JTA66
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Everything posted by JTA66
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If the shore gets hit hard, it might be a weekend in Absecon. Enjoy and post pics!
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Yes, looking at the NAM verbatim, looks like snow breaks out as early as 8am tomorrow NW of the city.
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Way beyond it's useful range, but the HRRR is showing the PRE event. Could very well vanish on the next run.
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My street has been brined. Hope I have better storm obs than that in the day(s) ahead.
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I don't envy you today, Mike. Good luck!
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Yes, like we sometimes see with tropical systems (Floyd, Isaias, etc).
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Is it me or is the NAM trying to bring back the "pre" event?
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Probably Paul going after the LV guy about Coatesville snow totals from the 1800's I kid, Paul, I kid!
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HM twitted about this last night, mostly likely because some models develop an area of convention off the FL coast. And yesterday when the 18z NAM was a miss, someone in the NE forum noted that blob of convection scoots off to the NE. Our storm forms and chases it, that's why the 18z NAM was a miss. Is it correct? Just another nowcasting ob to watch.
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Yes, with no blocking things will move along. I’m sure most saw HM’s post on the other site about the convection off the FL coast causing issues with the modeling/area of cyclone genesis—something to watch going forward. And yes, I’d sign up for Ralph’s amounts.
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Got a thread started--figured there's not much to jinx for us PA peeps. 8F
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Sitting on the outside looking in here in SEPA, what's there to jinx?? Hope everyone sees a little something. Currently 8F.
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Reading through their thread, they’re somewhere between denial/bargaining stages.
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Comment: That snow hole is getting bigger every 6 hours.
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NAM = another Carolina crusher...winter of yore down there!
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Dear Euro, Please fookin' cave already so we can get back to enjoying Flyers hockey. Sincerely, A SEPA weenie
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Karen probably didn’t get the latest fax from AccuWx before going on the air.
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Wasn't this a rainstorm for Boston back on Monday?
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Even SNE weenies are in trouble now
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I'm just gonna bump this and leave it here. About 72hrs to go, maybe we can still get some light snows out of it.
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I propose a new addition to the weenie handbook: When the Euro and NAM are on their own, tell yourself it's 2002 and the old E/E rule will save us.
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If I recall, that happened with the Jan '96 blizzard (and no, I'm not suggesting we're looking at a redux of that storm here).
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I'm not getting greedy. All I want is a warning criteria event and to see a snowplow come down my street.
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Agreed. It was about this time a week ago most models were showing a sizable storm for the SE. They did end up with a decent snow event (for them), but the models really started scaling things back in the final 48hrs leading up to it.
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If, and a BIG IF, the Euro scenario played out, I imagine it would be a dry, powdery snow and not that March concrete stuff.
