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@powderfreak congrats man that’s awesome. I bet the new digs will definitely help retain snowpack better (not that you had a problem with that lol). When my wife and I were looking around the cape for a second place, many places had HOAs that banned the units to be used as rental income because of the problems you described. PE firms would just buy them out and rent the shit out of them. Of course with the interest rates the way they are and me out of work for several months (fingers crossed I land something I’ve been pursuing for weeks soon) I’m glad we held off buying. But the problem you described is an issue.

The fact that models are trying to usher in the pattern in November when we typically don’t see it until later in December the earliest is actually attributed to it being the strongest Nino on record.

Looks like a two day cold shot this weekend and then we warm up for days and days. Just enough of a tease for people to post pics of snowliage and snow guns blowing mice out, only to be replaced with shorts and flip flops early next week.

December 23. That’s when I’ll be out of town, so we know when to book that first snow

Euro and AI Euro ensembles are switching to -NAO around Oct 22, fwiw, after +NAO for several weeks

Still want summer. Not ready yet.

Caught these three in a row. Thinking it is the initial booster rockets shutting off?

But the earth is flat.

Even the kiddo thought it was cool, teenager approved!

So cool!

Got a picture while getting kids ready for bus! .

Got it!! Look south now!

This makes me sad. I know it hasn’t been great but it’s still another data point to consider when trying to get a feel for a forecast. Plus it’s had its wins over the years. It’s being replaced by the RRFS, correct? Some other legacy models being replaced by this too, no? Less weather models to check is never a good thing in my book.

54 with some fog when I left the house. Beautiful day ahead.

Kid gets on bus around that time, so yes! Will be looking

There are many reasons for our energy cost increases, but the vast majority has been renewables. There is reams of data and articles on the subject, going back to before the current supply disruptions. Posting data from ERCOT is cherry picking. Texas is the one state that has the best blend of geographical conditions for wind and solar. As I say - low hanging fruit. Now do the same PJM (largest grid) and others. It's kind of like when people point out how Norway is so green with their renewables - well duh; they live in a population-sparse country with tons of mountains - perfect conditions for hydro. Most of the rest of the world doesn't have that geographical luxury.

Just be grateful that we didn’t get the tree damage they just got around Great Falls. Record warmth start to October followed by an early record snowstorm. Rachael’s moisture streamed up into that area and met air cold enough for heavy wet snow with the trees still leafed out. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBYb7eyjY-k Climatological Data for Great Falls Area, MT (ThreadEx) - October 2026 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2026-10-01 62 33 47.5 -3.9 17 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-10-02 77 41 59.0 8.0 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-10-03 71 38 54.5 3.9 10 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-10-04 82 36 59.0 8.9 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-10-05 85 52 68.5 18.8 0 4 0.00 0.0 0 2026-10-06 81 46 63.5 14.3 1 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-10-07 76 44 60.0 11.2 5 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-10-08 80 43 61.5 13.2 3 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-10-09 81 54 67.5 19.7 0 3 0.00 0.0 0 2026-10-10 56 31 43.5 -3.9 21 0 1.29 6.4 0 2026-10-11 32 30 31.0 -15.9 34 0 0.83 9.3 8 2026-10-12 34 29 31.5 -15.0 33 0 0.03 M M Maximum 2-Day Total Snowfall for Great Falls Area, MT (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 15.7 2026-10-10 through 2026-10-11 0 2 12.4 2020-10-17 through 2020-10-18 0

Now 11 confirmed tornadoes in NC from Sunday making it the second most ever in the state from a tropical system. The first place storm? Isaias in 2020….

Every total qpf map is different...I'm beginning to question if it rained at all now lol