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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion


PrinceFrederickWx
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The models that seem to verify best right now are the AI-GFS and EC-AIFS models (with the HRDPS coming the closest among the traditionals -- it slowed down the coastal front more than the others). EC-AIFS has you getting above freezing, but only briefly this afternoon and interestingly, neither of us get above freezing on the AI-GFS now.

The slow-moving coastal front scenario and temps staying down more than forecast was a big worry for us at the office. Warm noses and CAD are something NWP in general can have a tough time with. We purposefully hedged lower on temps. Maybe not enough. We'll see.

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36 minutes ago, csnavywx said:

Ehhhhhhhh....Highestimage.gif.bd37f978f02277bc7390f9efb48110af.gif

Yeah 16.5 in Easton at 9 am...we shall see if that keeps adjusting, never underestimate flow off the ocean. In a bit of a lull, wonder if it is associated with the coastal ramping up? I am hoping to get some better bands to push through and get heavy sleet.

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