radarman

bullseye!!

How bout this Thursday?

couldn't possibly care less about central mass holes on guidance. Boxing day had us at 18" or something and we got a slantsticked 3". The fact the surface LP is relatively weak here works to our advantage IMO. We don't need giant banded nukes pushing the 970s, winds shredding the dendrites to pieces. At any rate, it's ski season. Berkshire East was on the verge of nil 36hrs ago, now looking like an opening day powder fest.

The areal averaged soundings on TT are a pretty nice tool. I note that the 3km nam and the gfs are pretty similar off the coast... around hr 54 the GFS really starts racing convection ENE off like VA beach.... If anything convective parameters for the nammy are a little better in that region (approaching 200 j/kg SBCAPE, mid 60s/low 60s, a ton of helicity) and yet it's not nearly as aggressive as the GFS in actually generating ^(organized) thunderstorms.

yes. It was substantially deeper there than in previous runs.

The GFS is really aggressive with the convection offshore.

I could pass on gasping for air while ORH gets destroyed again thanks Reggie

He may have done better in part one up there.

Snowing decently. Very small flakes.

Gearing up in the car is the fooking worst, especially once it's a spring mud bog. That's what the muckers are for. Clop clop clop clop clop

Berkshire East just announced opening on Thurs 12/17

Berkshire East has been hammering away and I saw cat tracks on the webcam tonignt. Wonder if Pro Lurker has heard anything about opening?

Reminds a little of 12/1/19 how that thing gets squeezed underneath.

Either way... The last week of January 2000 featured 2 sizable storms for the Capital region. They were probably pushing 2+ feet OTG. Maybe more in places.

It's that same Feb 01 storm probably. Definitely rivalled Feb 13 for snow in the valley except somewhat more localized.

Somewhere deep in the archives here I think I dug up the March 01 BTV afd from the old UVM ski bb mentioning 5SD east flow and generally calling for snow destruction. It's like the skier's Katrina disco. Weenie HOF material.

Pretty sure it's 1/30/00. You were way off

FWIW, Killington reported 3" today. Mt Snow snowed lightly most of the day but the cam on the stake really only shows like a half inch, maybe a little more. Sugarbush reported 2". Radar did look decent over Killington.

The AVN and the MRF days... JB daily vids and still good crazy.... and an epic, epic winter for VT. (here too)

Feb 2010 references might summon Logan from the NY wilderness. He got like 40"+

3/7/18 was a bit of a disappointment in the valley, with only like 6-8" on a forecast of nearly double that. Same as Boston proper. But the Berks and S Greens got destroyed.

Cool. Scotch Mist is now called Black Diamond. Makes you wonder why they changed it. Kind of like they changed my town name from the perfectly nice Cold Spring to, well... nvm. I presume the twisty diamond you mention is Lower FIS, and that's also just a wonderful long pleasant mogul run. The short hike out at the bottom tends to keep the crowds away so you can save it for later and still find fresh tracks late morning.

You can't really go wrong over there either. Rumble woods accessed from the top of Middle Earth is absolute prototype steep eastern trees and small cliffs, and even the trail itself premier Vermont cut narrow moguls down the fall line. Ellen summit is a little more exposed with scrubbier trees as you pointed out. So if it's foggy or especially windy you're better off elsewhere. Also, sometimes after a big storm, they might hold off on opening Ellen an extra day. But if you hit it right, especially on a bluebird, I don't think you'll wish you had splurged on the LP ticket.

yeah and tack on a 3 hr drive on either end. But once home and showered, you feel amazing.

The woods skiers left of Black diamond holds literally like 1-2 lines, but it's frickin chest deep in there... And the other side ain't bad either Nothing whatsoever against LP, but I have a special fondness for the Ellen summit. I think it's overlooked sometimes.