Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread

[Scottie16]

Captured this on July 3rd in Sweetwater.


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[John1122]

Today the heavy rain has popped up a couple miles away from me in every direction at different times. I've gotten about .15 so far. Areas just E/S/N/W have gotten .5 or more. 

Apparently there's little or no steering currents. They seem to just kind of drift in various directions. 

[John1122]

1 hour ago, Scottie16 said:

Captured this on July 3rd in Sweetwater.


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There's been a lot of cloud to ground lightning with these storms. 

[John1122]

Of course right after I posted that it starts absolutely pouring down here. 

[John1122]

That heavy shower delivered an inch of rain. The deficit is being chipped away at but the lake level is still 10 or so feet lower than normal summer pool. 

[Scottie16]

Of course right after I posted that it starts absolutely pouring down here. 

It’s fun to watch the storms on radar, hard to predict where they’ll end up flowing too. We got 1.2 imby today. When it does rain, it’s more in line of a tropical downpour than an average rain storm.


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[John1122]

Didn't rain much at my house today so far, but I'm on the lake for trivia night and it came an epic rainer at the boat dock. One clap of thunder in the whole thing but it probably rained an inch in 25 minutes. 

[John1122]

I just got woke up by an absolute gulley washer that popped up directly over my house. It went from a blank radar to a deep red return in one cycle. Don't recall seeing that heavy of a shower develop from nothing in a handful of minutes. 

[John1122]

This wasn't a shower moving over. It just exploded. This is the radar at 3:25 and 5 minutes later at 3:30 at my location. 

 

 

 

[John1122]

Overall a big model bust on rain today. MRX new afd seems pretty skeptical of the heavy rain delivering Saturday as well, which leads them to doubt flooding. Models are handling everything very poorly, which has been a theme all spring and summer.