poolz1
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Everything posted by poolz1
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Yes they are....
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Really impressive out right now. Very heavy snow falling...probably 3.5" or so otg. Temp creeping up just a hair 30.5/29
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Thanks...much appreciated...It will be interesting to see tonight how the weeklies try to roll this pattern forward in week 3/4.
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Been ripping snow for the past 1.5 hrs...Like a fog settled in. 2.75" 30/29
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Not that I expect the same outcome but I think we all know what we're thinking....Sig possibility of something anomalous The advertised pattern coming up, if correct, has a better pac to work with...The other difference I guess would be the SW. To be honest I dont know how the forecasted trough in the SW could change things if at all? Do you or someone else know?
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@EastCoast NPZ I have two girls about the same age doing exactly the same thing....Life is good man...even in the high desert. 29/27 Heaviest snow yet...No sleet as of now. 1.5"
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3k a little more aggressive with the change back to snow tonight...
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29/26 Been waffling between mod/hvy pure snow and 80/20 mix. Around an inch...
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Mod fatties... 30/25 Roughly .5"
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First flakes....no sleet yet. 33/21
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Just came on here to post this...seems like a bit of agreement in the lr between the gefs and eps for something around D13. Out there in time so it's not robust but, as you said, possibly another window to keep an eye on.
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Washington County just closed....kids will be pumped. Never know wth this county....I've learned not to promise the kids anymore the night before.
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A beautiful sight...STJ getting it's say in the matter already in Nov.
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33/20 Light breeze out of the N. Temp steady at 33 but dew has dropped a few degrees since around 11pm.
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33/22 Trend is actually getting better in terms of a brief period of snow on the tail end...could turn into a thump if trends continue...
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It also has a decent band coming through at the end...a few more hours of snow. But...HRRR at hour 31
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I was a little concerned when the thicker cirrus moved in right at sunset but I have lost 5.5 degrees since the sun went down...still some CAA going on. I am getting more confident that we will see a winter landscape out there tomorrow.
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37/21 HGR dew down to 17. This is lower than I have seen on any model so far...this is 5 degrees colder than the 3k had for this hour.
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18z FV3 follows suit with a slightly colder scenario..
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41/23 dp at HGR is currently 18
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He is showing the years in which the Scan ridge was present in Nov and what the rest of the winter months looked like. This Nov....the scan ridge is robust to say the least. His next tweet showed the 20 lowest scan ridge years and what those winters produced. Basically, having that Scandinavian ridge in Nov is another check mark in pos column....
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Thought this was interesting....Click tweet to see what the 20 lowest produced...
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WAA precip advance ftw...
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I normally dont pay close (daily) attention to the geps but it almost seems like things are taking step toward the look they have been advertising. More of a +PNA with the Aleutian low in a more classic position. ETA: Ninja'd by Chuck!
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@C.A.P.E. Yep...seeing that neg in the Ten valley with a 50/50 in position gets the juices flowing... Believe me, I know the perils of LR ops and I dont kid myself that this will change but take a look at the FV3 out in time. I post because it fits nicely with the gefs in that timeframe and gives an "idea" of what an h5 could look like. Some wild looks should start to appear in the LR...
