October 2026

[donsutherland1]

7 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Any contrails you see in the mix ?

One. The bottom right photo. There appears to be a contrail in that photo.

[Intensewind002]

Saw some sun dog or halo like features around the sun during the drive home today

[Intensewind002]

Here's another pic

[donsutherland1]

Record warmth affected parts of the upper Midwest today. Some of that air will move across the region over the next few days.

As a result, it will turn noticeably milder tomorrow. The temperature will warm into the middle and upper 60s for the remainder of the work week. Much of the region could approach or reach 70° on Friday. Unseasonable warmth will continue into the start of November. Dry conditions will likely persist through next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.4°C for the week centered around October 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +5.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.22°C. ENSO Region 3.4 breaks the all-time record most recently set in the prior week. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was +10.31 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.219 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 59.2° (1.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.