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  2. ESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1780 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1108 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...MARYLAND CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 281608Z - 281815Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...SEVERE POTENTIAL TO INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DISCUSSION...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ONGOING WITHIN THE WARM AIR ADVECTION ZONE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO NEW ENGLAND. MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVER IS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION, WHICH IS LIMITING HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION. NONETHELESS, A FEW AREAS OF MORE BROKEN CLOUD COVER HAS ALLOWED FOR FILTERED HEATING , WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO 80S ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL FLOW IS CONTRIBUTING TO STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 30-45 KTS ACROSS THE REGION. AS FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASES AND THE COLD FRONT TO WEST SHIFTS EASTWARD, THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. PRIMARY RISKS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND BUT A FEW TRANSIENT SUPERCELLS MAY POSE POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO. ..THORNTON/HART.. 07/28/2026 ..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...PBZ...
  3. Picked up .59” so far for the day. See what the afternoon storms bring .
  4. We have mid 50s showing up in the forecast for a couple days this week!
  5. I will take an order of disrupted PV during El Nino and split flow please! LOL. Please hold on the "extended summer."
  6. The 90s used to be "not that long ago." And just like that, it is almost 30 years ago. To put that in perspective, the same time span remembrance in 97 would have been like trying to remember 1967! Crap.
  7. Radar is exploding on the southern edge in PA now. Someone is going to get 6 inches of rain from this.
  8. He also believes gas prices are low and we won the war back in February. No telling what he will believe.
  9. I went to backwater falls last January and it was pretty nice. The “trail” is pretty much a straight walkway down to the falls and there’s some pretty nice photography to be done there. I ditched and just did a long exposure of the water/ice in the snow as the lighting was bad when I went. It’ll probably be crowded, there were several families there even in the dead of winter, so that sorta sucked. Worth a small detour, but I personally loved the red river area far more and plan to go back sometime this or next week (and chimney rocks looks sick, but that’s further from deep creek).
  10. Just drove from Old Saybrook to Deep River/Chester. Nothing doing on the immediate shore but Deep River/Chester had an impressive downpour. Storms moving inland and feeling very juicy out there.
  11. Every time I had to unjam the bagger tube on the mower today, I literally thought about your last sentence! Haha! I suppose it is better than the "cloud of dust" La Nina pattern that my yard has experienced for what seems like the last decade. It is crazy how green everything is in NE TN. It is almost like Mother Nature forgot spring, and were are going back and making up the course work right now.
  12. Getting missed yet again with precision .Smoky , hazy sun 78/72 Can hear the thunder
  13. Off to the races here in Monson, with heavy rain and a close lightning strike.
  14. Looks like the moderate risk for excessive rainfall has been expanded.
  15. found a spot 14 on this map.. and yes I know it wont even be close for some that will say this is my call
  16. 95% live w/in a county or two of 94 from Minneapolis to Detroit, it seems lol
  17. Beautiful blue sunny skies and breezy.... 0.00 rain this morning
  18. I will! enjoy all those days and weeks with dews in the 70s.. even though if you only get one or two we all know you will spin it
  19. And couldn't even record a trace.
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