Central PA Autumn 2026

[mahantango#1]

8 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

Little foggy out there


.

Yes the fog rolled in here too on top of the hard frost.

[mahantango#1]

30 this morning with fog and frost. And almost 24 hrs. since anyone posted.

[mahantango#1]

this morning.

[psuhoffman]

On 10/23/2026 at 5:31 PM, ChescoWx said:

Thank you Canderson!!! You and me both let's keep these kind of posts out of this forum!! Most folks could care less about climate change or alarmism etc.!  Thanks again!!

You're right, we don't want to clutter this thread up with climate change nonsense

52 degrees along the Mason-Dixon line this morning.  

[psuhoffman]

On 10/23/2026 at 6:50 PM, Itstrainingtime said:

I probably respect your thoughts, ideas and opinions on winter weather patterns more than just about anyone on the entire forum. Please consider coming back in here and sharing that. But leave this for the dedicated thread. 

My thoughts on winter are probably in line with most people.  The nino is likely to be the dominant player.  Add in the fact the pacific basin is warm EVERYWHERE and it's likely the dominant airmass for winter is going to be pac puke.  Add in the extreme east based nature of the current super nino and my fear is the north pacific low is going to be both on steroids' and banked up right against the pacific NW coast, similar to 1998.  

What all that means imo is likely a warm wet winter overall.  A lot of STJ systems coming at us from the gulf but a lack of arctic air.  I was in central PA for 1998 and we actually got above normal snowfall but it almost didn't feel like it because so many of the storms were a 4-5" mixed bag when it was frustrating because the track of the storm should have been a 12" plus snowstorm.  And even when we did get a decent snow it was usually gone within 1-2 days because it was so mild.  I expect something similar this winter.  

One caveat, the last 2 nina's we had (both during this current extreme hostile PDO cycle) the enso failed to couple fully with the mid latitude longwave patter.  I saw various excuses for this.  However, I've also seen some speculation, by people way smarter than me, that some of the long term changes in the pacific, the warming of the north pacific, the expansion of the hadley cell, the compression of the north pacific jet, and the changing SST profile in the IOD region have all combined to mute enso's impact on the longwave pattern.  If this is true, then all bets are off, but the default pattern over the last 10 years has been awful for snow, so that is not necessarily a good thing.