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Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations


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1 hour ago, vwgrrc said:

snow or sleet? I feel it's probably more sleet

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From FWD:
Heavier intensity precipitation will start after dark and should primarily be sleet. We'll continue with moderate sleet from 02Z through the overnight, however there is some concern that we could see a quicker transition to snow if lift is stronger than anticipated. If that occurs, then snow could be heavy at times. For now, we'll continue to monitor this and carry a snow/sleet mix after 10Z with a transition to all snow by 14Z. Precipitation should start to taper off around midday Sunday.

Overall the vertical column has been cooling much quicker than models have forecasted. If we can get the change over to snow and with temps in the teens tonight snowfall ratios will be extremely efficient. Even if it stays sleet your looking at 4:1 or even 5:1.

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Parents reporting near Longview say it’s been dry for hours, no power issues, and generally a minimal issue since precip ended (they just drove to my sister’s place about 25 miles away without issue). Round two looks to have sleet more than any freezing rain. 

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