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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Everyone feels old no matter what. I'm about to be laughed out of the room, but I'm turning 20 fairly soon and that is a scary thought! A 20-something? Aren't I supposed to have my life somewhat together by now?
  2. NorthArlington101
    I need to head up to Deep Creek at some point. I’m always jealous seeing you talk about it.
  3. NorthArlington101
    be gone, old man /s
  4. NorthArlington101
    This EPS run actually brought back in a couple of higher end solutions, especially south. Reminds me of earlier GFS runs a little. Good chunk of members jackpot Hampton Rhodes, a couple of 10”ers in there.
  5. NorthArlington101
    something something, lock it up. Comparing between 0z, Jackpotville lost some snow, as well as a second maximum in SE VA, but overall a little more for most if not just equivalent. Definitely not a run that suggests the threat is over.
  6. NorthArlington101
    One more CMC image. These ens are amazing.
  7. NorthArlington101
    Sure, why not. Tuesday/Wednesday storm: End of the run (a lot of this is from next Friday to next Monday)
  8. NorthArlington101
    12z GEFS was a fairly significant improvement on the 06z for those trying to find hope. while I'm on it, the CMC ens (looking at the individual members is loltastic) also were a significant jump
  9. NorthArlington101
    Really weird evolution but 00z GFS gets the job done as far as first flakes go. Would be a nice way to start the season verbatim, and pretty chilly in the immediate aftermath of the snow.
  10. NorthArlington101
    The CMC ens I posted as a joke in the Digital Snow Thread really like that one, actually. That’s where it gets the multiple MECS/HECS from.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Don't have the skills for analysis but here is the mean. Could be worse.
  12. NorthArlington101
    itshappening.gif
  13. NorthArlington101
    CMC ens are wack.
  14. NorthArlington101
    Just for posterity: nice consensus 7 days out for some snow, especially given its November.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Don’t get me wrong, I agree that it’s very unlikely that most of the Piedmont, not to mention the coastal areas, get a snowstorm in November. However, we definitely have the cold and pattern to pull it off. Skepticism is obviously warranted but I have a ton of fun following storms. Tracking is half — if not more of — the fun for me.
  16. NorthArlington101
    No comment on the sizable snowstorm next Tuesday on the GFS? Pretty sweet run with a lot of upside if the storm takes off a little earlier. Whoops, people mentioned it. Didn’t load on my phone. Either way... sick run.
  17. NorthArlington101
    BWI: 22.1" DCA: 16.6" IAD: 23.2" RIC: 11.6" Tiebreaker (SBY): 8"
  18. NorthArlington101
    It definitely makes me reevaluate my subscription to WeatherBell. I still want ens products though, so I might be stuck.
  19. NorthArlington101
    GFS is still very suppressed. Congrats Carolinas.
  20. NorthArlington101
    12z GEFS was a respectable improvement over 6z for the northerners in the forum.
  21. NorthArlington101
    My brief amateur take on the 12z GFS is that not much changed other than the timing -- was earlier and hence less impactful for Central VA. Precip actually took a slight jog north, looked kinda EURO-y but more south for most of the run until it flipped to a NC snowstorm at the end.
  22. NorthArlington101
    If nothing else this is a good way to learn about the strengths and weaknesses of the new FV3 GFS. Leans very suppressed/squashed compared to CMC/EURO/ICON at the moment.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Meh, a little bit. I recognize the unlikelihood and definitely wont be disappointed when this fades into oblivion but the window is there and the GEFS/EPS have had a decent amount of support for first flakes over the past couple of runs. We only get a dozen (maybe a couple dozen) or so shots at cold and precip a year so I’ll pay attention to a look in November if a global model has a storm in 6-7 days. Keeps me entertained.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Now that’s exactly where I want a storm. Loved that GFS run. Definitely some Central VA bias but a good step forward for all. Legit window here for everyone. Would like to see a slight shift south on the Euro or CMC. Changed the map because that old one was bugged out... 42” in NC lol.
  25. NorthArlington101
    I think this is the first winter with the fully upgraded FV3. We’ll find out, lol.
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