TSSN+

Just now, WxUSAF said:

Under my new “I’ll take anything measurable” criteria for storm success, IMBY, I’ll take the gfs in a hit second. Far N/W folks probably like it a lot less though as it trims precip totals for the mountains.

Ya I’ll take 2-4” in a heartbeat 

3 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

After the thump, this gives me concerns:

As long as we get 2-4” before the flip idc at this point 

11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Ya I know but I’m not trying to have that fight again.  My point was we don’t need a track adjustment. Case in point 18z euro was a little southeast of its 12z track and it’s slightly warmer. 

Looking at the closer up map on weather models site it has a low over the bay. Probably what makes it too warm. 

3 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

GFS seems better?

Little colder for Nw crew 

1 minute ago, DarkSharkWX said:

CMC taking the steroids this afternoon I see. 

North of DC raked 

6 minutes ago, mappy said:

Easy for us to say, we are in a better spot than most. 

True but that comes with the territory 

Just now, mappy said:

I didn't specify more of what, just more. Not worrying about temps right now. 

Neither am I. Models been back and forth. Hopefully the dust settles by tomorrow at the latest. 

1 minute ago, mappy said:

Correct. There should be more after hr90

More rain per that run 

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

That Euro run only goes to 0z right? 

Euro precip is fine it’s just way too warm 

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Yeah it looks like 12z unfortunately. The slightest bit better in the cities. Best improvement is for NE MD.

Seems like euro is the warmest model now. 

1 minute ago, nj2va said:

Didn’t you already cancel winter?  

Yup winter is canceled. Super winter is here. But seriously per this storm I haven’t said much crying about it. 

Gfs is colddd and active long range. Bring it 

7 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

I think we are non panicked now but I’m older lately and back and forth gets me dizzy.

Everyone in here panics way to much. I haven’t panicked once. Especially for a storm that was 3+ days out. There’s going to be shifts we all should know that by now. 

1 minute ago, jayyy said:

Ukie says game on too

Yup already posted 

3.5 days out. Hold onto similar to tonights runs till tomorrow night and lock it in. 

Gfs almost mows us down mid month. Send that about 100 miles south and kaboom 

Uk cha Ching 

Still snowing northern Md at 114 

Blasted and now there’s some inverted trough or something and it’s still snowing at 108

14 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Went from a MA special to Congrats New England in under 18 hrs. That's gotta be some sort of record.

Looks like part of the mid Atlantic does just fine 

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

18z

12z

I’ll buy at this point. A 5-8” storm is fine by me 

8 minutes ago, SnowDreamer said:

GEFS very boom or bust, I'll take P23 with a side of P28

I count at least 17 out of 30 that give me more than 6” I’ll take for nearly 5 days out. Always look boom or bust this far away .

1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

more accurate

Stop posting that crap. Looks like it was developed by a potato