TSSN+

6z Nam is pretty sexy. I’d give up my left nut for something like this. Lol
 

Euro still has some nice snow for favored areas and some flakes down to dc 

Nam is on the euro train. 

1 minute ago, yoda said:

18z GFS declines the 12z Euro idea

What else is new. 

From LWX

As a result, the precipitation may change over to snow for a brief time Sunday night before ending. The greatest chance for this to occur will be to the west of the Blue Ridge, but a fair amount of ensemble members even show it occurring further east. As with many other aspects of the forecast, the finer scale details of the snow forecast remain highly uncertain four days out.

For S and Gs 

Just now, WxUSAF said:

It definitely does happen? A lot of our storms start as rain. The early January 2022 event was deluge rain for 3-4 hours (temps were in the 50s and 60s day before?) and then switched to snow. 
 

It takes a certain set of conditions, but it can happen.

Ya it’s more than just a cold front passage per euro. Secondary low forms and that’s what provides the snow. 

1 minute ago, osfan24 said:

That literally never happens, though. The winds switch and dry things out before the cold air can get there.

This one would be different pre euro cause there’s a secondary low that keeps the precip going 

2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro ends the weekend rain storm as accumulating snow for N/W crew again.

Ya the euro is um interesting… lol

Flurries again here in Westminster 

31 with flurries 

12km Nam shows snow for a few hours between like 2-4am and another snow shower around 10am for parts of the area, especially northern counties. 

38 with light rain. Flacid status 

8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

There's a lot of Stockholm syndrome going on in the long range thread. We just subconsciously punt 30% of winter now by default, which leaves us maybe 4 or 5 weeks before the sun angle becomes a problem. This isn't a winning strategy in these parts anymore. I genuinely have tried to be optimistic this year l, but it's clear we're in a world of hurt unless things change right quick. Each day that passes the clock ticks louder and louder as the snowfall futility markers inch closer.

2 minutes ago, mappy said:

Funny because Tony Pann was just saying he thinks Baltimore metro will see snow Wednesday morning 

That dude thought a picture from Independence Day was a real picture and I was like dude that’s from a movie and then he blocked me lol 

28 minutes ago, Ji said:

It’s always on to the next run!

4 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Hitting 61 at IAD today doesn't really bode well for the future of Dec 6 storm, besides maybe seeing a dusting on the grass. It could trend deeper, but temps are an issue this far south. 

lol the good ole the ground is too warm post. How many times have we seen this get busted. Well mostly depend on air temp that day and rates. 

9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Can someone please start a thread?

Here ya go.

3 minutes ago, Wonderdog said:

Last year was a Nina.

Sent from my SM-S911U using Tapatalk
 

No way! 

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Just want to get on the board. 2" - 4" is perfect.

1.01” beats last years total 

1 minute ago, CAPE said:

We are inside 7 days and the signal for that window is getting a bit stronger. But yeah a long way to go, and it's a clipper. Not exactly our bread and butter for accumulating snow.

We couldn’t even get the models to show similar solutions until like hour 120 last year. Let’s see if we can put together at least back to back similar runs. 

Screw it. Lock it in. Let’s get the party started already. 

12z gfs close. Just drop it a bit more south. 

30 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

The one way out in lala land the following week just missed the phase. A little earlier and its bombs away. Plenty of chances coming over the next couple of weeks ya'll. Feels way better than last year. 

It’s 4th and 1 we need to convert the first down. 

52 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

02-03 had a fair amount of light snow days if i recall...i didn't hate it

That was a great winter. It seemed like it was snowing every other day. Then we had the light snow event right before the blizzard.