poolz1

Current SST anomalies are interesting, imo. Though the PDO clocked in at -1 for Sept it did rise from its Aug reading of -1.3. I understand the current state of anomalies are bound to change but if we can manage to keep some semblance of the current look as we enter Dec it would be at least encouraging. The warm water along the west coast, coolish pool where we are used to seeing the blob and an east based (up for debate ) nina. To me it looks close to '95 right now....just the warms are warmer. Sept of 95 had a +pdo...must be 2020's lack of cool anoms to the east of Japan?

Besides the 50/50 ridge...Id take this any month Nov-March. That's one heck of a LR signal. It's nice to actually have a fall....and it looks to continue.

The base state argument is what we should hang our hats on, imo. Why would we expect anything less than an Aleutian ridge/WAR combo that helps to continue the +NAO avg throughout the winter months? We have been the recipients of this horrid setup even when everything else says we shouldn't. This year says we should see this setup even if it wasnt the background state.

This is like the scientific version of the panic room!

Closest thing to true blizzard conditions I have ever witnessed. Snowmageddon part 2. IMBY video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fwbKKgxN-PQ

I received 28" in both the 96 storm and the 2/6/10 storm. 96 was by far a more enjoyable storm to witness imo. Most of the snow came during the day, very cold storm (low teens) and the relentless rates were awesome. Compared to 2/6 which came at night mid 20s temp.