bigtenfan

I think that those were the exceptions.

Pre or around Thanksgiving snow has historically been the kiss of death for the rest of the winter.

As a S Florida resident I will take 8 storms like this every hurricane season. .

Doesn’t this distinction between tropical and non tropical damage become an insurance deductible issue for coastal homeowners? I remember that there were some people who thought that the so called transition from tropical to non tropical by Sandy just prior to landfall in Brigantine NJ was more insurance/ politics related than science related. .

.

Good point. .

I believe that it was Joe Bastardi that said around the time that Katrina hit Florida that a strenghening Cat 1 storm could cause more damage than a stable or weakening Cat 3 storm?

While I do understand that even in a hostile El Nino year, a storm can sneak through and create widespread destruction, as a SE Florida homeowner I am very happy to be reading these posts. What I find most amazing is that here we are on August 16 and the main 2026 Atlantic season thread is only 6 pager so far.

In the case of Glenn Hurricane Schwartz I am sure it goes back to Sandy. I vividly remember watching him on TV explaining the the GFS had Sandy a safe fish storm and the Euro had it doing the left hook that it eventually did.

Are there other percentile maps 50%25% ETC? Thanks in advance.

How long of a timeframe is that?

I addressed this earlier today. Still saying 18-22 for tha Malvern Paoli area. Wouldn’t it be a hoot if they ended up being right .

I was going to ask how the storm is performing to our south and west so far. Where is the changeover line compared to where it was forecasted to be?

Does anyone know what source Apple Weather uses? They have been adamant calling for 18- 22 inches of snow in the Paoli Malvern area almost all week. They have not backed down even with the Mesoscale computer runs.

Do they believe the NAM?