weatherwiz Posted October 10, 2022 Share Posted October 10, 2022 A pretty vigorous trough amplifies as it digs into the upper-Midwest and Ohio Valley region mid-week before lifting across the Northeast later in the week. Out ahead of this trough, a strong southerly flow will develop helping to push a warm front northward. South of the warm front the airmass will become unseasonably warm and moist with temperatures climbing well into the 60's to lower 70's with dewpoints into the lower 60's. This will help to contribute to a modestly unstable airmass. Tremendous wind shear is also likely to overspread the region with a 50-60+ knots mlvl jet and a 80+ knots mlvl jet streak just off to our west. Bulk shear values will be pushing 40-50+ knots. Given the abundance of forcing, combined with the unstable airmass, a line of rain and thunderstorms is likely to push across the region late Thursday afternoon and evening. There is also the potential for some rather steep low-level lapse rates to materialize out ahead of this. Should that occur, given the wind fields aloft, the potential would exist for damaging winds along and just ahead of this line. There would also be the potential for a few tornadoes, especially in any discrete convection out ahead of the line or even embedded within the line. This could be increased is sfc winds backed a bit more southeast which is very possible given the orientation of the trough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 10, 2022 Share Posted October 10, 2022 Beer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 10, 2022 Share Posted October 10, 2022 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Beer? 40s no doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted October 10, 2022 Share Posted October 10, 2022 I’m coming home Thursday morning so this would be a nice welcome home present Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 11, 2022 Author Share Posted October 11, 2022 Let's go baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 12, 2022 Author Share Posted October 12, 2022 Should see some widespread 35-45+ mph gusts with that line tomorrow night. I bet we see the marginal expanded east. Could see a few embedded severe gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now