Typhoon Tip Posted October 6, 2013 Share Posted October 6, 2013 Most global numerical guidance have instability developing in deep layer easterly flow, below the latitude of large +PP passing seaward of New England in the middle range. The problem is, when that is numerical instability in the ambient circulation, the models will tend to spin things up in those regions, during given middle and extended ranges. Sometimes the favorable storm genesis pans out, sometimes it does not. The CMC obviously has a record for being over-zealous in these matters. However, even the typically conservative Euro has both the instability region off the SE U.S. Coast, and a somewhat developed TW/TC in the Verdi traffic lane. By and large, both regions should necessarily be monitored. I'd also add that the experimental Roundy Prob. product has had the SW Atlantic and that region out there inflamed with enhanced probability through the 10th or so of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted October 7, 2013 Share Posted October 7, 2013 Wow, now this is a powerful storm! (Typhoon Danas, currently just south of Japan) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Why is that Pacific invests always seem to be eye-candy like ... ...when Atlantic ones always look like an orphaned malnourished red-head clad in tattered rags and incomplete immunization records ...?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Wow, now this is a powerful storm! (Typhoon Danas, currently just south of Japan) typhoon.jpg Looks like about 150mph to me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 Looks like about 150mph to me.. Phailin looks even stronger than that one... poor India is about to get crushed. Close to the size of Katrina... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 Can't get more textbook than this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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