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Warmer than +10 to +12 would be the apocalypse.

CC is one factor, but we lack the MC contribution that 2015 had, which accentuated the warmth.

Yes, this is more east based at the surface then 2015, no one world argue otherwise.

Gonna be kind of strange wearing shorts and flippies to Thanksgiving dinner.

This weather is a little bit depressing tbh.

I agree with you but I'm on the dry warm train not the wet warm train. I think this winter will be much more like 2001-02 than 1997-1998. Most people care about the result much more than the cause. 2001 shows up in the records very strongly this week. More like 2001. And also drier. Of it's more like 2001-02 as I suspect it will be it will be drier than 1997-1998. Matches what happened this week in 2001. He can whine all he wants I think this winter will be more like 2001-02 than 1997-1998. 2001-02 was the Michael Jordan of warm winters. I'm not talking about the cause but the result which is what most people care about. Yes much like November 2001 which shows up strongly in the records already this week. Yes November 2001 redux. Also for the vast majority of people who want to save on heating costs. My October bill is 650. I'm glad he says warm in the east and not warm and wet. More like 83-84 and next summer will be a combo of 1983 and 2010. I'm really looking forward to that! Or more like 1983-84 and next summer will be a combo of 1983 and 2010.

Thanks Don any record of snowfall at MPO on either of those two dates? What was the low at JFK on that earlier date October 19, 2015? Also a big el nino. Last night my lows were very similar 28.6, 28.8 and 29.1 on my main sensors so only about 0.2 degrees lower than the night before and the high was 60 so 2 degrees higher than the previous day so almost a carbon copy. What was the low at MPO? Thanks. 2001-02 is my main analog and it shows up strongly this week in the records. Very 2001 like and I think this winter will be much more like 2001-02 than 1997-98. Most people care about the result much more than the cause. 2001 showing up strongly in the records this week! Perfect. I'm telling you with all the people on the rainy 1997-98 train I think this winter will be MUCH more like 2001-02. Most people don't care about the cause only the result. I'm really looking forward to that warmup. Warmup are meaningless when it's raining. It's the absolute perfect weather, now just shift it to next summer so we can have some nice 104/64 splits with very low humidity and clear blue skies. They beat FOK, I wonder what MVY low was? Basically a carbon copy of yesterday the low was 0.2 lower the high was 2 degrees higher.

As for the scrutiny placed on NCEI and their climate dataset, here is their methodology/rationale. Since the only issue brought up with NCEI in this thread is that their methodology adjusts modern temperatures warmer, rather than taking issue with the methodology itself, I will continue to use NCEI to highlight the ongoing warming trend in Yellow Medicine County (population 9,477)

It gets overwhelming when you look up at the trees and think about all the cleanup ahead

Ruby Mountains yesterday. Elevations between 9500-10000ft had about 6-10 inches of snow

The early polar vortex social media is out of control!

Probably because the storm took em all down

Drove home from Maine through the Kanc.

Not here. Oaks are freaking loaded . I was looking at pics from after that storm

Did it really?My comments are by the strongest NINOS in the past and nothing resembles the 2015 NINO

I actually think leaf drop has been pretty good. October 2011 was green to Halloween.

Yet everyone calls me crazy when I point that out.

Please keep Chester County discussion in its respective thread, as there is ample space to discuss that county there.