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The 12z UKMET absolutely buries most of the forum.
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Nice to see CMC come aboard. There's more support than just the AI models. And these things usually trend north unless there's a massive -NAO type block
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GEFS has a huge signal for Bob Chill, technically a shift south but our snow mean improves a lot as well!
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
csnavywx replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Normally we lose out in these CAD-type storms. This one looking different. Northern stream looks strong and suppressive and the subtropical jet is finally coming back from the dead. -
Im sure you'll find a way to manage with only 2 feet of snow.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yea, not that into next weekend. -
12z UKMET much further south than 0z, still tries to run low into heart of the CAD, regardless of trying to do that, it's an absolute mess of a storm across much of NC and would be bad in many ways!
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UKMET is FOLKS
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Someone posted the Kuchera map in the Mid-Atlantic subforum. 16-28” for all of us. Would be up there with the all time greats. -
January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It did. Good tick south -
Totally makes sense. When we hit, we can hit big, but we also fail big and often. I find it interesting and awesome that the three hits on this run are an overrunning/SWFE event, what kind of looks to be a Miller B, and a storm riding up the coast. Three ways to win, three ways to fail.
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see at least for Feb 20 2025 the GFS wasn't on an island, it had the euro ai. now the gfs is on a fucking other universe where different laws of physics occur
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
495weatherguy replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
I believe I’m closer to 4 inches but I didn’t measure. Going by eyeball, I think your measure mentions closer to what I received from the entire event -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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Probably one of the times where it might prove more useful
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
RitualOfTheTrout replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Snow Squall warnings all over. Ive been stuck in-between two with the sun peaking out, hope the pivot or fill in. -
January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Again, with a 1040mb High to the north, what the UKMET is showing is a wide swath of blizzard warnings It's been so rare lately to have strong High pressure to the north.. if it holds, blizzard conditions are the upside -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
NC_hailstorm replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
-Canadian brings the Baja shortwave out,phases too early and is amped up. -GFS misses the phase,colder and a good hit with the shortwave. -UK misses the phase but isn't as cold as the GFS, sleet/snow mix but no cutter this run. -
Cmc gearing up for another monster hit at 240.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Superstorm replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ukmet says we will be measuring in feet. . -
Let's just play the ukulele and lock it up. I mix for a bit but if that's what it takes for ALL of us to get buried... I guess I'll make the sacrifice just this once
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It was a strong cutter at 0z. Did it also trend south?
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And that's at 10:1
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12z Suite Scoreboard >4" vs <4" scoreboard (Euro = 5, Euro AI = 5, GFS AI = 4, GFS = 3, CMC = 2, UKMET = 1, ICON = 1) DC: 5-4, more than 4" leads Baltimore: 5 - 4, more than 4" leads lets see what the euros do
