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USCG RS

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Posts posted by USCG RS

  1. Just now, White Gorilla said:

    Has the NAM historically had hiccup runs like this with complex systems inside 48?  We know that the crazy uncle often goes wild with too much qpf, but the other direction? 

    It has. It tends to be rather fickle due to the manner in which it was designed.

    • Like 1
  2. Just now, Snow88 said:

    H5 looked good. Weird run.

    Here's the thing -and this is strictly my opinion- there is blocking in the Atlantic. H5 also looked significantly different from the surface projections. I would say the NAM is having issues regarding when and where to consolidate the energy. While I would not go as far as to discount it currently, I would say that I would like to see the rest of 00z suite, specifically the RGEM. 

    • Like 2
  3. 7 minutes ago, kingbaus said:

    Euro is a no go. Looks like the nam is on it's own.

    Not exactly. It is more that the Ukie and Nam had more interaction with the kicker whereas the Euro seems to only partially interact. 

    Remember, this particular s/w is still over 'No-Mans land' in Canada and is therefore yet to be sampled fully. This particular s/w will have a rather significant impact in regards to sensible weather near the coast, so I would be interested to see how this evolves over the next day or so. 

    Edit- the 'kicker' is still towards the Gulf of Alaska, not quite yet into Canada. 

    • Like 2
  4. 9 minutes ago, Enigma said:

    Exactly. There is a 3-6 hour window of potential snow for majority on this board. I'm thinking little to accumulation for city, especially with wet streets and temp at 34. 

    Given the present set up, I would agree with you that this is the correct call. That withstanding, I believe there is the potential for some surprises, especially given the energy around and the possibility of the LP closing off. Should this take place, there is the distinct possibility the tri-state area takes a hard hit IMO. 

  5. 13 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

    Unlike many people these days, I tend to defer to expertise. You've got credentials, and in legal speak, your expert opinion is given great weight...

    You mean you actually listen when someone who has studied something talks about what they have studied? How could you. 

    • Like 1
  6. Not when you have a borderline airmass, a warm ocean, and a low tucked in this much.
    Tbh - assuming this track verifies - it will depend on how quickly the LP closes off. Sure we torch front end, but of we close off, we crash just as quickly and with the energy involved, these bands can add up quickly.

    Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

  7. Yep, bill em. But also stop doing unconstitutional things like closing public areas during Hurricanes. You can't close a beach. You can't tell me I can't be on public land.
    I don't know how these chasers actually get away with what they do. When Sandy hit, NJ beaches were essentially closed. It was illegal to be there. Which is unconstitutional to the max.
    So in summary. I can be on whatever public land whenever I want, if EMS can't reach me, or bills me for services, or I die because of my stupidity;  that is on me.
    Here's the thing, the reason a mandatory evacuation is ordered is to absolve the responder of the liability associated with said responder not responding when they are called. The other side of that is the fact that a person not evacuating is endangering that same responders life and it is also meant to protect the responder in that way as well.

    Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

  8. First, let Josh be found first. Last I heard, he is still listed as missing.

    Secondly, to do so creates several issues, mainly which that this amounts to a tax by a United States entity. The founding fathers looked at tax as the ability to kill an individual, so while there are valid points behind the desire for this, there is also legal precedent which would likely disallow this.

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