All Activity

Yea mid to upper 40s yesterday and today then low 40s tomorrow and thursday.

Spoke too soon on that. Not a terrible run

TECHNICALLY the jackpot would be NJ… but yeah, I know what you mean lol

This isn't that bad?

Looks pretty good

Wouldn’t be Surprised. I’ll say it again and again; 4 TIMES this winter, people got more snow East And West And North And South of Me. Impossible. But here we are. Last time was the Mini-Fujiwawa a week ago.

AIGFS. further east than 6z fwiw .

41F here and have a shot at touching 50 for the first time since December 19th. Telling all my friends winter is over and it's safe to put away the shovels!

Don't think his OP brother will be joining him for a Steelers game...for now.

GFS will probably be worse. Less intense vort/upper low over the plains

Only model to take it that far north....at least for now.

Classic look. The AI models have performed well this winter so that's encouraging.

Maybe. But that run most definitely wasn’t.

Aigfs north op gfs south

Friendly request: if there’s obvious trolling going on from posters, please report it. Us mods aren’t always here, don’t always read each thread and catch things. If it doesn’t get reported, then we don’t see it if we come in a thread pages later. So report it, even if the mods in this subforum don’t see it, another mod elsewhere may and may act faster.

Need to weaken the confluence to the north of here on these next two

this is all I can think of when greyhat posts

GFS remains quite robust. Not sure if it's overdoing it, but the QPF numbers are good.

AIGFS looks very similar to 06z. CCB goods/greats are a tad east but I’d categorize the small change in low placement as noise at this range, unless the deterministic and other guidance do the same thing. But again, very minor shift. edit: did not see the temps, that would suck edit 2: I still think a massive latitude difference like that between the primary and coastal is a little much. Just have to hope it ends up meaning the primary tracks further south rather than the coastal further north.

ICON LBSW

Yeah, but takes primary slp pretty far north warming us. Still turns to snow, and heavy for a while, but accumulations would be reduced due to temps.

Primary to Pittsburgh is no good for temps on the AIGFS lol

Looks like rain quickly to hvy snow - liek the ICON

Not on the GFS solution it isn’t.

February 17 1981: Warm weather continues across Minnesota with a record high of 55 in the Twin Cities. Crocuses were blooming. 1894: The Minneapolis Weather Bureau journal notes: 'Sleighing is very poor, about half of the vehicles are on wheels'. For Tuesday, February 17, 2026 1930 - Eureka, CA, reported an all-time record high of 85 degrees, a record which lasted until September of 1983. (The Weather Channel) 1936 - The temperature at McIntosh SD plunged to 58 degrees below zero to establish a state record. (David Ludlum) 1958 - The greatest snowstorm of the mid 20th century struck the northeastern U.S. The storm produced 30 inches of snow in interior New England, including more than 19 inches in 24 hours at the Boston Airport. The same storm produced up to three feet of snow in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region, with 14 inches at Washington D.C., and 15.5 inches at Baltimore MD. The storm resulted in 43 deaths and 500 million dollars damage over the Middle Atlantic Coast States. (David Ludlum) 1987 - A couple of winter storms, one off the Atlantic coast and another over the south central U.S., produced snow and ice from the Mississippi Valley to the Mid Atlantic Coast Region. Freezing rain produced a coat of ice three inches thick in northern South Carolina, and 30,000 homes around Pee Dee were left without electricity. Parts of south central Kentucky were without electricity for three days following the storm, which was their worst in 35 years. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Santa Ana winds in southern California gusted to 63 mph at Ontario. Heavy snow blanketed parts of Colorado, with 11 inches reported at Strontia. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Low pressure off the Washington coast produced more than a foot of snow in the Cascade Mountains, and more than three inches of rain along the Northern Pacific Coast. Spokane WA was blanketed with 13 inches of snow. Cold arctic air in the Upper Midwest produced all-time record high barometric pressure readings of 31.10 inches at Duluth MN, 31.09 inches at Minneapolis MN, and 31.21 inches at Bismarck ND. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - The biggest winter storm of the season hit the Pacific Coast Region. In northern California, snow fell along the coast, and two day totals in the mountains ranged up to 67 inches at Echo Summit. Snowfall totals in the mountains of southern California ranged up to 48 inches at Green Valley, with 46 inches reported at Big Bear. Up to two feet of snow blanketed the southern Cascade Mountains of Oregon, and 20 to 35 inches were reported in the northern Cascades of Oregon. Up to ten inches of snow blanketed Seattle WA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)