Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations

[vwgrrc]

Metro may be primed for more snow this evening with 20:1 ratios looking probable as temps will be in the teens shortly.

snow or sleet? I feel it's probably more sleet

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[gwlee7]

Sleet is picking up over here in SW Lewisville.  

[DFWWeather]

1 hour ago, vwgrrc said:

snow or sleet? I feel it's probably more sleet

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From FWD:
Heavier intensity precipitation will start after dark and should primarily be sleet. We'll continue with moderate sleet from 02Z through the overnight, however there is some concern that we could see a quicker transition to snow if lift is stronger than anticipated. If that occurs, then snow could be heavy at times. For now, we'll continue to monitor this and carry a snow/sleet mix after 10Z with a transition to all snow by 14Z. Precipitation should start to taper off around midday Sunday.

Overall the vertical column has been cooling much quicker than models have forecasted. If we can get the change over to snow and with temps in the teens tonight snowfall ratios will be extremely efficient. Even if it stays sleet your looking at 4:1 or even 5:1.

[vwgrrc]

Sleet is picking up over here in SW Lewisville.  

Yes. interestingly it should be dry for a few hours but that's not the case now. North DFW here.

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[Doinko]

Getting some very light flurries in Austin

[canderson]

Parents reporting near Longview say it’s been dry for hours, no power issues, and generally a minimal issue since precip ended (they just drove to my sister’s place about 25 miles away without issue). Round two looks to have sleet more than any freezing rain. 

[Snowstorms]

Been getting sleet mixed with some snow all day today near Justin. 

Being from the north, I can definitely say I love it but wish the thermals were colder so it could've been all snow. 

[cstrunk]

3 hours ago, canderson said:

Parents reporting near Longview say it’s been dry for hours, no power issues, and generally a minimal issue since precip ended (they just drove to my sister’s place about 25 miles away without issue). Round two looks to have sleet more than any freezing rain. 

Yep quiet afternoon. Sleet has returned. I feel like it'll all be sleet. Maybe some flakes at daybreak. Temps in the mid-20's.

[gwlee7]

Sleeting hard again here. 

[Chinook]

16 degrees with mixed sleet/ snow. Looks pretty heavy

[Snowstorms]

8 minutes ago, Chinook said:

16 degrees with mixed sleet/ snow. Looks pretty heavy

It's sleeting really heavy here. I can hear the pingers on the window. I'd say a good 4-5" of sleet on the ground so far. 

[Stx_Thunder]

CTX/ETX ice threat continues until late tonight, at least.

NAM seems to have gone way out to lunch on this evening's 0Z run with freezing rain accumulation further north in ETX.

Even both Tyler & Longview have been reporting FZRA for the past two hours now, and DFW 850Mb temp is still hanging at 0 C, on 0Z upper air observations (from earlier this evening).

There's a pretty solid band of precip that also has some embedded thunderstorms as well that's approaching the region as of typing this.

We do also have a neutrally-tilted or N-S oriented incoming SS trough that's entering WTX now on satellite imagery. And, Houston radar VWP is showing a strengthening 850Mb - 700Mb flow that is indeed, mainly south (as the models had been advertising).

[Stx_Thunder]

Ice damage reports are coming in now. 14,000+ people without power in SAT, so far.

[Stx_Thunder]

Winter wx convective instability is really starting to pick up in ETX/SETX. This is no doubt going to push up the icing accumulations in the next few hours with much higher precip rates in the thunderstorms. Even Houston is now looking to get major convective icing.

Very good amount of stronger CG strikes for this scenario. Even a decent amount of positives!!

[cstrunk]

Not much freezing rain in north Longview from this event. Less than 0.1". 1.5"-2" sleet. QPF way underperformed. Pretty much all models had a 2"+ bullseye in NE TX. Isolated areas may have verified but I'm guessing precip was overdone for many areas.

[Stx_Thunder]

ETX power outages are growing this morning (according to Poweroutage.us data that also includes electric providers in each county). It went from 100K a little over 3 hours ago, to about 140K now.

https://poweroutage.us/area/state/texas

[canderson]

3 hours ago, Stx_Thunder said:

ETX power outages are growing this morning (according to Poweroutage.us data that also includes electric providers in each county). It went from 100K a little over 3 hours ago, to about 140K now.

https://poweroutage.us/area/state/texas

Can include my family in this outage. 

[cstrunk]

42 minutes ago, canderson said:

Can include my family in this outage. 

My Father-in-Law is without power in Henderson. Since 12:30 am.

[gwlee7]

Catching a few of what I guess are the lake effect flurries at the moment.