OHweather Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 I have a bye this week, but just to get used to the city forecasted and went 84/65/16/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 81/65/18 We'll see. I don't want to shoot myself in the foot if I went too warm or too cold first day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 83/63/17/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 84/64/19/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 84/64/19/0We think alike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Figures I'd have a great day when it doesn't count for anything. We think alike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 I'll be happy with a 2-pt day but it looks like the wind may end up being > 17 kt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Personally, I really wish USL isn't back up so I can have winds advantage over other Category 4 folks (like today). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Personally, I really wish USL isn't back up so I can have winds advantage over other Category 4 folks (like today).Same. Only a few who had temps right today had winds >16kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 88/67/20/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 86/67/20/0 Same. Only a few who had temps right today had winds >16kts I didn't go warm enough and I'm still knocking on Top 8 because I went 18 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 87/65/20/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 87/66/18/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 71/51/15/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 68/47/14/0 Early CAA and afternoon clouds ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 72/51/16/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted April 10, 2015 Share Posted April 10, 2015 Almost forgot to forecast today... 72/50/15/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 The chance of me advancing to bracket rounds is very good, but I still would like one more solid day. 75/48/13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 75/49/14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 75/47/12/0 If I get the 47 low I'm in...otherwise it's going to be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 76/48/13/0. Should be good for playoffs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Well the first day of the tourney certainly doesn't look like an easy forecast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 13, 2015 Share Posted April 13, 2015 Well the first day of the tourney certainly doesn't look like an easy forecast! Nuh-uh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 Very very tough forecast. Low confidence, especially on the high and low: 66/52/17/0.02 My competition is 66/56/17/0.05, so the low will be a big make or break for me. But I could easily see it being 56 or higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 Went 66/56/17/0.05" Not a high confidence forecast. Was concerned that the Euro has a high in the lower 70's, and there may be a window of some sun mid morning into the afternoon, however the GFS and NAM don't show much potential to mix/overperform so judging by temps today behind the cold front think that mid 60's should work reasonably well. The low was difficult. Will it be a low around 12z in the morning or 6z tomorrow night? Went with the idea of the low around 12z in the morning as clouds/precip may move back in during the evening and sort of just blended the MOS and USL. Winds went a little above the USL, as they're already picking up nicely and strongest winds will be later. Precip wasn't sure on...HRRR has a little bit of measurable precip right after 6z, and the NAM/GFS/Euro both appear to show a little lobe rotating around the upper low during the evening that may bring some additional precip, but it looks scattered so that's a bit of a crap shoot. My competition went 65/55/16/0.02" so pretty close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 66/55/17/0.08 Complete crapshoot of a forecast so I went conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 Me: 68/56/19/0.02 Competition: 65/56/18/0.02 Nearly identical forecasts except for the high. Looks like I'll be cheering for a few hours of clearing. It won't take much to get to 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 Pretty much what everyone said here... tough forecast. Obviously biggest question is figuring out what happens with the cloud cover tomorrow. They should be stuck in the wedge most of the day and there should be some in-situ assistance via stratiform rainfall (with possible elevated convection?) as mid to upper level flow overruns the frontal boundary to the south. NAM was pretty consistent on continued cloud cover most of the day so that is what I'm banking on. ECMWF ensembles were basically all over the map forecasting between 0.00-0.75" of precip tomorrow. I think there is a decent chance for a bust high on the rainfall if the convection in Texas is poorly forecasted with the upper-level low. Me: 64/54/16/0.05" Competition: 65/54/17/0.02" All things considered, our forecasts were remarkably close. So worst case for me is that I'll be down 2.7 points going into tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 Unless the low ends up colder I'll have a decent but not insurmountable lead in my matchup heading into tomorrow. 66 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 Right now, I will have a very slight lead thanks to winds but that 55 and any additional precipitation (doubt it) will help even more. Me: 66/55/17/0.08 Competition: 65/56/16/0.04 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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