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Low key excited for the squall line, embedded ‘naders, and flash flooding at midnight.
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Greenfield is the crossroads for fire engines from all over the place running around right now. I just watched fire engines from Whately and Hatfield drive north through town. All of the various departments are covering each other‘s stations. Wild!
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Madison cell is now wrapping up too. Expect a tor warning soon. Mean looking hail filled RFD. Looks damaging. Edit: Now a cc drop and tornado warning. Could be damaging RFD winds also lofting debris.
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There are brush fires everywhere around here tonight. The clear skies and breeze are not going to help with that.
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Dews are in the mid to upper 50s so it's def not a dry heat but definitely no swamp weather
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The one immediately behind it now seems to be gearing up to produce.
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Didn’t expect showers to pop up today. Stilll don’t expect them to reach me.
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Too bad it’s so far from the radar. Can’t really see to the surface. Any chasers on this one?
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I also noticed the oak buds really swelling the last two days. That definitely seems a bit ahead of schedule. maybe swelling is too much of the word to describe it, but they’re noticeable now.
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Yeah that can happen, especially this time of year. But man did the S winds pick up. Jesus. Tapered down a bit now.
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Tomorrow and Thursday will feature exceptional early season warmth. Temperatures will likely peak in the middle and upper in most of the region. Records will likely be challenged tomorrow. Daily Records for April 15: Albany: 86°, 2003 Bridgeport: 81°, 1960 Hartford: 88°, 1941 Islip: 78°, 2002, 2024 New York City-Central Park: 87°, 1941 New York City-JFK Airport: 80°, 1960, 2002, 2006 New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 86°, 1941 Newark: 88°, 1960 Philadelphia: 88°, 1941 White Plains: 83°, 1960 Some of the guidance suggests that the hot spots could approach or reach 90° during the height of the warmth. Long Island will be cooler with highs peaking in the 70s due to onshore breezes. However, there is a chance that Islip could approach or reach 80° on Wednesday. Following the bout of early season heat, readings will return to the 70s to end the week and start the weekend. It will turn cooler on Sunday. A sharp cold shot is possible early next week. Generally dry conditions will also persist through at least Friday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -9.45 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.087 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 84% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.6° (2.9° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.6° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
- 461 replies
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This seems like it could have a tornado any time now.
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There might be one near here because I am smelling smoke very strongly. Edit- 11 acres burned yesterday near the Amherst/Pelham/Btown lines
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Truck was reading 90, then went to and settled at 88 at 4:00 pm. Summer day for sure. Just got home and put the Central air on to cool it down some.
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Surprising, the wind has basically stopped here. Could be good for storms later. Holding on to some instability .
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65.5 and breezy, made it to 78.8
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Independence cell is now tornado warned.
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you went thru an interesting hour. I love that... Breeze boundary got close here and I watched as it attempted but lost against his SW breeze we got up here. Rare win ... But that boundary yo-yoed you
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Perfect temps and a bonus rain shower moving thru rn. Approved.
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The biggest threat at the moment seems to be very large hail. Low level shear needs to increase to get more tornadoes.
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Not terrible, temps still around 60 on the beaches and JFK 17mph. Looks like dodged a bullet today.
- 461 replies
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Just poured for two hours. 0.63” on the day now.
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High of 84 with upper 50s DP. Not bad but would rather have 70/48 this time of year.
