Texas 2025 Discussion/Observations

[Powerball]

DFW made it to 80*F yesterday, and yet that was still a few degrees shy of the record high (83*F).

[Powerball]

DFW made it to 80*F again today, though the record high was quite safe at 88*F.

[Snowstorms]

Might dip down to 22-24 tomorrow night across parts of DFW. Our coldest night of the winter so far. 

[DFWWeather]

On 1/16/2026 at 12:43 PM, Snowstorms said:

Might dip down to 22-24 tomorrow night across parts of DFW. Our coldest night of the winter so far. 

Officially the low was 23°F at DFW Airport this morning. It was also 31°F yesterday morning, both lows beat the forecasted lows.

Things could get quite interesting after ~ Jan 24th. We have a predominately negative EPO, WPO, AO with positive PNA. Displaced polar vortex at 50 mb down to southern Hudson Bay. MJO->7->8->1->2. Severely cold in Alaska, NW Territories, and Siberia. Strong blocking looking to develop over the top and a strong ridge over Alaska. This could set the stage for a significant dump of Arctic air into the CONUS and given the position of the ridge, Texas. Models starting to catch on to this idea. Significant signal in the majority of ensemble members of the Canadian, GEFS, and ECMWF. H5 pattern on ICON strongly showing a signal about this time. Our warm winter may be about to be turned around (hottest on record up til now).

[Powerball]

On 1/16/2026 at 12:43 PM, Snowstorms said:

Might dip down to 22-24 tomorrow night across parts of DFW. Our coldest night of the winter so far. 

The latest model runs and forecasts Friday - Sunday might peak your interest..m

 

[A-L-E-K]

enjoy the ice storm, powerball

[aggiegeog]

Looks like we are in for an epic winter storm this weekend across much of Texas. Front crashes through on Friday turning rain to freezing rain north to south Friday into Saturday. Areas along and north of I-20 may get lucky and its more sleet and snow. Along and north of I-10 looks very icy. Snow and mixed showers extend into Sunday morning for east and SE TX. Monday lows across N and NE TX could well approach 0. More snow or mix could be in the cards for the middle of next week also. 

[DFWWeather]

13 minutes ago, aggiegeog said:

Looks like we are in for an epic winter storm this weekend across much of Texas. Front crashes through on Friday turning rain to freezing rain north to south Friday into Saturday. Areas along and north of I-20 may get lucky and its more sleet and snow. Along and north of I-10 looks very icy. Snow and mixed showers extend into Sunday morning for east and SE TX. Monday lows across N and NE TX could well approach 0. More snow or mix could be in the cards for the middle of next week also. 

Yes, quite an interesting turn of events. FWD NWS wording this morning in their AFD was some of the strongest wording I've ever seen for day 5/6 potential event. Remarkable that the NBM has 1.5 inches of QPF. I'm not ready to go as cold as you yet, but I absolutely think severe cold (i.e temps 10 or colder) is on the table, especially if we get snow and ice. Regardless, if we get over an inch of QPF with temps in the teens and 20s would make for quite the winter storm! Our record warm winter is about to be turned around. I can't help but also see another surge of Arctic air around Feb 1.

[aggiegeog]

Also watch for when the parent upper low crosses the state early week. That could be a snow maker.