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The main difference for Northern areas is less precip
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
HIPPYVALLEY replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
They all paint a similar picture. We crushy. I need to get the Christmas lights up in the next 48 hours. -
Can’t snow without them
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Better hurry with those winter storm watches!!
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No stickage here that I noticed, just a white rain event.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
AstronomyEnjoyer replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
12z NAM spits outs 27" over my head. Therefore, it must be the most correct. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
metagraphica replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
6-8" for you. Rain for me. I like it too. -
Ya cause trading one storm in for one a week away usually works out well lol
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12z Icon: icy mess
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I wouldn't be too worried about missing this one, fellow comrades in the metros. We're already tracking two more events in the medium-range.
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I lived in Norwalk CT at the time and it snowed the entire time yet did not accumulate at all.
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I’m not going to post clowns for the GFS because of how useless it’s been of late, but 12Z is a bit colder. Verbatim it’s a major mess of a storm north of I-85. 3-5” of snow for many, followed by a 1/4-1/2” of ice (Friday into Saturday).
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I like that run -
CMC looks decent
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Fair....and I actually should probably have said "some"...
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Forgot about that storm, that was one of the craziest cases I remember where the setup was almost perfect and it rained. Many of us at that point felt we were headed for another 97-98
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I mean for the metro areas ya but euro been showing snow up here for like the last 3 days so if all a sudden inside 48hrs it goes away it’s kinda hard to believe
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True, but if this storm was a couple degrees colder it’s quite possible we’d be looking at least a slop storm to an actual snowstorm.
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12z GFS is close to something better on the 6th but I’d still take an easy 0.5-1”
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Still quite a difference in precip. amounts. GFS advertising an inch of liquid north of 70 and Euro about .60. There are some things to really like with this system if you north and west of the beltways with some elevation. Maybe a good old fashioned 5-7 that ends in drizzle. Euro 850's and thicknesses and even surface temps look really good. GFS only a bit warmer. I would think any moderate to heavy precip is all snow.
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On the board with my first Trace of the season after starting with some light sleet this morning. Nasty out there before the precip slackened. 34 and light rain just blows…
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I’ll probably chalk this one up to it being early December, personally
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Wantage NJ 32.7 maybe 0.2 on some of the grass - dirt but cant officially measure as melt son contact. still snowing at 1118A
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Close up on the 10 th. Wonder, and hoping, we get a better + PNA spike as we get closer to this time period.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
