Fall 2025 WX Discussion Thread

[Carvers Gap]

Second morning in a row with heavy frost.   Yesterday morning was much colder than expected.  Today was cold but was expected.  

[Carvers Gap]

Ensembles are picking up a fairly strong amplification on October 30th.....GEFS and EPS both.  It is a pretty strong signal.

[jaxjagman]

Thinnk this fall has alot of similarties to last fall as we head into Dec,some teleconnections surley dont match ATM

[Carvers Gap]

I am definitely interested in the time frame around Halloween.  The 12z GFS gets VERY close to something good for NE TN.  The CMC isn't that much different.  The Euro never entrains southern energy....  I am going to guess that has an inland runner.  

[Daniel Boone]

9 hours ago, Carvers Gap said:

I am definitely interested in the time frame around Halloween.  The 12z GFS gets VERY close to something good for NE TN.  The CMC isn't that much different.  The Euro never entrains southern energy....  I am going to guess that has an inland runner.  

Right with you. 

[Carvers Gap]

Just looking at Apple Wx on my phone, I still expect to see temps in the upper 70s w/ sun.  Right now, all I see are 50s and rain chances.  This looks locked in for a bit.  Should get a brief respite of warm during mid Nov before getting cold again.  Long range pattern really does not want to budge.

[Carvers Gap]

13 hours ago, Daniel Boone said:

Right with you. 

Thursday night Euro is just nastiness - cold rain, likely mountain mix w/ a low parading across the Gulf states.  My kind of weather, but it isn't for everyone.

[Daniel Boone]

1 hour ago, Carvers Gap said:

Thursday night Euro is just nastiness - cold rain, likely mountain mix w/ a low parading across the Gulf states.  My kind of weather, but it isn't for everyone.

Yeah. Mentioned to my Wife awhile ago that possibly some flurries or Snow showers Thursday night. If enough cold can get pulled down there could be some decent accumulations up high.