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Roger Smith

Hot enough for you? -- the sequel (forecast contest)

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On 9/15/2020 at 3:58 AM, Roger Smith said:

Three are tied for the lead (3 error points) with almost zero possibility of higher temperatures to come. 

If the leaders wish, a tiebreaker could be highest temperature in October at the same four locations. 

I will score any predictions made but only current leaders could win the contest as a result of those. 

Deadline for the October tiebreakers would be October 1st 0600z. 

Here's mine just for the heck of it ... 

BWI 88 .. DCA 87 .. IAD 86 .. RIC 91

If enough people enter this, I'll declare it a free-standing separate contest as well as our tiebreaker. 

(Tiebreaker null and void if any actual seasonal max is altered now to 30th)

Tiebreaker valid if one or more tied leaders enters. Will be pm'ing any who don't appear by 27th. 

Tiebreaker edits are of course permissible and no need to draw attention to them as no record will be kept until October 1st. 

 

 

I believe tie breaker should be numbers of bullseyes otherwise it’s tied 

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A tiebreaker has been posted for the three who are tied, and the tiebreaker contest is also free-standing for anyone who wants to enter it. 

The details are back in my previous post of September 15th. Predict the max temps in October at the four locations used in the contest. 

I can't break the tie based on number of hits as two of the three had two locations on the money, the third member of the leadership group had three errors of 1 deg.

If nobody enters the tiebreaker (of these three) then the contest ends tied. 

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You’re welcome. I’ve already messed up with Richmond I can tell. I meant to edit, but forgot. Good luck to everyone.

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On 9/30/2020 at 6:43 PM, nw baltimore wx said:

BWI: 81

DCA: 80

IAD: 79

RIC: 83

Hopefully you both see this and have the opportunity to edit.

 

Whatever happens now, you will be closer than the other two (and Weather53), the actuals were 81, 81, 83, 82 on 7th, in my own case I could win the contest within a contest if even warmer temperatures occur later. But in terms of the contest leadership tie-breaker, nw baltimore wx wins. Congrats. 

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6 hours ago, Roger Smith said:

Whatever happens now, you will be closer than the other two (and Weather53), the actuals were 81, 81, 83, 82 on 7th, in my own case I could win the contest within a contest if even warmer temperatures occur later. But in terms of the contest leadership tie-breaker, nw baltimore wx wins. Congrats. 

Nicely done.

  • Thanks 1

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18 hours ago, Roger Smith said:

Whatever happens now, you will be closer than the other two (and Weather53), the actuals were 81, 81, 83, 82 on 7th, in my own case I could win the contest within a contest if even warmer temperatures occur later. But in terms of the contest leadership tie-breaker, nw baltimore wx wins. Congrats. 

Thanks, Roger!  And thanks for running the contest.

 

11 hours ago, Rhino16 said:

Nicely done.

You too!  Thanks.

 

10 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Yep, he won. Congrats.

Thanks, man.  And you sound sooooo enthusiastic.  ;)  

I'm going to celebrate with a whiskey.

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