tim123
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Everything posted by tim123
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Ukmet really picking up on lake potential. .4 from storm the .4 to .6 from lake effect. And its not even a mesoscale model.
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Thats just the start on 12 k
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I kinda like the set up. Looks decent. Might be one of those set up where you do better 10 miles inland that at the lake shore.
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I see a potential of about 36 to 48 hours of lake effect. After initial storm passes winds go north with decent cold air advection. Then a piece of artic air comes charging out of Canada right over lake ontario. Winds go nw ahead of it then north after. With decent rh and a warm lake could be decent.
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Rgem gives roc 8 inches
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Saving grace is its a dying low.
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850s bottom out around minus 23. Friday.
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Middle of lake is still in low 40s.
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Yeah certainly possible lake i think is still above normal i believe
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North flow goes nw for a bit then back to north
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Think Thursday into Friday may be rough cold squally windy. Could be a 3 to 5 inch deal monroe wayne and I think ontario County gets in on it as well.
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Gfs looks like euro now with early next week system
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But gives best snow to roc even with that track
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The only thing buffalo gets jazzed about is lake snow for buffalo proper. Thats it. Been that way since I was a kid.
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Gfs north. Brings rain into Southern tier
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Rgem 4 to 6 buf roc syr.
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Thanks Dave. Obviously I will take it. But don't expect it.
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Show the clown map.
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Euro having a awsome run today. Lol. A Miller b that hammers western Central NY.
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Looks like a real shot of artic air end of week. Could spark some decent lake snows on a n nw flow. Usually targets monroe wayne ontario counties. Not huge deal but early guess 3 to 5 inches.
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Looks to be another potential lake event for fri sat. On a north west flow.
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Rgem looks like a solid advisory south of lake ontario. 4 to 8 inches.
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7.4 for total Friday into Saturday for rochester. Not bad.
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Tons of energy coming across country. Should be fun. I hope.
