CAPE

Looks like a good radiational cooling night tonight. Probably some scattered frost with temps in the mid 30s outside of the UHI.

The Ridgely site, which is closest to me, is drier. 10 cm = 0.071 wfv. It was 0.257 on April 5.

3" here for April, but almost all of that fell the first 4 days of the month. Soil here is well drained, mostly silt and sand. This time of year it can get dry pretty quickly. Even though it was super wet with high water table a month ago, that rapidly changes with longer/warmer days and increase in transpiration underway, and enhanced by a dry spell. All that said, it would probably take another couple weeks of little to no rain to reach 'abnormally dry' category.

Any significant rain chances are probably a week away(which would be May 1st), when HP along the east coast breaks down and a front associated with LP tracking across the GLs gets closer.

I ran the sprinkler yesterday evening. Maybe a tenth of an inch over the last 20 days.

35. Mt Holly expanded the Frost advisory last evening. Saw some spotty frost driving in but the air is pretty dry.

It's unlikely to marginal for a freeze anywhere east of the mountains. Frost in some spots, maybe. I noticed Mt Holly has frost advisories in effect tonight where temps are forecast to fall to 36, with 'patchy frost' wording in those areas. No advisories last night, and here it was 36 with patchy frost lol. Tonight no advisory again here, with a forecast low of 37. Not sure what the actual criteria is.

36 with some patchy frost.

Nice. I have been outside working on the plant beds and its perfect. No wind, no sun, dry, and 50 degrees. I know some want 80s and humid but eff that shit, too early. We get that for 5-6 months as it is.

CanSIPS h5 look suggests late Dec into early Jan and again in late winter will offer chances for colder airmasses in the central/eastern US mostly via the NE Pac ridge shifting into the EPO domain. Recent Ninas have featured such favorable periods for cold/snow in the MA, within the overall unfavorable h5 pattern for DJFM- in particular 2016-17, 17-18, and 21-22.

.07" overnight. Most rain here since the first few days of the month.

I asked Copilot "how are you more helpful than using Google". It basically told me it was a shill for Microsoft and it used Bing lol.

Just another mid summer, mid April day here. High of 82. No sign of any rain.

Soil has gotten dry here too. The seasonal wetland is shrinking some, so I can't complain about that.

Begins in April now. Wasps already building nests. Been catching carpenter bees in the traps for a week now. That used to be an early May thing.