New York City, Newark, Philadelphia, Washington, DC. Most will see < 3" of snow. That's not a "big one." By the way, that's the same outfit that ignored the guidance and also failed to understand how a PNA- teleconnection translates downstream (SE ridge/warmth in the SE), and said that places like Atlanta would have a much colder than normal January. January 1-10 has a mean anomaly just above 12° above normal in Atlanta. Just for January 2026 to reach normal, Atlanta would need to experience its coldest January 11-31 since 1985! Again, as noted ad nauseum, anyone can play forecaster on social media. There, "clicks" and "views," not knowledge, skill, or accuracy are the currency of value. Entertainment value not quality of information is promoted and monetized. Hence, it's no surprise whatsover that what might become a moderate storm, if things work out (still not assured), is being hyped as a potential "big one."

Thanks for the report. I've been tracking them all day, there were several 1/4 mile visibility reports from highway departments across PA.

Nice MJO journey at the same time.

High winds as well.

Looks like i need to move again

Little bit of snow again

Nice bout of snow rolling through a lot of the area.

The echos over eastern PA are snow showers and squalls. The echos moving along I84 look quite intense with visibility’s of 1/2 mile or less. The brief snow shower we just had dropped visibility below 1/2 mile. Temperature dropped from 41 to 36 as it passed. If you are N&W of the city look out for these.

Mainly cloudy in the city all day today in Windsor picking up now too, but yes, this was definitely a big thaw. The temperatures never went above the low 50s, but for what would normally be the coldest time of the year, it felt pretty darn warm. Also, it persisted for quite a bit and when all is said and done on Wednesday, it’ll be about eight days of a thaw, but we’ve seen much bigger ones

Dare I try to be the voice of reason, but even though the GFS has also backed off on, it’s insanely amplified solutions that it had on Friday and Saturday, there is still a legitimate possibility of pulling a moderate snow out of this one. I don’t think it’s one of those scenarios where either you get a blockbuster storm or you get nothing at all, this one is close enough that it can trend to a moderate storm, particularly along the coast.

Oh yeah, that was absolutely an amazing winter and the numerous chances for snow in a row like on the euro model give flashbacks the 2014 and 2015 Winters, but I’m sure it’s not going to play out in that fashion. Still it’s good to see that they were ample chances for winter weather in the second half of this month showing up on the models.